Hull City vs Brighton & Hove Albion Prediction and Stats | Premier League Gameweek 11
Premier League · Sunday 22 November 2026 · 14:00 UTC · MKM Stadium, Hull · updated 2026-11-13
Hull City welcome Brighton & Hove Albion to MKM Stadium in Hull in Premier League Gameweek 11 action on Sunday 22 November 2026, kick-off 14:00 UTC.
Hull City have played 10 matches in the Premier League this season, scoring 1.1 and conceding 1.1 goals a game and winning 20% of them. At home they average 1.4 goals scored and 1.0 conceded over 5 matches, with a 50% win rate. Brighton & Hove Albion have played 10 matches in the Premier League this season, scoring 2.6 and conceding 0.7 goals a game and winning 70% of them. Away from home they average 2.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded over 5 matches, with a 43% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Brighton & Hove Albion are narrow favourites at 54%, with the draw at 25% and Hull City at 21%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Hull City 1.04, Brighton & Hove Albion 1.78.
- Over 2.5 goals: 54% · both teams to score: 54%.
- Most likely score: 1–2 (10%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (10 and 10 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model.
Hull City: form and key numbers
In style Hull City are happy without the ball, play long and direct.
- Expected goals: 0.96 a match created, 1.51 conceded (goals minus xG: +1.4).
- Shots: 10.3 a match, 3.1 on target.
- Possession: 33.3% on average.
- Clean sheets: 30% of matches (67% at home).
- Both teams scored in 50% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.1 a match.
- Discipline: 3.0 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.76.
Brighton & Hove Albion: form and key numbers
In style Brighton & Hove Albion keep the ball, press high, play long and direct.
- Expected goals: 1.97 a match created, 1.42 conceded (goals minus xG: +6.3).
- Shots: 16.9 a match, 5.2 on target.
- Possession: 59.5% on average.
- Clean sheets: 70% of matches (43% away).
- Both teams scored in 20% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.1 a match.
- Discipline: 2.4 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.99.
Hull City vs Brighton & Hove Albion: season averages side by side
| Hull City | Per match this season | Brighton & Hove Albion |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Matches | 10 |
| 1.1 | Goals scored | 2.6 |
| 1.1 | Goals conceded | 0.7 |
| 0.96 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.97 |
| 1.51 | xG conceded | 1.42 |
| 10.3 | Shots | 16.9 |
| 3.1 | On target | 5.2 |
| 33.3 | Possession % | 59.5 |
| 30% | Clean sheets % | 70% |
| 50% | Both teams scored % | 20% |
| 4.1 | Corners | 5.1 |
| 3.0 | Yellow cards | 2.4 |
| 6.76 | Average rating | 6.99 |
Players to watch
Hull City
- Konstantinos Tzolakis GK · Shot-stopper · Moneyball Score 73 · Dominant in the air, Long passer (top 2% of his position)
- Lucas Herrington CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 57 · Blocks shots, Dominant in the air (top 8% of his position)
Brighton & Hove Albion
- Bart Verbruggen GK · Ball-playing keeper · Moneyball Score 60 · Dominant in the air, Secure passer (top 16% of his position)
- Luka Vuskovic CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 58 · Dominant in the air, Long passer (top 5% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Maxim De Cuyper
Maxim De Cuyper, 25 · Brighton & Hove Albion · LWB · Attacking wing-back · Moneyball Score 63
Maxim De Cuyper, 25, plays as a wing-back for Brighton & Hove Albion in the Premier League. Strongest for his role in expected goals and key passes. Weakest in successful dribbles. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every wing-back in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average wing-back, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- LB · Full-back Natural, 63
- LWB · Wing-back Natural, 63
- LW · Winger Accomplished, 56
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Expected goals | 0.24 / 90 | 98% |
| Key passes | 2.50 / 90 | 94% |
| Accurate crosses | 1.63 / 90 | 85% |
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.29 / 90 | 83% |
| Dribbled past | 0.44 / 90 | 82% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★½ Attacking full-back Full-back
- ★★★★½ Attacking wing-back Wing-back
- ★★★★ Creative winger Winger
Scout's notes: Gets into scoring positions, Chance creator, Crosser.
- What Maxim De Cuyper is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Maxim De Cuyper's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Hull City vs Brighton & Hove Albion prediction
Brighton & Hove Albion should have more of the ball, with Hull City likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; Hull City go long and direct; Brighton & Hove Albion are a threat in the air and from set pieces. Moneyball's model expects about 2.8 goals - 1.04 for Hull City and 1.78 for Brighton & Hove Albion - with over 2.5 goals at 54% and both teams scoring at 54%. Brighton & Hove Albion have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to take something from the trip.
Prediction: Hull City 1-2 Brighton & Hove Albion
Hull City vs Brighton & Hove Albion: what the numbers say
- 1. Brighton & Hove Albion unbeaten (win or draw) 79% between them
- 2. 2 or more goals 2.82 goals expected; 2.5 is close to a coin toss (54%)
- 3. 4 or more cards the two sides average 6.4 cards a match between them
- 4. 9 or more corners 9.2 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.
The full analysis
Moneyball reads every match in full: win, draw and loss, the most likely scores, goals and both teams to score, with the players who decide it.
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Hull City vs Brighton & Hove Albion: questions and answers
When is Hull City vs Brighton & Hove Albion?
Hull City vs Brighton & Hove Albion is on Sunday 22 November 2026, kick-off 14:00 UTC, in Premier League Gameweek 11.
Where is Hull City vs Brighton & Hove Albion played?
At MKM Stadium, Hull, Hull City's home ground.
Who will win Hull City vs Brighton & Hove Albion?
Brighton & Hove Albion are the favourites: Hull City 21%, draw 25%, Brighton & Hove Albion 54%. Our prediction is Hull City 1-2 Brighton & Hove Albion.
Who is the player to watch in Hull City vs Brighton & Hove Albion?
Maxim De Cuyper of Brighton & Hove Albion: a attacking wing-back with a Moneyball Score of 63 against every wing-back in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Hull City vs Brighton & Hove Albion?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.8 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 54%.
Tags
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.