Juventus vs Venezia Prediction and Stats | Serie A Gameweek 12
Serie A · Sunday 22 November 2026 · 11:30 UTC · Juventus Stadium, Torino · updated 2026-11-13
Juventus welcome Venezia to Juventus Stadium in Torino in Serie A Gameweek 12 action on Sunday 22 November 2026, kick-off 11:30 UTC.
Juventus have played 11 matches in Serie A this season, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.1 goals a game and winning 45% of them. At home they average 1.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded over 5 matches, with a 60% win rate. Venezia have played 11 matches in Serie A this season, scoring 0.7 and conceding 1.9 goals a game and winning 18% of them. Away from home they average 0.6 goals scored and 2.0 conceded over 5 matches, with a 0% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Juventus are clear favourites at 62%, with the draw at 23% and Venezia at 15%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Juventus 1.86, Venezia 0.81.
- Over 2.5 goals: 50% · both teams to score: 48%.
- Most likely score: 2–1 (10%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (11 and 11 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model.
Juventus: form and key numbers
In style Juventus keep the ball, press high, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 1.49 a match created, 0.92 conceded (goals minus xG: -1.3).
- Shots: 16.4 a match, 5.2 on target.
- Possession: 58.1% on average.
- Clean sheets: 45% of matches (60% at home).
- Both teams scored in 36% of their matches.
- Corners: 8.6 a match.
- Discipline: 1.4 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.92.
Venezia: form and key numbers
- Expected goals: 1.43 a match created, 1.87 conceded (goals minus xG: -7.8).
- Shots: 13.7 a match, 4.0 on target.
- Possession: 49.9% on average.
- Clean sheets: 9% of matches (0% away).
- Both teams scored in 36% of their matches.
- Corners: 3.9 a match.
- Discipline: 2.1 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.75.
Juventus vs Venezia: season averages side by side
| Juventus | Per match this season | Venezia |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Matches | 11 |
| 1.4 | Goals scored | 0.7 |
| 1.1 | Goals conceded | 1.9 |
| 1.49 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.43 |
| 0.92 | xG conceded | 1.87 |
| 16.4 | Shots | 13.7 |
| 5.2 | On target | 4.0 |
| 58.1 | Possession % | 49.9 |
| 45% | Clean sheets % | 9% |
| 36% | Both teams scored % | 36% |
| 8.6 | Corners | 3.9 |
| 1.4 | Yellow cards | 2.1 |
| 6.92 | Average rating | 6.75 |
Players to watch
Juventus
- Douglas Luiz CMF · Playmaker · Moneyball Score 68 · Ball circulator, Secure passer (top 7% of his position)
- Francisco Conceição RWF · Inside forward · Moneyball Score 67 · High shot volume, Crosser (top 12% of his position)
Venezia
- John Yeboah SS · Shadow striker · Moneyball Score 75 · Gets into scoring positions, High shot volume (top 3% of his position)
- Filip Stanković GK · Sweeper keeper · Moneyball Score 66 · Shot-stopper, Box defender (top 12% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Nick Woltemade
Nick Woltemade, 24 · Juventus · CF · Poacher · Moneyball Score 77
Nick Woltemade, 24, plays as a centre-forward for Juventus in Serie A. Strongest for his role in shot quality (xG per shot) and expected goals. Weakest in big chances missed. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every centre-forward in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average centre-forward, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- ST · Centre-forward Natural, 77
- SS · Second striker Accomplished, 73
- CAM · Attacking midfielder Accomplished, 63
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Shot quality (xG per shot) | 0.23 xG/shot | 97% |
| Expected goals | 0.61 / 90 | 93% |
| Key passes | 0.67 / 90 | 92% |
| Goals, luck taken out | 0.56 / 90 | 90% |
| Duels won | 7.11 / 90 | 80% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★½ Shadow striker Second striker
- ★★★★½ Poacher Centre-forward
- ★★★★ Complete forward Centre-forward
Scout's notes: Takes high-quality shots, Gets into scoring positions, Chance creator.
- What Nick Woltemade is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Nick Woltemade's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Juventus vs Venezia prediction
Juventus should have more of the ball, with Venezia likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; Juventus work the ball wide and cross. Moneyball's model expects about 2.7 goals - 1.86 for Juventus and 0.81 for Venezia - with over 2.5 goals at 50% and both teams scoring at 48%. Juventus have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Juventus 2-1 Venezia
Juventus vs Venezia: what the numbers say
- 1. Juventus win, the likeliest result 62% on Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers
- 2. 2 or more goals 2.67 goals expected; 2.5 is close to a coin toss (50%)
- 3. 4 or more cards the two sides average 4.5 cards a match between them
- 4. 10 or more corners 12.5 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.
The full analysis
Moneyball reads every match in full: win, draw and loss, the most likely scores, goals and both teams to score, with the players who decide it.
More Serie A previews
- Lazio vs Lecce Saturday 21 November 2026
- Como vs Cagliari Saturday 21 November 2026
- Parma vs Roma Saturday 21 November 2026
- Napoli vs Torino Saturday 21 November 2026
- Sassuolo vs Genoa Sunday 22 November 2026
- Bologna vs Udinese Sunday 22 November 2026
- AC Milan vs Frosinone Sunday 22 November 2026
- Atalanta vs Inter Sunday 22 November 2026
Juventus vs Venezia: questions and answers
When is Juventus vs Venezia?
Juventus vs Venezia is on Sunday 22 November 2026, kick-off 11:30 UTC, in Serie A Gameweek 12.
Where is Juventus vs Venezia played?
At Juventus Stadium, Torino, Juventus's home ground.
Who will win Juventus vs Venezia?
Juventus are the favourites: Juventus 62%, draw 23%, Venezia 15%. Our prediction is Juventus 2-1 Venezia.
Who is the player to watch in Juventus vs Venezia?
Nick Woltemade of Juventus: a poacher with a Moneyball Score of 77 against every centre-forward in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Juventus vs Venezia?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.7 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 50%.
Tags
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.