Sheffield United vs Watford Prediction and Stats | Championship Gameweek 16
Championship · Saturday 21 November 2026 · 15:00 UTC · Bramall Lane, Sheffield · updated 2026-11-13
Sheffield United welcome Watford to Bramall Lane in Sheffield in Championship Gameweek 16 action on Saturday 21 November 2026, kick-off 15:00 UTC.
Sheffield United have played 15 matches in the Championship this season, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.3 goals a game and winning 40% of them. At home they average 1.3 goals scored and 1.0 conceded over 7 matches, with a 50% win rate. Watford have played 15 matches in the Championship this season, scoring 0.9 and conceding 1.5 goals a game and winning 27% of them. Away from home they average 0.6 goals scored and 2.0 conceded over 7 matches, with a 0% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Sheffield United are narrow favourites at 56%, with the draw at 25% and Watford at 19%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Sheffield United 1.70, Watford 0.90.
- Over 2.5 goals: 48% · both teams to score: 49%.
- Most likely score: 2–1 (10%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (15 and 15 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model.
Sheffield United: form and key numbers
In style Sheffield United are happy without the ball, play long and direct, are strong in the air.
- Expected goals: 1.36 a match created, 1.41 conceded (goals minus xG: +0.6).
- Shots: 11.5 a match, 4.1 on target.
- Possession: 45.1% on average.
- Clean sheets: 33% of matches (60% at home).
- Both teams scored in 60% of their matches.
- Corners: 3.9 a match.
- Discipline: 1.7 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.78.
Watford: form and key numbers
In style Watford are happy without the ball, take players on.
- Expected goals: 1.04 a match created, 1.81 conceded (goals minus xG: -2.6).
- Shots: 12.1 a match, 3.8 on target.
- Possession: 45.1% on average.
- Clean sheets: 20% of matches (0% away).
- Both teams scored in 47% of their matches.
- Corners: 3.7 a match.
- Discipline: 2.7 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.71.
Sheffield United vs Watford: season averages side by side
| Sheffield United | Per match this season | Watford |
|---|---|---|
| 15 | Matches | 15 |
| 1.4 | Goals scored | 0.9 |
| 1.3 | Goals conceded | 1.5 |
| 1.36 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.04 |
| 1.41 | xG conceded | 1.81 |
| 11.5 | Shots | 12.1 |
| 4.1 | On target | 3.8 |
| 45.1 | Possession % | 45.1 |
| 33% | Clean sheets % | 20% |
| 60% | Both teams scored % | 47% |
| 3.9 | Corners | 3.7 |
| 1.7 | Yellow cards | 2.7 |
| 6.78 | Average rating | 6.71 |
Players to watch
Sheffield United
- Michael Cooper GK · Sweeper keeper · Moneyball Score 39 · Dominant in the air, Box defender (top 15% of his position)
- Patrick Bamford CF · Poacher · Moneyball Score 39 · Takes high-quality shots, Accurate shooter (top 1% of his position)
Watford
- Federico Ravaglia GK · Sweeper keeper · Moneyball Score 44 · Dominant in the air, Box defender (top 1% of his position)
- Jordan Zemura LWB · Attacking wing-back · Moneyball Score 38 · Reads the game, Crosser (top 22% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Japhet Tanganga
Japhet Tanganga, 27 · Sheffield United · CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 39
Japhet Tanganga, 27, plays as a centre-back for Sheffield United in the Championship. Strongest for his role in dribbled past and aerial duels won. Weakest in passes. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every centre-back in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average centre-back, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- CB · Centre-back Natural, 39
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Dribbled past | 0.00 / 90 | 100% |
| Aerial duels won | 3.93 / 90 | 86% |
| Fouls committed | 0.53 / 90 | 77% |
| Duels won | 6.13 / 90 | 60% |
| Blocked shots | 0.87 / 90 | 39% |
Roles he suits
- ★★½ Box defender Centre-back
- ★★½ Stopper Centre-back
- ★★ Anchor Defensive midfielder
Scout's notes: Hard to dribble past, Dominant in the air.
- What Japhet Tanganga is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Japhet Tanganga's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Sheffield United vs Watford prediction
Sheffield United should have more of the ball; Sheffield United are a threat in the air and from set pieces; Watford like to take players on. Moneyball's model expects about 2.6 goals - 1.70 for Sheffield United and 0.90 for Watford - with over 2.5 goals at 48% and both teams scoring at 49%. Sheffield United have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Sheffield United 2-1 Watford
Sheffield United vs Watford: what the numbers say
- 1. Sheffield United win, the likeliest result 56% on Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers
- 2. 2 or more goals 2.60 goals expected; 2.5 is close to a coin toss (48%)
- 3. 4 or more cards the two sides average 5.4 cards a match between them
- 4. 10 corners or fewer 7.7 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.
The full analysis
Moneyball reads every match in full: win, draw and loss, the most likely scores, goals and both teams to score, with the players who decide it.
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Sheffield United vs Watford: questions and answers
When is Sheffield United vs Watford?
Sheffield United vs Watford is on Saturday 21 November 2026, kick-off 15:00 UTC, in Championship Gameweek 16.
Where is Sheffield United vs Watford played?
At Bramall Lane, Sheffield, Sheffield United's home ground.
Who will win Sheffield United vs Watford?
Sheffield United are the favourites: Sheffield United 56%, draw 25%, Watford 19%. Our prediction is Sheffield United 2-1 Watford.
Who is the player to watch in Sheffield United vs Watford?
Japhet Tanganga of Sheffield United: a box defender with a Moneyball Score of 39 against every centre-back in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Sheffield United vs Watford?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.6 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 48%.
Tags
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.