Sevilla vs Real Betis Prediction and Stats | La Liga Gameweek 13
La Liga · Saturday 21 November 2026 · 17:30 UTC · Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán, Sevilla · updated 2026-11-13
Sevilla welcome Real Betis to Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán in Sevilla in La Liga Gameweek 13 action on Saturday 21 November 2026, kick-off 17:30 UTC.
Sevilla have played 12 matches in La Liga this season, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.6 goals a game and winning 42% of them. At home they average 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded over 6 matches, with a 60% win rate. Real Betis have played 12 matches in La Liga this season, scoring 1.7 and conceding 1.3 goals a game and winning 67% of them. Away from home they average 1.3 goals scored and 1.2 conceded over 6 matches, with a 38% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, there is little to separate them: Sevilla 37%, the draw 26%, Real Betis 37%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Sevilla 1.47, Real Betis 1.49.
- Over 2.5 goals: 57% · both teams to score: 60%.
- Most likely score: 1–2 (8%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (12 and 12 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model.
Sevilla: form and key numbers
In style Sevilla are happy without the ball, play long and direct, are strong in the air.
- Expected goals: 1.31 a match created, 1.37 conceded (goals minus xG: +1.3).
- Shots: 12.3 a match, 4.4 on target.
- Possession: 44.2% on average.
- Clean sheets: 33% of matches (75% at home).
- Both teams scored in 67% of their matches.
- Corners: 3.4 a match.
- Discipline: 2.5 yellow cards a match, 4.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.76.
Real Betis: form and key numbers
In style Real Betis keep the ball, press high, take players on.
- Expected goals: 1.66 a match created, 1.51 conceded (goals minus xG: +0.1).
- Shots: 17.1 a match, 6.2 on target.
- Possession: 52.3% on average.
- Clean sheets: 50% of matches (50% away).
- Both teams scored in 50% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.4 a match.
- Discipline: 1.5 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.97.
Sevilla vs Real Betis: season averages side by side
| Sevilla | Per match this season | Real Betis |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Matches | 12 |
| 1.4 | Goals scored | 1.7 |
| 1.6 | Goals conceded | 1.3 |
| 1.31 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.66 |
| 1.37 | xG conceded | 1.51 |
| 12.3 | Shots | 17.1 |
| 4.4 | On target | 6.2 |
| 44.2 | Possession % | 52.3 |
| 33% | Clean sheets % | 50% |
| 67% | Both teams scored % | 50% |
| 3.4 | Corners | 5.4 |
| 2.5 | Yellow cards | 1.5 |
| 6.76 | Average rating | 6.97 |
Players to watch
Sevilla
- Gabriel Suazo LB · Attacking full-back · Moneyball Score 69 · Crosser, Chance creator (top 4% of his position)
- Kike Salas CB · Stopper · Moneyball Score 54 · Long passer, Duel winner (top 3% of his position)
Real Betis
- Álvaro Valles GK · Shot-stopper · Moneyball Score 76 · Dominant in the air, Long passer (top 10% of his position)
- Pablo Fornals CMF · Playmaker · Moneyball Score 70 · Chance creator, Creator (top 3% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Isco
Isco, 34 · Real Betis · AMF · Shadow striker · Moneyball Score 83
Isco, 34, plays as an attacking midfielder for Real Betis in La Liga. Strongest for his role in expected goals and key passes. Weakest in through balls. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every attacking midfielder in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average attacking midfielder, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- CAM · Attacking midfielder Natural, 83
- CM · Central midfielder Accomplished, 74
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Expected goals | 0.50 / 90 | 100% |
| Key passes | 3.96 / 90 | 99% |
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.32 / 90 | 98% |
| Pass accuracy | 91% | 94% |
| Shots | 3.08 / 90 | 87% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★½ Shadow striker Attacking midfielder
- ★★★★½ Playmaker Central midfielder
- ★★★★ Dribbling playmaker Attacking midfielder
Scout's notes: Gets into scoring positions, Chance creator, Creator.
- What Isco is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Sevilla vs Real Betis prediction
Real Betis should have more of the ball, with Sevilla likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; Sevilla are a threat in the air and from set pieces; Real Betis like to take players on. Moneyball's model expects about 3.0 goals - 1.47 for Sevilla and 1.49 for Real Betis - with over 2.5 goals at 57% and both teams scoring at 60%. Little separates the sides on the numbers, and a draw is the single likeliest result.
Prediction: Sevilla 1-1 Real Betis
Sevilla vs Real Betis: what the numbers say
- 1. A draw or either side by one goal is the likeliest shape no side above 37%
- 2. 3 or more goals 57% by the model, 2.96 goals expected
- 3. Both teams to score: yes 60% by the model
- 4. 4 or more cards the two sides average 9.0 cards a match between them
- 5. 9 or more corners 8.8 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.
The full analysis
Moneyball reads every match in full: win, draw and loss, the most likely scores, goals and both teams to score, with the players who decide it.
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Sevilla vs Real Betis: questions and answers
When is Sevilla vs Real Betis?
Sevilla vs Real Betis is on Saturday 21 November 2026, kick-off 17:30 UTC, in La Liga Gameweek 13.
Where is Sevilla vs Real Betis played?
At Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán, Sevilla, Sevilla's home ground.
Who will win Sevilla vs Real Betis?
It is close: Sevilla 37%, draw 26%, Real Betis 37%. Our prediction is Sevilla 1-1 Real Betis.
Who is the player to watch in Sevilla vs Real Betis?
Isco of Real Betis: a shadow striker with a Moneyball Score of 83 against every attacking midfielder in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Sevilla vs Real Betis?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.0 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 57%.
Tags
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.