Manchester City vs Fulham Prediction and Stats | Premier League Gameweek 11
Premier League · Saturday 21 November 2026 · 12:30 UTC · Etihad Stadium, Manchester · updated 2026-11-13
Manchester City welcome Fulham to Etihad Stadium in Manchester in Premier League Gameweek 11 action on Saturday 21 November 2026, kick-off 12:30 UTC.
Manchester City have played 10 matches in the Premier League this season, scoring 2.1 and conceding 1.3 goals a game and winning 70% of them. At home they average 2.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded over 5 matches, with a 57% win rate. Fulham have played 10 matches in the Premier League this season, scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.2 goals a game and winning 20% of them. Away from home they average 0.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded over 5 matches, with a 50% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Manchester City are narrow favourites at 55%, with the draw at 24% and Fulham at 21%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Manchester City 1.88, Fulham 1.09.
- Over 2.5 goals: 57% · both teams to score: 57%.
- Most likely score: 2–1 (10%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (10 and 10 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model.
Manchester City: form and key numbers
In style Manchester City keep the ball, press high, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 1.97 a match created, 1.09 conceded (goals minus xG: +1.3).
- Shots: 15.0 a match, 5.4 on target.
- Possession: 65.5% on average.
- Clean sheets: 30% of matches (33% at home).
- Both teams scored in 60% of their matches.
- Corners: 6.1 a match.
- Discipline: 1.3 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.96.
Fulham: form and key numbers
In style Fulham keep the ball, take players on.
- Expected goals: 1.58 a match created, 1.26 conceded (goals minus xG: -5.8).
- Shots: 14.0 a match, 4.6 on target.
- Possession: 57.7% on average.
- Clean sheets: 30% of matches (67% away).
- Both teams scored in 60% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.9 a match.
- Discipline: 1.9 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.79.
Manchester City vs Fulham: season averages side by side
| Manchester City | Per match this season | Fulham |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Matches | 10 |
| 2.1 | Goals scored | 1.0 |
| 1.3 | Goals conceded | 1.2 |
| 1.97 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.58 |
| 1.09 | xG conceded | 1.26 |
| 15.0 | Shots | 14.0 |
| 5.4 | On target | 4.6 |
| 65.5 | Possession % | 57.7 |
| 30% | Clean sheets % | 30% |
| 60% | Both teams scored % | 60% |
| 6.1 | Corners | 5.9 |
| 1.3 | Yellow cards | 1.9 |
| 6.96 | Average rating | 6.79 |
Players to watch
Manchester City
- Phil Foden AMF · Shadow striker · Moneyball Score 73 · Gets into scoring positions, Big-chance creator (top 3% of his position)
- Erling Haaland CF · Poacher · Moneyball Score 72 · High shot volume, Gets into scoring positions (top 3% of his position)
Fulham
- Shea Charles DMF · Anchor · Moneyball Score 62 · Blocks shots, Disciplined (top 1% of his position)
- Oscar Bobb RWF · Classic winger · Moneyball Score 58 · Press-resistant, Chance creator (top 20% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Jérémy Doku
Jérémy Doku, 24 · Manchester City · LWF · Creative winger · Moneyball Score 87
Jérémy Doku, 24, plays as a winger for Manchester City in the Premier League. Strongest for his role in successful dribbles and big chances created. Weakest in dispossessed. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every winger in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average winger, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- LW · Winger Natural, 87
- RW · Winger Accomplished, 84
- LM · Wide midfielder Natural, 83
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Successful dribbles | 6.14 / 90 | 99% |
| Big chances created | 1.14 / 90 | 99% |
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.49 / 90 | 97% |
| Fouls won | 2.95 / 90 | 97% |
| Accurate crosses | 1.36 / 90 | 95% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★★ Creative winger Winger
- ★★★★★ Classic winger Winger
- ★★★★★ Wide playmaker Wide midfielder
Scout's notes: Dribbler, Big-chance creator, Creator.
- What Jérémy Doku is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Jérémy Doku's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Manchester City vs Fulham prediction
Manchester City should have more of the ball; Manchester City work the ball wide and cross; Fulham like to take players on. Moneyball's model expects about 3.0 goals - 1.88 for Manchester City and 1.09 for Fulham - with over 2.5 goals at 57% and both teams scoring at 57%. Manchester City have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Manchester City 2-1 Fulham
Manchester City vs Fulham: what the numbers say
- 1. Manchester City win, the likeliest result 55% on Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers
- 2. 3 or more goals 57% by the model, 2.97 goals expected
- 3. Both teams to score: yes 57% by the model
- 4. 4 or more cards the two sides average 5.2 cards a match between them
- 5. 10 or more corners 12.0 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.
The full analysis
Moneyball reads every match in full: win, draw and loss, the most likely scores, goals and both teams to score, with the players who decide it.
More Premier League previews
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- Aston Villa vs Sunderland Saturday 21 November 2026
- AFC Bournemouth vs Nottingham Forest Saturday 21 November 2026
- Newcastle United vs Arsenal Saturday 21 November 2026
- Hull City vs Brighton & Hove Albion Sunday 22 November 2026
- Liverpool vs Manchester United Sunday 22 November 2026
Manchester City vs Fulham: questions and answers
When is Manchester City vs Fulham?
Manchester City vs Fulham is on Saturday 21 November 2026, kick-off 12:30 UTC, in Premier League Gameweek 11.
Where is Manchester City vs Fulham played?
At Etihad Stadium, Manchester, Manchester City's home ground.
Who will win Manchester City vs Fulham?
Manchester City are the favourites: Manchester City 55%, draw 24%, Fulham 21%. Our prediction is Manchester City 2-1 Fulham.
Who is the player to watch in Manchester City vs Fulham?
Jérémy Doku of Manchester City: a creative winger with a Moneyball Score of 87 against every winger in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Manchester City vs Fulham?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.0 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 57%.
Tags
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.