Deportivo Alavés vs Deportivo A Coruña Prediction and Stats | La Liga Gameweek 13
La Liga · Saturday 21 November 2026 · 13:00 UTC · Estadio de Mendizorroza, Gasteiz · updated 2026-11-13
Deportivo Alavés welcome Deportivo A Coruña to Estadio de Mendizorroza in Gasteiz in La Liga Gameweek 13 action on Saturday 21 November 2026, kick-off 13:00 UTC.
Deportivo Alavés have played 12 matches in La Liga this season, scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.4 goals a game and winning 25% of them. At home they average 1.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded over 6 matches, with a 100% win rate. Deportivo A Coruña have played 12 matches in La Liga this season, scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.2 goals a game and winning 25% of them. Away from home they average 1.2 goals scored and 1.3 conceded over 6 matches, with a 33% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, there is little to separate them: Deportivo Alavés 35%, the draw 29%, Deportivo A Coruña 35%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Deportivo Alavés 1.20, Deportivo A Coruña 1.19.
- Over 2.5 goals: 43% · both teams to score: 49%.
- Most likely score: 2–0 (7%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (12 and 12 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model.
Deportivo Alavés: form and key numbers
In style Deportivo Alavés are happy without the ball, play long and direct, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 1.15 a match created, 1.41 conceded (goals minus xG: +1.2).
- Shots: 12.4 a match, 4.3 on target.
- Possession: 41.1% on average.
- Clean sheets: 33% of matches (50% at home).
- Both teams scored in 58% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.0 a match.
- Discipline: 1.9 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.76.
Deportivo A Coruña: form and key numbers
In style Deportivo A Coruña play long and direct, take players on.
- Expected goals: 1.34 a match created, 1.19 conceded (goals minus xG: -1.1).
- Shots: 11.9 a match, 4.3 on target.
- Possession: 47.9% on average.
- Clean sheets: 8% of matches (100% away).
- Both teams scored in 75% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.3 a match.
- Discipline: 2.0 yellow cards a match, 3.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.79.
Deportivo Alavés vs Deportivo A Coruña: season averages side by side
| Deportivo Alavés | Per match this season | Deportivo A Coruña |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Matches | 12 |
| 1.3 | Goals scored | 1.3 |
| 1.4 | Goals conceded | 1.2 |
| 1.15 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.34 |
| 1.41 | xG conceded | 1.19 |
| 12.4 | Shots | 11.9 |
| 4.3 | On target | 4.3 |
| 41.1 | Possession % | 47.9 |
| 33% | Clean sheets % | 8% |
| 58% | Both teams scored % | 75% |
| 4.0 | Corners | 5.3 |
| 1.9 | Yellow cards | 2.0 |
| 6.76 | Average rating | 6.79 |
Players to watch
Deportivo Alavés
- Ángel Pérez RWF · Creative winger · Moneyball Score 60 · Press-resistant, Crosser (top 1% of his position)
- Toni Martínez CF · Target man · Moneyball Score 55 · Duel winner, Dominant in the air (top 3% of his position)
Deportivo A Coruña
- Lorenzo Amatucci DMF · Ball-winner · Moneyball Score 66 · Blocks shots, Ball-winner (top 6% of his position)
- Adrià Altimira RB · Attacking full-back · Moneyball Score 60 · Duel winner, Dribbler (top 5% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Luismi Cruz
Luismi Cruz, 25 · Deportivo A Coruña · RWF · Creative winger · Moneyball Score 61
Luismi Cruz, 25, plays as a winger for Deportivo A Coruña in La Liga. Strongest for his role in key passes and accurate crosses. Weakest in shots. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every winger in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average winger, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- RM · Wide midfielder Natural, 61
- RW · Winger Natural, 61
- LW · Winger Accomplished, 58
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Key passes | 2.84 / 90 | 93% |
| Accurate crosses | 1.49 / 90 | 93% |
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.27 / 90 | 79% |
| Fouls won | 1.76 / 90 | 69% |
| Dispossessed | 0.95 / 90 | 69% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★★ Wide playmaker Wide midfielder
- ★★★★ Direct wide midfielder Wide midfielder
- ★★★½ Creative winger Winger
Scout's notes: Chance creator, Crosser.
- What Luismi Cruz is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Luismi Cruz's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Deportivo Alavés vs Deportivo A Coruña prediction
Deportivo A Coruña should have more of the ball, with Deportivo Alavés likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; Deportivo Alavés work the ball wide and cross; Deportivo A Coruña like to take players on. Moneyball's model expects about 2.4 goals - 1.20 for Deportivo Alavés and 1.19 for Deportivo A Coruña - with over 2.5 goals at 43% and both teams scoring at 49%. Little separates the sides on the numbers, and a draw is the single likeliest result.
Prediction: Deportivo Alavés 1-1 Deportivo A Coruña
Deportivo Alavés vs Deportivo A Coruña: what the numbers say
- 1. A draw or either side by one goal is the likeliest shape no side above 35%
- 2. 2 goals or fewer 57% by the model, 2.39 goals expected
- 3. 4 or more cards the two sides average 7.9 cards a match between them
- 4. 9 or more corners 9.3 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.
The full analysis
Moneyball reads every match in full: win, draw and loss, the most likely scores, goals and both teams to score, with the players who decide it.
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Deportivo Alavés vs Deportivo A Coruña: questions and answers
When is Deportivo Alavés vs Deportivo A Coruña?
Deportivo Alavés vs Deportivo A Coruña is on Saturday 21 November 2026, kick-off 13:00 UTC, in La Liga Gameweek 13.
Where is Deportivo Alavés vs Deportivo A Coruña played?
At Estadio de Mendizorroza, Gasteiz, Deportivo Alavés's home ground.
Who will win Deportivo Alavés vs Deportivo A Coruña?
It is close: Deportivo Alavés 35%, draw 29%, Deportivo A Coruña 35%. Our prediction is Deportivo Alavés 1-1 Deportivo A Coruña.
Who is the player to watch in Deportivo Alavés vs Deportivo A Coruña?
Luismi Cruz of Deportivo A Coruña: a creative winger with a Moneyball Score of 61 against every winger in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo Alavés vs Deportivo A Coruña?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.4 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 43%.
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Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.