Coventry City vs Crystal Palace Prediction and Stats | Premier League Gameweek 11
Premier League · Saturday 21 November 2026 · 15:00 UTC · The Coventry Building Society Arena, Coventry · updated 2026-11-13
Coventry City welcome Crystal Palace to The Coventry Building Society Arena in Coventry in Premier League Gameweek 11 action on Saturday 21 November 2026, kick-off 15:00 UTC.
Coventry City have played 10 matches in the Premier League this season, scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.9 goals a game and winning 30% of them. At home they average 1.4 goals scored and 1.8 conceded over 5 matches, with a 67% win rate. Crystal Palace have played 10 matches in the Premier League this season, scoring 1.0 and conceding 2.4 goals a game and winning 20% of them. Away from home they average 0.6 goals scored and 2.2 conceded over 5 matches, with a 50% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Coventry City are narrow favourites at 49%, with the draw at 24% and Crystal Palace at 27%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Coventry City 1.86, Crystal Palace 1.32.
- Over 2.5 goals: 62% · both teams to score: 63%.
- Most likely score: 2–1 (9%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (10 and 10 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model.
Coventry City: form and key numbers
In style Coventry City are happy without the ball, play long and direct, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 0.97 a match created, 1.63 conceded (goals minus xG: +0.3).
- Shots: 11.2 a match, 3.3 on target.
- Possession: 39.3% on average.
- Clean sheets: 10% of matches (0% at home).
- Both teams scored in 40% of their matches.
- Corners: 3.6 a match.
- Discipline: 1.1 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.68.
Crystal Palace: form and key numbers
In style Crystal Palace are happy without the ball.
- Expected goals: 1.28 a match created, 2.42 conceded (goals minus xG: -2.8).
- Shots: 10.9 a match, 3.8 on target.
- Possession: 43.1% on average.
- Clean sheets: 10% of matches (100% away).
- Both teams scored in 50% of their matches.
- Corners: 3.3 a match.
- Discipline: 1.5 yellow cards a match, 2.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.71.
Coventry City vs Crystal Palace: season averages side by side
| Coventry City | Per match this season | Crystal Palace |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Matches | 10 |
| 1.0 | Goals scored | 1.0 |
| 1.9 | Goals conceded | 2.4 |
| 0.97 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.28 |
| 1.63 | xG conceded | 2.42 |
| 11.2 | Shots | 10.9 |
| 3.3 | On target | 3.8 |
| 39.3 | Possession % | 43.1 |
| 10% | Clean sheets % | 10% |
| 40% | Both teams scored % | 50% |
| 3.6 | Corners | 3.3 |
| 1.1 | Yellow cards | 1.5 |
| 6.68 | Average rating | 6.71 |
Players to watch
Coventry City
- Milan van Ewijk RB · Attacking full-back · Moneyball Score 56 · Reads the game, Chance creator (top 4% of his position)
- Bobby Thomas CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 55 · Box defender, Dominant in the air (top 2% of his position)
Crystal Palace
- Jaydee Canvot CB · Stopper · Moneyball Score 60 · Ball-winner, Reads the game (top 2% of his position)
- Dean Henderson GK · Shot-stopper · Moneyball Score 59 · Shot-stopper, Box defender (top 5% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Yéremy Pino
Yéremy Pino, 24 · Crystal Palace · LWF · Creative winger · Moneyball Score 65
Yéremy Pino, 24, plays as a winger for Crystal Palace in the Premier League. Strongest for his role in expected assists (est.) and big chances created. Weakest in successful dribbles. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every winger in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average winger, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- RM · Wide midfielder Natural, 65
- LW · Winger Natural, 65
- RW · Winger Accomplished, 62
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.24 / 90 | 80% |
| Big chances created | 0.39 / 90 | 79% |
| Key passes | 1.95 / 90 | 79% |
| Dispossessed | 1.04 / 90 | 76% |
| Fouls won | 1.69 / 90 | 73% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★ Wide playmaker Wide midfielder
- ★★★★ Creative winger Winger
- ★★★ Direct wide midfielder Wide midfielder
Scout's notes: Creator.
- What Yéremy Pino is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Yéremy Pino's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Coventry City vs Crystal Palace prediction
Crystal Palace should have more of the ball; Coventry City are a threat in the air and from set pieces. Moneyball's model expects about 3.2 goals - 1.86 for Coventry City and 1.32 for Crystal Palace - with over 2.5 goals at 62% and both teams scoring at 63%. Coventry City have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Coventry City 2-1 Crystal Palace
Coventry City vs Crystal Palace: what the numbers say
- 1. Coventry City unbeaten (win or draw) 73% between them
- 2. 3 or more goals 62% by the model, 3.18 goals expected
- 3. Both teams to score: yes 63% by the model
- 4. 4 or more cards the two sides average 5.6 cards a match between them
- 5. 10 corners or fewer 6.9 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.
The full analysis
Moneyball reads every match in full: win, draw and loss, the most likely scores, goals and both teams to score, with the players who decide it.
More Premier League previews
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- Newcastle United vs Arsenal Saturday 21 November 2026
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Coventry City vs Crystal Palace: questions and answers
When is Coventry City vs Crystal Palace?
Coventry City vs Crystal Palace is on Saturday 21 November 2026, kick-off 15:00 UTC, in Premier League Gameweek 11.
Where is Coventry City vs Crystal Palace played?
At The Coventry Building Society Arena, Coventry, Coventry City's home ground.
Who will win Coventry City vs Crystal Palace?
Coventry City are the favourites: Coventry City 49%, draw 24%, Crystal Palace 27%. Our prediction is Coventry City 2-1 Crystal Palace.
Who is the player to watch in Coventry City vs Crystal Palace?
Yéremy Pino of Crystal Palace: a creative winger with a Moneyball Score of 65 against every winger in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Coventry City vs Crystal Palace?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.2 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 62%.
Tags
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.