Tottenham Hotspur vs Ipswich Town Prediction and Stats | Premier League Gameweek 11
Premier League · Saturday 21 November 2026 · 15:00 UTC · Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London · updated 2026-11-13
Tottenham Hotspur welcome Ipswich Town to Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in London in Premier League Gameweek 11 action on Saturday 21 November 2026, kick-off 15:00 UTC.
Tottenham Hotspur have played 10 matches in the Premier League this season, scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.1 goals a game and winning 30% of them. At home they average 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded over 5 matches, with a 67% win rate. Ipswich Town have played 10 matches in the Premier League this season, scoring 1.5 and conceding 2.0 goals a game and winning 30% of them. Away from home they average 1.8 goals scored and 2.6 conceded over 5 matches, with a 33% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Tottenham Hotspur are narrow favourites at 51%, with the draw at 25% and Ipswich Town at 24%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Tottenham Hotspur 1.73, Ipswich Town 1.13.
- Over 2.5 goals: 54% · both teams to score: 56%.
- Most likely score: 2–1 (10%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (10 and 10 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model.
Tottenham Hotspur: form and key numbers
In style Tottenham Hotspur keep the ball, press high, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 1.34 a match created, 1.30 conceded (goals minus xG: -3.5).
- Shots: 15.5 a match, 4.4 on target.
- Possession: 62.8% on average.
- Clean sheets: 40% of matches (50% at home).
- Both teams scored in 30% of their matches.
- Corners: 7.5 a match.
- Discipline: 1.6 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.85.
Ipswich Town: form and key numbers
- Expected goals: 1.21 a match created, 1.81 conceded (goals minus xG: +2.9).
- Shots: 10.9 a match, 3.9 on target.
- Possession: 46.9% on average.
- Clean sheets: 0% of matches (0% away).
- Both teams scored in 80% of their matches.
- Corners: 2.8 a match.
- Discipline: 1.9 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.73.
Tottenham Hotspur vs Ipswich Town: season averages side by side
| Tottenham Hotspur | Per match this season | Ipswich Town |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Matches | 10 |
| 1.0 | Goals scored | 1.5 |
| 1.1 | Goals conceded | 2.0 |
| 1.34 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.21 |
| 1.30 | xG conceded | 1.81 |
| 15.5 | Shots | 10.9 |
| 4.4 | On target | 3.9 |
| 62.8 | Possession % | 46.9 |
| 40% | Clean sheets % | 0% |
| 30% | Both teams scored % | 80% |
| 7.5 | Corners | 2.8 |
| 1.6 | Yellow cards | 1.9 |
| 6.85 | Average rating | 6.73 |
Players to watch
Tottenham Hotspur
- Savinho LWF · Classic winger · Moneyball Score 77 · Dribbler, Creator (top 2% of his position)
- Jan Paul van Hecke CB · Ball-playing centre-back · Moneyball Score 70 · Ball circulator, Dominant in the air (top 1% of his position)
Ipswich Town
- Dara O'Shea CB · Stopper · Moneyball Score 63 · Dominant in the air, Duel winner (top 4% of his position)
- Kjell Scherpen GK · Sweeper keeper · Moneyball Score 62 · Dominant in the air, Box defender (top 6% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Julio Enciso
Julio Enciso, 22 · Ipswich Town · AMF · Dribbling playmaker · Moneyball Score 66
Julio Enciso, 22, plays as an attacking midfielder for Ipswich Town in the Premier League. Strongest for his role in shots and through balls. Weakest in dispossessed. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every attacking midfielder in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average attacking midfielder, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- CAM · Attacking midfielder Natural, 66
- LW · Winger Accomplished, 63
- SS · Second striker Accomplished, 63
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Shots | 3.47 / 90 | 96% |
| Through balls | 0.33 / 90 | 96% |
| Successful dribbles | 2.17 / 90 | 93% |
| Fouls won | 1.85 / 90 | 78% |
| Big chances created | 0.43 / 90 | 77% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★½ Dribbling forward Second striker
- ★★★★ Pressing forward Centre-forward
- ★★★½ Inside forward Winger
Scout's notes: High shot volume, Through-ball threat, Dribbler.
- What Julio Enciso is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Julio Enciso's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Tottenham Hotspur vs Ipswich Town prediction
Tottenham Hotspur should have more of the ball, with Ipswich Town likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; Tottenham Hotspur work the ball wide and cross. Moneyball's model expects about 2.9 goals - 1.73 for Tottenham Hotspur and 1.13 for Ipswich Town - with over 2.5 goals at 54% and both teams scoring at 56%. Tottenham Hotspur have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Tottenham Hotspur 2-1 Ipswich Town
Tottenham Hotspur vs Ipswich Town: what the numbers say
- 1. Tottenham Hotspur unbeaten (win or draw) 76% between them
- 2. 2 or more goals 2.86 goals expected; 2.5 is close to a coin toss (54%)
- 3. Both teams to score: yes 56% by the model
- 4. 4 or more cards the two sides average 5.5 cards a match between them
- 5. 9 or more corners 10.3 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.
The full analysis
Moneyball reads every match in full: win, draw and loss, the most likely scores, goals and both teams to score, with the players who decide it.
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Tottenham Hotspur vs Ipswich Town: questions and answers
When is Tottenham Hotspur vs Ipswich Town?
Tottenham Hotspur vs Ipswich Town is on Saturday 21 November 2026, kick-off 15:00 UTC, in Premier League Gameweek 11.
Where is Tottenham Hotspur vs Ipswich Town played?
At Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London, Tottenham Hotspur's home ground.
Who will win Tottenham Hotspur vs Ipswich Town?
Tottenham Hotspur are the favourites: Tottenham Hotspur 51%, draw 25%, Ipswich Town 24%. Our prediction is Tottenham Hotspur 2-1 Ipswich Town.
Who is the player to watch in Tottenham Hotspur vs Ipswich Town?
Julio Enciso of Ipswich Town: a dribbling playmaker with a Moneyball Score of 66 against every attacking midfielder in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Tottenham Hotspur vs Ipswich Town?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.9 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 54%.
Tags
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.