Portsmouth vs West Ham United Prediction and Stats | Championship Gameweek 17
Championship · Tuesday 24 November 2026 · 19:45 UTC · Fratton Park, Portsmouth · updated 2026-11-13
Portsmouth welcome West Ham United to Fratton Park in Portsmouth in Championship Gameweek 17 action on Tuesday 24 November 2026, kick-off 19:45 UTC.
Portsmouth have played 15 matches in the Championship this season, scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.2 goals a game and winning 40% of them. At home they average 1.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded over 8 matches, with a 67% win rate. West Ham United have played 15 matches in the Championship this season, scoring 2.5 and conceding 1.5 goals a game and winning 40% of them. Away from home they average 2.4 goals scored and 1.5 conceded over 8 matches, with a 50% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, West Ham United are narrow favourites at 44%, with the draw at 25% and Portsmouth at 31%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Portsmouth 1.42, West Ham United 1.71.
- Over 2.5 goals: 60% · both teams to score: 63%.
- Most likely score: 1–2 (9%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (15 and 15 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model.
Portsmouth: form and key numbers
In style Portsmouth play long and direct, are strong in the air.
- Expected goals: 1.25 a match created, 1.28 conceded (goals minus xG: +1.2).
- Shots: 13.4 a match, 3.6 on target.
- Possession: 51.1% on average.
- Clean sheets: 27% of matches (25% at home).
- Both teams scored in 60% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.7 a match.
- Discipline: 1.7 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.77.
West Ham United: form and key numbers
In style West Ham United keep the ball, press high, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 2.19 a match created, 1.32 conceded (goals minus xG: +4.1).
- Shots: 17.3 a match, 6.6 on target.
- Possession: 57.9% on average.
- Clean sheets: 27% of matches (50% away).
- Both teams scored in 73% of their matches.
- Corners: 7.0 a match.
- Discipline: 2.1 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.93.
Portsmouth vs West Ham United: season averages side by side
| Portsmouth | Per match this season | West Ham United |
|---|---|---|
| 15 | Matches | 15 |
| 1.3 | Goals scored | 2.5 |
| 1.2 | Goals conceded | 1.5 |
| 1.25 | Expected goals (xG) | 2.19 |
| 1.28 | xG conceded | 1.32 |
| 13.4 | Shots | 17.3 |
| 3.6 | On target | 6.6 |
| 51.1 | Possession % | 57.9 |
| 27% | Clean sheets % | 27% |
| 60% | Both teams scored % | 73% |
| 5.7 | Corners | 7.0 |
| 1.7 | Yellow cards | 2.1 |
| 6.77 | Average rating | 6.93 |
Players to watch
Portsmouth
- Marko Milovanović CF · Poacher · Moneyball Score 47 · Takes high-quality shots, Gets into scoring positions (top 1% of his position)
- Conor Shaughnessy CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 36 · Hard to dribble past, Disciplined (top 8% of his position)
West Ham United
- Arne Engels CMF · Playmaker · Moneyball Score 41 · Press-resistant, Secure passer (top 10% of his position)
- Oliver Scarles LB · Attacking full-back · Moneyball Score 37 · Crosser, Creator (top 19% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Jarrod Bowen
Jarrod Bowen, 29 · West Ham United · RWF · Creative winger · Moneyball Score 64
Jarrod Bowen, 29, plays as a winger for West Ham United in the Championship. Strongest for his role in accurate crosses and expected assists (est.). Weakest in fouls won. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every winger in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average winger, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- RW · Winger Natural, 64
- RM · Wide midfielder Natural, 62
- SS · Second striker Accomplished, 61
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Accurate crosses | 2.01 / 90 | 97% |
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.45 / 90 | 95% |
| Expected goals | 0.52 / 90 | 94% |
| Big chances created | 0.87 / 90 | 94% |
| Key passes | 3.15 / 90 | 87% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★★ Wide playmaker Wide midfielder
- ★★★★½ Creative winger Winger
- ★★★★ Shadow striker Second striker
Scout's notes: Crosser, Creator, Gets into scoring positions.
- What Jarrod Bowen is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Jarrod Bowen's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Portsmouth vs West Ham United prediction
West Ham United should have more of the ball; Portsmouth are a threat in the air and from set pieces; West Ham United work the ball wide and cross. Moneyball's model expects about 3.1 goals - 1.42 for Portsmouth and 1.71 for West Ham United - with over 2.5 goals at 60% and both teams scoring at 63%. West Ham United have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to take something from the trip.
Prediction: Portsmouth 1-2 West Ham United
Portsmouth vs West Ham United: what the numbers say
- 1. West Ham United unbeaten (win or draw) 69% between them
- 2. 3 or more goals 60% by the model, 3.13 goals expected
- 3. Both teams to score: yes 63% by the model
- 4. 4 or more cards the two sides average 4.8 cards a match between them
- 5. 10 or more corners 12.7 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.
The full analysis
Moneyball reads every match in full: win, draw and loss, the most likely scores, goals and both teams to score, with the players who decide it.
More Championship previews
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- West Ham United vs Preston North End Saturday 21 November 2026
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- Stoke City vs Birmingham City Saturday 21 November 2026
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Portsmouth vs West Ham United: questions and answers
When is Portsmouth vs West Ham United?
Portsmouth vs West Ham United is on Tuesday 24 November 2026, kick-off 19:45 UTC, in Championship Gameweek 17.
Where is Portsmouth vs West Ham United played?
At Fratton Park, Portsmouth, Portsmouth's home ground.
Who will win Portsmouth vs West Ham United?
West Ham United are the favourites: Portsmouth 31%, draw 25%, West Ham United 44%. Our prediction is Portsmouth 1-2 West Ham United.
Who is the player to watch in Portsmouth vs West Ham United?
Jarrod Bowen of West Ham United: a creative winger with a Moneyball Score of 64 against every winger in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Portsmouth vs West Ham United?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.1 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 60%.
Tags
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.