Swansea City vs West Bromwich Albion Prediction and Stats | Championship Gameweek 16
Championship · Saturday 21 November 2026 · 15:00 UTC · Swansea.com Stadium, Swansea · updated 2026-11-13
Swansea City welcome West Bromwich Albion to Swansea.com Stadium in Swansea in Championship Gameweek 16 action on Saturday 21 November 2026, kick-off 15:00 UTC.
Swansea City have played 15 matches in the Championship this season, scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.2 goals a game and winning 53% of them. At home they average 1.6 goals scored and 0.4 conceded over 7 matches, with a 50% win rate. West Bromwich Albion have played 15 matches in the Championship this season, scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.0 goals a game and winning 53% of them. Away from home they average 1.4 goals scored and 1.1 conceded over 7 matches, with a 50% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, there is little to separate them: Swansea City 38%, the draw 27%, West Bromwich Albion 35%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Swansea City 1.41, West Bromwich Albion 1.36.
- Over 2.5 goals: 52% · both teams to score: 57%.
- Most likely score: 2–1 (8%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (15 and 15 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model.
Swansea City: form and key numbers
In style Swansea City keep the ball, press high.
- Expected goals: 1.58 a match created, 1.48 conceded (goals minus xG: -1.7).
- Shots: 11.9 a match, 4.5 on target.
- Possession: 59.0% on average.
- Clean sheets: 40% of matches (67% at home).
- Both teams scored in 47% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.2 a match.
- Discipline: 1.5 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.82.
West Bromwich Albion: form and key numbers
In style West Bromwich Albion keep the ball, create plenty of chances.
- Expected goals: 1.76 a match created, 1.38 conceded (goals minus xG: -3.4).
- Shots: 13.1 a match, 3.9 on target.
- Possession: 55.5% on average.
- Clean sheets: 20% of matches (33% away).
- Both teams scored in 67% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.7 a match.
- Discipline: 1.8 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.92.
Swansea City vs West Bromwich Albion: season averages side by side
| Swansea City | Per match this season | West Bromwich Albion |
|---|---|---|
| 15 | Matches | 15 |
| 1.5 | Goals scored | 1.5 |
| 1.2 | Goals conceded | 1.0 |
| 1.58 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.76 |
| 1.48 | xG conceded | 1.38 |
| 11.9 | Shots | 13.1 |
| 4.5 | On target | 3.9 |
| 59.0 | Possession % | 55.5 |
| 40% | Clean sheets % | 20% |
| 47% | Both teams scored % | 67% |
| 4.2 | Corners | 5.7 |
| 1.5 | Yellow cards | 1.8 |
| 6.82 | Average rating | 6.92 |
Players to watch
Swansea City
- Zan Vipotnik CF · Complete forward · Moneyball Score 48 · Chance creator, Takes high-quality shots (top 25% of his position)
- Jenson Seelt CB · Stopper · Moneyball Score 47 · Disciplined, Dominant in the air (top 9% of his position)
West Bromwich Albion
- Max O'Leary GK · Sweeper keeper · Moneyball Score 45 · Dominant in the air, Secure passer (top 28% of his position)
- Nat Phillips CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 38 · Disciplined, Reads the game (top 38% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Aune Heggebø
Aune Heggebø, 25 · West Bromwich Albion · CF · Poacher · Moneyball Score 43
Aune Heggebø, 25, plays as a centre-forward for West Bromwich Albion in the Championship. Strongest for his role in shot quality (xG per shot) and expected goals. Weakest in key passes. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every centre-forward in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average centre-forward, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- ST · Centre-forward Natural, 43
- SS · Second striker Accomplished, 38
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Shot quality (xG per shot) | 0.25 xG/shot | 99% |
| Expected goals | 0.71 / 90 | 75% |
| Goals, luck taken out | 0.69 / 90 | 71% |
| Aerial duels won | 1.63 / 90 | 32% |
| Big chances missed | 0.44 / 90 | 30% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★ Poacher Centre-forward
- ★★★½ Shadow striker Second striker
- ★★ Complete forward Centre-forward
Scout's notes: Takes high-quality shots.
- What Aune Heggebø is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Aune Heggebø's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Swansea City vs West Bromwich Albion prediction
Swansea City should have more of the ball; Swansea City press high to win the ball back. Moneyball's model expects about 2.8 goals - 1.41 for Swansea City and 1.36 for West Bromwich Albion - with over 2.5 goals at 52% and both teams scoring at 57%. Little separates the sides on the numbers, and a draw is the single likeliest result.
Prediction: Swansea City 1-1 West Bromwich Albion
Swansea City vs West Bromwich Albion: what the numbers say
- 1. A draw or either side by one goal is the likeliest shape no side above 38%
- 2. 2 or more goals 2.77 goals expected; 2.5 is close to a coin toss (52%)
- 3. Both teams to score: yes 57% by the model
- 4. 4 or more cards the two sides average 5.3 cards a match between them
- 5. 9 or more corners 9.9 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.
The full analysis
Moneyball reads every match in full: win, draw and loss, the most likely scores, goals and both teams to score, with the players who decide it.
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Swansea City vs West Bromwich Albion: questions and answers
When is Swansea City vs West Bromwich Albion?
Swansea City vs West Bromwich Albion is on Saturday 21 November 2026, kick-off 15:00 UTC, in Championship Gameweek 16.
Where is Swansea City vs West Bromwich Albion played?
At Swansea.com Stadium, Swansea, Swansea City's home ground.
Who will win Swansea City vs West Bromwich Albion?
It is close: Swansea City 38%, draw 27%, West Bromwich Albion 35%. Our prediction is Swansea City 1-1 West Bromwich Albion.
Who is the player to watch in Swansea City vs West Bromwich Albion?
Aune Heggebø of West Bromwich Albion: a poacher with a Moneyball Score of 43 against every centre-forward in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Swansea City vs West Bromwich Albion?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.8 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 52%.
Tags
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.