Sheffield United vs Southampton Prediction and Stats | Championship Gameweek 17
Championship · Tuesday 24 November 2026 · 19:45 UTC · Bramall Lane, Sheffield · updated 2026-11-13
Sheffield United welcome Southampton to Bramall Lane in Sheffield in Championship Gameweek 17 action on Tuesday 24 November 2026, kick-off 19:45 UTC.
Sheffield United have played 15 matches in the Championship this season, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.3 goals a game and winning 40% of them. At home they average 1.3 goals scored and 1.0 conceded over 7 matches, with a 50% win rate. Southampton have played 15 matches in the Championship this season, scoring 1.9 and conceding 1.0 goals a game and winning 53% of them. Away from home they average 1.1 goals scored and 1.3 conceded over 8 matches, with a 25% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, there is little to separate them: Sheffield United 34%, the draw 26%, Southampton 39%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Sheffield United 1.37, Southampton 1.48.
- Over 2.5 goals: 54% · both teams to score: 58%.
- Most likely score: 1–2 (9%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (15 and 15 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model.
Sheffield United: form and key numbers
In style Sheffield United are happy without the ball, play long and direct, are strong in the air.
- Expected goals: 1.36 a match created, 1.41 conceded (goals minus xG: +0.6).
- Shots: 11.5 a match, 4.1 on target.
- Possession: 45.1% on average.
- Clean sheets: 33% of matches (60% at home).
- Both teams scored in 60% of their matches.
- Corners: 3.9 a match.
- Discipline: 1.7 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.78.
Southampton: form and key numbers
In style Southampton keep the ball, press high, create plenty of chances.
- Expected goals: 1.74 a match created, 1.53 conceded (goals minus xG: +2.9).
- Shots: 15.6 a match, 5.0 on target.
- Possession: 57.2% on average.
- Clean sheets: 20% of matches (33% away).
- Both teams scored in 73% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.6 a match.
- Discipline: 1.7 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.95.
Sheffield United vs Southampton: season averages side by side
| Sheffield United | Per match this season | Southampton |
|---|---|---|
| 15 | Matches | 15 |
| 1.4 | Goals scored | 1.9 |
| 1.3 | Goals conceded | 1.0 |
| 1.36 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.74 |
| 1.41 | xG conceded | 1.53 |
| 11.5 | Shots | 15.6 |
| 4.1 | On target | 5.0 |
| 45.1 | Possession % | 57.2 |
| 33% | Clean sheets % | 20% |
| 60% | Both teams scored % | 73% |
| 3.9 | Corners | 5.6 |
| 1.7 | Yellow cards | 1.7 |
| 6.78 | Average rating | 6.95 |
Players to watch
Sheffield United
- Michael Cooper GK · Sweeper keeper · Moneyball Score 39 · Dominant in the air, Box defender (top 15% of his position)
- Patrick Bamford CF · Poacher · Moneyball Score 39 · Takes high-quality shots, Accurate shooter (top 1% of his position)
Southampton
- Daniel Peretz GK · Sweeper keeper · Moneyball Score 50 · Secure passer, Dominant in the air (top 22% of his position)
- Flynn Downes DMF · Ball-winner · Moneyball Score 40 · Secure passer, Ball-winner (top 8% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Léo Scienza
Léo Scienza, 28 · Southampton · LWF · Creative winger · Moneyball Score 43
Léo Scienza, 28, plays as a winger for Southampton in the Championship. Strongest for his role in fouls won and accurate crosses. Weakest in shots. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every winger in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average winger, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- LW · Winger Natural, 43
- LM · Wide midfielder Accomplished, 39
- RW · Winger Competent, 25
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Fouls won | 3.05 / 90 | 89% |
| Accurate crosses | 1.02 / 90 | 65% |
| Big chances created | 0.46 / 90 | 63% |
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.25 / 90 | 50% |
| Dispossessed | 0.92 / 90 | 50% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★ Direct wide midfielder Wide midfielder
- ★★★ Dribbling forward Second striker
- ★★★ Wide playmaker Wide midfielder
Scout's notes: Draws fouls.
- What Léo Scienza is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Léo Scienza's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Sheffield United vs Southampton prediction
Southampton should have more of the ball, with Sheffield United likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; Sheffield United are a threat in the air and from set pieces; Southampton press high to win the ball back. Moneyball's model expects about 2.8 goals - 1.37 for Sheffield United and 1.48 for Southampton - with over 2.5 goals at 54% and both teams scoring at 58%. Little separates the sides on the numbers, and a draw is the single likeliest result.
Prediction: Sheffield United 1-1 Southampton
Sheffield United vs Southampton: what the numbers say
- 1. A draw or either side by one goal is the likeliest shape no side above 39%
- 2. 2 or more goals 2.85 goals expected; 2.5 is close to a coin toss (54%)
- 3. Both teams to score: yes 58% by the model
- 4. 4 or more cards the two sides average 5.4 cards a match between them
- 5. 9 or more corners 9.5 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.
The full analysis
Moneyball reads every match in full: win, draw and loss, the most likely scores, goals and both teams to score, with the players who decide it.
More Championship previews
- Southampton vs Derby County Saturday 21 November 2026
- Norwich City vs Cardiff City Saturday 21 November 2026
- Millwall vs Queens Park Rangers Saturday 21 November 2026
- Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Charlton Athletic Saturday 21 November 2026
- West Ham United vs Preston North End Saturday 21 November 2026
- Swansea City vs West Bromwich Albion Saturday 21 November 2026
- Stoke City vs Birmingham City Saturday 21 November 2026
- Sheffield United vs Watford Saturday 21 November 2026
Sheffield United vs Southampton: questions and answers
When is Sheffield United vs Southampton?
Sheffield United vs Southampton is on Tuesday 24 November 2026, kick-off 19:45 UTC, in Championship Gameweek 17.
Where is Sheffield United vs Southampton played?
At Bramall Lane, Sheffield, Sheffield United's home ground.
Who will win Sheffield United vs Southampton?
It is close: Sheffield United 34%, draw 26%, Southampton 39%. Our prediction is Sheffield United 1-1 Southampton.
Who is the player to watch in Sheffield United vs Southampton?
Léo Scienza of Southampton: a creative winger with a Moneyball Score of 43 against every winger in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Sheffield United vs Southampton?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.8 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 54%.
Tags
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.