Schalke 04 vs VfB Stuttgart Prediction and Stats | Bundesliga Gameweek 10
Bundesliga · Saturday 21 November 2026 · 17:30 UTC · Veltins-Arena, Gelsenkirchen · updated 2026-11-13
Schalke 04 welcome VfB Stuttgart to Veltins-Arena in Gelsenkirchen in Bundesliga Gameweek 10 action on Saturday 21 November 2026, kick-off 17:30 UTC.
Schalke 04 have played 9 matches in the Bundesliga this season, scoring 0.6 and conceding 1.2 goals a game and winning 11% of them. At home they average 0.0 goals scored and 0.8 conceded over 4 matches, with a 0% win rate. VfB Stuttgart have played 9 matches in the Bundesliga this season, scoring 1.7 and conceding 1.7 goals a game and winning 44% of them. Away from home they average 1.6 goals scored and 2.0 conceded over 5 matches, with a 50% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, VfB Stuttgart are narrow favourites at 42%, with the draw at 27% and Schalke 04 at 31%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Schalke 04 1.27, VfB Stuttgart 1.51.
- Over 2.5 goals: 53% · both teams to score: 57%.
- Most likely score: 1–2 (9%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (9 and 9 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model.
Schalke 04: form and key numbers
In style Schalke 04 are happy without the ball, are strong in the air.
- Expected goals: 1.12 a match created, 1.91 conceded (goals minus xG: -5.1).
- Shots: 11.0 a match, 3.2 on target.
- Possession: 41.0% on average.
- Clean sheets: 33% of matches (67% at home).
- Both teams scored in 33% of their matches.
- Corners: 3.3 a match.
- Discipline: 1.3 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.80.
VfB Stuttgart: form and key numbers
In style VfB Stuttgart keep the ball, cross a lot, are strong in the air.
- Expected goals: 1.93 a match created, 1.99 conceded (goals minus xG: -2.4).
- Shots: 16.2 a match, 5.8 on target.
- Possession: 52.9% on average.
- Clean sheets: 22% of matches (50% away).
- Both teams scored in 56% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.9 a match.
- Discipline: 1.3 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.91.
Schalke 04 vs VfB Stuttgart: season averages side by side
| Schalke 04 | Per match this season | VfB Stuttgart |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Matches | 9 |
| 0.6 | Goals scored | 1.7 |
| 1.2 | Goals conceded | 1.7 |
| 1.12 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.93 |
| 1.91 | xG conceded | 1.99 |
| 11.0 | Shots | 16.2 |
| 3.2 | On target | 5.8 |
| 41.0 | Possession % | 52.9 |
| 33% | Clean sheets % | 22% |
| 33% | Both teams scored % | 56% |
| 3.3 | Corners | 5.9 |
| 1.3 | Yellow cards | 1.3 |
| 6.80 | Average rating | 6.91 |
Players to watch
Schalke 04
- Loris Karius GK · Shot-stopper · Moneyball Score 69 · Shot-stopper, Long passer (top 1% of his position)
- Junior Adamu CF · Target man · Moneyball Score 67 · Duel winner, Takes high-quality shots (top 15% of his position)
VfB Stuttgart
- Jeff Chabot CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 77 · Dominant in the air, Duel winner (top 1% of his position)
- Ermedin Demirovic CF · Poacher · Moneyball Score 73 · Accurate shooter, Scores and makes the chances to keep scoring (top 4% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Maximilian Mittelstädt
Maximilian Mittelstädt, 29 · VfB Stuttgart · LWB · Attacking wing-back · Moneyball Score 80
Maximilian Mittelstädt, 29, plays as a wing-back for VfB Stuttgart in the Bundesliga. Strongest for his role in interceptions and tackles. Weakest in expected goals. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every wing-back in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average wing-back, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- LB · Full-back Natural, 80
- LWB · Wing-back Natural, 80
- LM · Wide midfielder Accomplished, 76
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Interceptions | 2.24 / 90 | 100% |
| Tackles | 3.22 / 90 | 98% |
| Duels won | 7.56 / 90 | 97% |
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.39 / 90 | 95% |
| Accurate crosses | 2.24 / 90 | 94% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★★ Attacking full-back Full-back
- ★★★★★ Defensive full-back Full-back
- ★★★★½ Two-way wide midfielder Wide midfielder
Scout's notes: Reads the game, Ball-winner, Duel winner.
- What Maximilian Mittelstädt is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Maximilian Mittelstädt's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Schalke 04 vs VfB Stuttgart prediction
VfB Stuttgart should have more of the ball, with Schalke 04 likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; both sides are a threat in the air and from set pieces. Moneyball's model expects about 2.8 goals - 1.27 for Schalke 04 and 1.51 for VfB Stuttgart - with over 2.5 goals at 53% and both teams scoring at 57%. VfB Stuttgart have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to take something from the trip.
Prediction: Schalke 04 1-2 VfB Stuttgart
Schalke 04 vs VfB Stuttgart: what the numbers say
- 1. VfB Stuttgart unbeaten (win or draw) 69% between them
- 2. 2 or more goals 2.78 goals expected; 2.5 is close to a coin toss (53%)
- 3. Both teams to score: yes 57% by the model
- 4. 4 cards or fewer the two sides average 3.7 cards a match between them
- 5. 9 or more corners 9.2 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.
The full analysis
Moneyball reads every match in full: win, draw and loss, the most likely scores, goals and both teams to score, with the players who decide it.
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Schalke 04 vs VfB Stuttgart: questions and answers
When is Schalke 04 vs VfB Stuttgart?
Schalke 04 vs VfB Stuttgart is on Saturday 21 November 2026, kick-off 17:30 UTC, in Bundesliga Gameweek 10.
Where is Schalke 04 vs VfB Stuttgart played?
At Veltins-Arena, Gelsenkirchen, Schalke 04's home ground.
Who will win Schalke 04 vs VfB Stuttgart?
VfB Stuttgart are the favourites: Schalke 04 31%, draw 27%, VfB Stuttgart 42%. Our prediction is Schalke 04 1-2 VfB Stuttgart.
Who is the player to watch in Schalke 04 vs VfB Stuttgart?
Maximilian Mittelstädt of VfB Stuttgart: a attacking wing-back with a Moneyball Score of 80 against every wing-back in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Schalke 04 vs VfB Stuttgart?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.8 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 53%.
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Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.