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Viktoria Plzeň vs Benfica Prediction and Stats | Europa League Gameweek 5

Viktoria Plzeň welcome Benfica to Doosan Aréna in Plzeň in Europa League Gameweek 5 action on Thursday 26 November 2026, kick-off 17:45 UTC.

Viktoria Plzeň have played 4 matches in the Europa League this season, scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.8 goals a game and winning 25% of them. At home they average 0.5 goals scored and 2.5 conceded over 2 matches, with a 50% win rate. Benfica have played 4 matches in the Europa League this season, scoring 3.3 and conceding 0.8 goals a game and winning 100% of them. Away from home they average 3.0 goals scored and 0.5 conceded over 2 matches, with a 38% win rate.

On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Benfica are narrow favourites at 44%, with the draw at 25% and Viktoria Plzeň at 31%.

Moneyball's estimate

Viktoria Plzeň31%home win
Draw25%draw
Benfica44%away win

From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (4 and 4 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model.

Viktoria Plzeň: form and key numbers

Benfica: form and key numbers

In style Benfica keep the ball, press high, cross a lot.

Viktoria Plzeň vs Benfica: season averages side by side

Viktoria PlzeňPer match this seasonBenfica
4Matches4
0.8Goals scored3.3
1.8Goals conceded0.8
2.12Expected goals (xG)2.21
18.2Shots18.9
7.0On target7.4
47.8Possession %60.3
17%Clean sheets %20%
50%Both teams scored %80%
4.7Corners6.6
2.2Yellow cards1.9
6.73Average rating7.09

Players to watch

Benfica

Scouting spotlight: Gianluca Prestianni

Gianluca Prestianni, 20 · Benfica · RWF · Inside forward · Moneyball Score 75

Gianluca Prestianni, 20, plays as a winger for Benfica in Liga Portugal. Strongest for his role in shots and expected goals. Weakest in accurate crosses. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every winger in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.

Successful dribbles 76Expected goals 83Expected assists 69Key passes 67Shots 97Accurate crosses 53Big chances created 71Fouls won 81Dispossessed 69

Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average winger, 90 the top tenth.

Positions he can play

  • LW · Winger Natural, 75
  • RW · Winger Natural, 75
  • CAM · Attacking midfielder Accomplished, 68

Where he is strongest

FigureHis numberBetter than
Shots3.58 / 9097%
Expected goals0.28 / 9083%
Fouls won3.00 / 9081%
Successful dribbles3.19 / 9076%
Big chances created0.58 / 9071%

Roles he suits

  • ★★★★½ Inside forward Winger
  • ★★★★ Shadow striker Attacking midfielder
  • ★★★½ Creative winger Winger

Scout's notes: High shot volume, Gets into scoring positions, Draws fouls.

⚠ 7 goals from only 2.9 xG: finishing this far above his chances rarely lasts: check it is not a one-season wonder.

In Moneyball Scout
  • What Gianluca Prestianni is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
  • How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
  • The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
  • His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age

Open Gianluca Prestianni's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month

Viktoria Plzeň vs Benfica prediction

Moneyball's model expects about 3.1 goals - 1.37 for Viktoria Plzeň and 1.68 for Benfica - with over 2.5 goals at 59% and both teams scoring at 61%. Benfica have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to take something from the trip.

Prediction: Viktoria Plzeň 1-2 Benfica

Viktoria Plzeň vs Benfica: what the numbers say

  1. 1. Benfica unbeaten (win or draw) 69% between them
  2. 2. 3 or more goals 59% by the model, 3.05 goals expected
  3. 3. Both teams to score: yes 61% by the model
  4. 4. 4 or more cards the two sides average 4.1 cards a match between them
  5. 5. 10 or more corners 11.3 corners a match between them

Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.

The full analysis

Moneyball reads every match in full: win, draw and loss, the most likely scores, goals and both teams to score, with the players who decide it.

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Viktoria Plzeň vs Benfica: questions and answers

When is Viktoria Plzeň vs Benfica?

Viktoria Plzeň vs Benfica is on Thursday 26 November 2026, kick-off 17:45 UTC, in Europa League Gameweek 5.

Where is Viktoria Plzeň vs Benfica played?

At Doosan Aréna, Plzeň, Viktoria Plzeň's home ground.

Who will win Viktoria Plzeň vs Benfica?

Benfica are the favourites: Viktoria Plzeň 31%, draw 25%, Benfica 44%. Our prediction is Viktoria Plzeň 1-2 Benfica.

Who is the player to watch in Viktoria Plzeň vs Benfica?

Gianluca Prestianni of Benfica: a inside forward with a Moneyball Score of 75 against every winger in Europe's top five leagues.

How many goals will there be in Viktoria Plzeň vs Benfica?

Moneyball's model expects about 3.1 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 59%.

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Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.