Getafe vs Atlético de Madrid Prediction and Stats | La Liga Gameweek 13
La Liga · Sunday 22 November 2026 · 20:00 UTC · Coliseum Alfonso Pérez, Getafe · updated 2026-11-13
Getafe welcome Atlético de Madrid to Coliseum Alfonso Pérez in Getafe in La Liga Gameweek 13 action on Sunday 22 November 2026, kick-off 20:00 UTC.
Getafe have played 12 matches in La Liga this season, scoring 0.7 and conceding 1.5 goals a game and winning 25% of them. At home they average 1.3 goals scored and 0.7 conceded over 6 matches, with a 100% win rate. Atlético de Madrid have played 12 matches in La Liga this season, scoring 1.9 and conceding 0.8 goals a game and winning 75% of them. Away from home they average 1.8 goals scored and 0.8 conceded over 6 matches, with a 56% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Atlético de Madrid are narrow favourites at 54%, with the draw at 27% and Getafe at 19%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Getafe 0.81, Atlético de Madrid 1.55.
- Over 2.5 goals: 42% · both teams to score: 44%.
- Most likely score: 0–2 (11%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (12 and 12 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model.
Getafe: form and key numbers
In style Getafe are happy without the ball, play long and direct.
- Expected goals: 0.90 a match created, 1.44 conceded (goals minus xG: -2.8).
- Shots: 10.4 a match, 2.6 on target.
- Possession: 36.8% on average.
- Clean sheets: 17% of matches (100% at home).
- Both teams scored in 33% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.0 a match.
- Discipline: 3.4 yellow cards a match, 5.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.66.
Atlético de Madrid: form and key numbers
In style Atlético de Madrid keep the ball, press high, take players on.
- Expected goals: 1.60 a match created, 1.19 conceded (goals minus xG: +3.8).
- Shots: 16.6 a match, 5.9 on target.
- Possession: 57.0% on average.
- Clean sheets: 50% of matches (50% away).
- Both teams scored in 42% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.6 a match.
- Discipline: 2.3 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.97.
Getafe vs Atlético de Madrid: season averages side by side
| Getafe | Per match this season | Atlético de Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Matches | 12 |
| 0.7 | Goals scored | 1.9 |
| 1.5 | Goals conceded | 0.8 |
| 0.90 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.60 |
| 1.44 | xG conceded | 1.19 |
| 10.4 | Shots | 16.6 |
| 2.6 | On target | 5.9 |
| 36.8 | Possession % | 57.0 |
| 17% | Clean sheets % | 50% |
| 33% | Both teams scored % | 42% |
| 4.0 | Corners | 5.6 |
| 3.4 | Yellow cards | 2.3 |
| 6.66 | Average rating | 6.97 |
Players to watch
Getafe
- Sebastián Boselli CB · Stopper · Moneyball Score 60 · Ball-winner, Reads the game (top 4% of his position)
- Zaid Romero CB · Stopper · Moneyball Score 49 · Reads the game, Long passer (top 12% of his position)
Atlético de Madrid
- Morten Hjulmand DMF · Ball-winner · Moneyball Score 76 · Secure passer, Hard to dribble past (top 12% of his position)
- Pablo Barrios CMF · Ball-winning midfielder · Moneyball Score 75 · Dribbler, Ball circulator (top 2% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Alejandro Grimaldo
Alejandro Grimaldo, 31 · Atlético de Madrid · LWB · Complete wing-back · Moneyball Score 61
Alejandro Grimaldo, 31, plays as a wing-back for Atlético de Madrid in La Liga. Strongest for his role in accurate crosses and expected goals. Weakest in dribbled past. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every wing-back in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average wing-back, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- LB · Full-back Natural, 61
- LWB · Wing-back Natural, 61
- LM · Wide midfielder Natural, 61
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Accurate crosses | 1.05 / 90 | 92% |
| Expected goals | 0.22 / 90 | 87% |
| Tackles | 2.30 / 90 | 67% |
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.14 / 90 | 65% |
| Key passes | 0.96 / 90 | 56% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★★ Attacking full-back Full-back
- ★★★★ Two-way wide midfielder Wide midfielder
- ★★★½ Complete wing-back Wing-back
Scout's notes: Crosser, Gets into scoring positions.
- What Alejandro Grimaldo is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Alejandro Grimaldo's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Getafe vs Atlético de Madrid prediction
Atlético de Madrid should have more of the ball, with Getafe likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; Getafe go long and direct; Atlético de Madrid like to take players on. Moneyball's model expects about 2.4 goals - 0.81 for Getafe and 1.55 for Atlético de Madrid - with over 2.5 goals at 42% and both teams scoring at 44%. Atlético de Madrid have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to take something from the trip.
Prediction: Getafe 0-2 Atlético de Madrid
Getafe vs Atlético de Madrid: what the numbers say
- 1. Atlético de Madrid unbeaten (win or draw) 81% between them
- 2. 2 goals or fewer 58% by the model, 2.36 goals expected
- 3. 4 or more cards the two sides average 11.8 cards a match between them
- 4. 9 or more corners 9.6 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.
The full analysis
Moneyball reads every match in full: win, draw and loss, the most likely scores, goals and both teams to score, with the players who decide it.
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Getafe vs Atlético de Madrid: questions and answers
When is Getafe vs Atlético de Madrid?
Getafe vs Atlético de Madrid is on Sunday 22 November 2026, kick-off 20:00 UTC, in La Liga Gameweek 13.
Where is Getafe vs Atlético de Madrid played?
At Coliseum Alfonso Pérez, Getafe, Getafe's home ground.
Who will win Getafe vs Atlético de Madrid?
Atlético de Madrid are the favourites: Getafe 19%, draw 27%, Atlético de Madrid 54%. Our prediction is Getafe 0-2 Atlético de Madrid.
Who is the player to watch in Getafe vs Atlético de Madrid?
Alejandro Grimaldo of Atlético de Madrid: a complete wing-back with a Moneyball Score of 61 against every wing-back in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Getafe vs Atlético de Madrid?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.4 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 42%.
Tags
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.