Levante vs Elche Prediction and Stats | La Liga Gameweek 13
La Liga · Monday 23 November 2026 · 20:00 UTC · Estadio Ciudad de Valencia, Valencia · updated 2026-11-13
Levante welcome Elche to Estadio Ciudad de Valencia in Valencia in La Liga Gameweek 13 action on Monday 23 November 2026, kick-off 20:00 UTC.
Levante have played 12 matches in La Liga this season, scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.8 goals a game and winning 17% of them. At home they average 2.6 goals scored and 2.4 conceded over 5 matches, with a 100% win rate. Elche have played 12 matches in La Liga this season, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.7 goals a game and winning 17% of them. Away from home they average 1.7 goals scored and 1.0 conceded over 6 matches, with a 100% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, there is little to separate them: Levante 40%, the draw 26%, Elche 34%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Levante 1.56, Elche 1.43.
- Over 2.5 goals: 58% · both teams to score: 61%.
- Most likely score: 2–1 (9%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (12 and 12 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model.
Levante: form and key numbers
In style Levante are happy without the ball, play long and direct.
- Expected goals: 1.21 a match created, 1.97 conceded (goals minus xG: +1.5).
- Shots: 11.6 a match, 3.9 on target.
- Possession: 42.8% on average.
- Clean sheets: 25% of matches (0% at home).
- Both teams scored in 58% of their matches.
- Corners: 3.3 a match.
- Discipline: 1.6 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.72.
Elche: form and key numbers
- Expected goals: 1.32 a match created, 1.53 conceded (goals minus xG: -1.9).
- Shots: 12.0 a match, 4.3 on target.
- Possession: 51.5% on average.
- Clean sheets: 25% of matches (67% away).
- Both teams scored in 50% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.9 a match.
- Discipline: 2.7 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.77.
Levante vs Elche: season averages side by side
| Levante | Per match this season | Elche |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Matches | 12 |
| 1.3 | Goals scored | 1.2 |
| 1.8 | Goals conceded | 1.7 |
| 1.21 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.32 |
| 1.97 | xG conceded | 1.53 |
| 11.6 | Shots | 12.0 |
| 3.9 | On target | 4.3 |
| 42.8 | Possession % | 51.5 |
| 25% | Clean sheets % | 25% |
| 58% | Both teams scored % | 50% |
| 3.3 | Corners | 4.9 |
| 1.6 | Yellow cards | 2.7 |
| 6.72 | Average rating | 6.77 |
Players to watch
Levante
- Mathew Ryan GK · Shot-stopper · Moneyball Score 66 · Shot-stopper, Long passer (top 24% of his position)
- Manu Sánchez LB · Defensive full-back · Moneyball Score 55 · Ball-winner, Duel winner (top 1% of his position)
Elche
- Federico Redondo DMF · Anchor · Moneyball Score 69 · Secure passer, Press-resistant (top 6% of his position)
- Gonzalo Villar CMF · Playmaker · Moneyball Score 56 · Chance creator, Ball-winner (top 25% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Fer Niño
Fer Niño, 26 · Elche · CF · Target man · Moneyball Score 67
Fer Niño, 26, plays as a centre-forward for Elche in La Liga. Strongest for his role in duels won and aerial duels won. Weakest in key passes. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every centre-forward in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average centre-forward, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- ST · Centre-forward Natural, 67
- SS · Second striker Accomplished, 58
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Duels won | 6.98 / 90 | 91% |
| Aerial duels won | 3.32 / 90 | 87% |
| Shot quality (xG per shot) | 0.19 xG/shot | 82% |
| Big chances missed | 0.23 / 90 | 77% |
| Goals, luck taken out | 0.53 / 90 | 75% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★½ Target man Centre-forward
- ★★★★ Shadow striker Second striker
- ★★★★ Poacher Centre-forward
Scout's notes: Duel winner, Dominant in the air, Takes high-quality shots.
- What Fer Niño is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Levante vs Elche prediction
Elche should have more of the ball, with Levante likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; Levante go long and direct. Moneyball's model expects about 3.0 goals - 1.56 for Levante and 1.43 for Elche - with over 2.5 goals at 58% and both teams scoring at 61%. Little separates the sides on the numbers, and a draw is the single likeliest result.
Prediction: Levante 1-1 Elche
Levante vs Elche: what the numbers say
- 1. A draw or either side by one goal is the likeliest shape no side above 40%
- 2. 3 or more goals 58% by the model, 2.99 goals expected
- 3. Both teams to score: yes 61% by the model
- 4. 4 or more cards the two sides average 5.3 cards a match between them
- 5. 10 corners or fewer 8.3 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.
The full analysis
Moneyball reads every match in full: win, draw and loss, the most likely scores, goals and both teams to score, with the players who decide it.
More La Liga previews
- Athletic Club vs Espanyol Friday 20 November 2026
- Deportivo Alavés vs Deportivo A Coruña Saturday 21 November 2026
- Rayo Vallecano vs Valencia Saturday 21 November 2026
- Sevilla vs Real Betis Saturday 21 November 2026
- Real Madrid vs Celta de Vigo Saturday 21 November 2026
- FC Barcelona vs Villarreal Sunday 22 November 2026
- Racing Santander vs Real Sociedad Sunday 22 November 2026
- Osasuna vs Málaga Sunday 22 November 2026
Levante vs Elche: questions and answers
When is Levante vs Elche?
Levante vs Elche is on Monday 23 November 2026, kick-off 20:00 UTC, in La Liga Gameweek 13.
Where is Levante vs Elche played?
At Estadio Ciudad de Valencia, Valencia, Levante's home ground.
Who will win Levante vs Elche?
It is close: Levante 40%, draw 26%, Elche 34%. Our prediction is Levante 1-1 Elche.
Who is the player to watch in Levante vs Elche?
Fer Niño of Elche: a target man with a Moneyball Score of 67 against every centre-forward in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Levante vs Elche?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.0 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 58%.
Tags
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.