Eintracht Frankfurt vs TSG Hoffenheim Prediction and Stats | Bundesliga Gameweek 10
Bundesliga · Saturday 21 November 2026 · 14:30 UTC · Deutsche Bank Park, Frankfurt am Main · updated 2026-11-13
Eintracht Frankfurt welcome TSG Hoffenheim to Deutsche Bank Park in Frankfurt am Main in Bundesliga Gameweek 10 action on Saturday 21 November 2026, kick-off 14:30 UTC.
Eintracht Frankfurt have played 9 matches in the Bundesliga this season, scoring 1.7 and conceding 2.2 goals a game and winning 33% of them. At home they average 1.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded over 4 matches, with a 67% win rate. TSG Hoffenheim have played 9 matches in the Bundesliga this season, scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.9 goals a game and winning 44% of them. Away from home they average 1.3 goals scored and 2.3 conceded over 4 matches, with a 25% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, there is little to separate them: Eintracht Frankfurt 37%, the draw 22%, TSG Hoffenheim 41%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Eintracht Frankfurt 1.83, TSG Hoffenheim 1.94.
- Over 2.5 goals: 73% · both teams to score: 72%.
- Most likely score: 1–3 (5%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (9 and 9 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model.
Eintracht Frankfurt: form and key numbers
In style Eintracht Frankfurt play long and direct, are strong in the air, create plenty of chances.
- Expected goals: 1.67 a match created, 2.12 conceded (goals minus xG: -0.0).
- Shots: 14.1 a match, 5.7 on target.
- Possession: 49.9% on average.
- Clean sheets: 11% of matches (100% at home).
- Both teams scored in 67% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.0 a match.
- Discipline: 2.2 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.83.
TSG Hoffenheim: form and key numbers
In style TSG Hoffenheim keep the ball, press high, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 1.93 a match created, 1.52 conceded (goals minus xG: -1.4).
- Shots: 17.6 a match, 5.2 on target.
- Possession: 54.9% on average.
- Clean sheets: 11% of matches (0% away).
- Both teams scored in 78% of their matches.
- Corners: 6.1 a match.
- Discipline: 1.7 yellow cards a match, 2.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.87.
Eintracht Frankfurt vs TSG Hoffenheim: season averages side by side
| Eintracht Frankfurt | Per match this season | TSG Hoffenheim |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Matches | 9 |
| 1.7 | Goals scored | 1.8 |
| 2.2 | Goals conceded | 1.9 |
| 1.67 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.93 |
| 2.12 | xG conceded | 1.52 |
| 14.1 | Shots | 17.6 |
| 5.7 | On target | 5.2 |
| 49.9 | Possession % | 54.9 |
| 11% | Clean sheets % | 11% |
| 67% | Both teams scored % | 78% |
| 5.0 | Corners | 6.1 |
| 2.2 | Yellow cards | 1.7 |
| 6.83 | Average rating | 6.87 |
Players to watch
Eintracht Frankfurt
- Lilian Brassier CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 69 · Reads the game, Hard to dribble past (top 6% of his position)
- Elias Baum FB · Defensive full-back · Moneyball Score 68 · Duel winner, Ball-winner (top 2% of his position)
TSG Hoffenheim
- Koki Machida CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 70 · Long passer, Dominant in the air (top 4% of his position)
- Ozan Kabak CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 66 · Dominant in the air, Box defender (top 2% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Younes Ebnoutalib
Younes Ebnoutalib, 23 · Eintracht Frankfurt · CF · Poacher · Moneyball Score 68
Younes Ebnoutalib, 23, plays as a centre-forward for Eintracht Frankfurt in the Bundesliga. Strongest for his role in shot quality (xG per shot) and goals, luck taken out. Weakest in aerial duels won. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every centre-forward in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average centre-forward, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- ST · Centre-forward Natural, 68
- SS · Second striker Accomplished, 64
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Shot quality (xG per shot) | 0.22 xG/shot | 93% |
| Goals, luck taken out | 0.76 / 90 | 89% |
| Expected goals | 0.72 / 90 | 88% |
| Shots | 3.34 / 90 | 73% |
| Shots on target | 50% | 73% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★★ Shadow striker Second striker
- ★★★★½ Poacher Centre-forward
- ★★★½ Dribbling forward Second striker
Scout's notes: Takes high-quality shots, Scores and makes the chances to keep scoring, Gets into scoring positions.
- What Younes Ebnoutalib is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Younes Ebnoutalib's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Eintracht Frankfurt vs TSG Hoffenheim prediction
TSG Hoffenheim should have more of the ball; both sides are a threat in the air and from set pieces. Moneyball's model expects about 3.8 goals - 1.83 for Eintracht Frankfurt and 1.94 for TSG Hoffenheim - with over 2.5 goals at 73% and both teams scoring at 72%. Little separates the sides on the numbers, and a draw is the single likeliest result.
Prediction: Eintracht Frankfurt 2-2 TSG Hoffenheim
Eintracht Frankfurt vs TSG Hoffenheim: what the numbers say
- 1. A draw or either side by one goal is the likeliest shape no side above 41%
- 2. 4 or more goals 52% by the model, 3.77 goals expected
- 3. Both teams to score: yes 72% by the model
- 4. 4 or more cards the two sides average 6.9 cards a match between them
- 5. 10 or more corners 11.1 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.
The full analysis
Moneyball reads every match in full: win, draw and loss, the most likely scores, goals and both teams to score, with the players who decide it.
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Eintracht Frankfurt vs TSG Hoffenheim: questions and answers
When is Eintracht Frankfurt vs TSG Hoffenheim?
Eintracht Frankfurt vs TSG Hoffenheim is on Saturday 21 November 2026, kick-off 14:30 UTC, in Bundesliga Gameweek 10.
Where is Eintracht Frankfurt vs TSG Hoffenheim played?
At Deutsche Bank Park, Frankfurt am Main, Eintracht Frankfurt's home ground.
Who will win Eintracht Frankfurt vs TSG Hoffenheim?
It is close: Eintracht Frankfurt 37%, draw 22%, TSG Hoffenheim 41%. Our prediction is Eintracht Frankfurt 2-2 TSG Hoffenheim.
Who is the player to watch in Eintracht Frankfurt vs TSG Hoffenheim?
Younes Ebnoutalib of Eintracht Frankfurt: a poacher with a Moneyball Score of 68 against every centre-forward in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Eintracht Frankfurt vs TSG Hoffenheim?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.8 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 73%.
Tags
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.