Dinamo Moskva vs Krasnodar Prediction and Stats | Russian Premier League Gameweek 15
Russian Premier League · Sunday 22 November 2026 · 11:00 UTC · VTB Arena (Moskva), Moskva · updated 2026-11-13
Dinamo Moskva welcome Krasnodar to VTB Arena (Moskva) in Moskva in Russian Premier League Gameweek 15 action on Sunday 22 November 2026, kick-off 11:00 UTC.
Dinamo Moskva have played 14 matches in Russian Premier League this season, scoring 1.6 and conceding 0.9 goals a game and winning 71% of them. At home they average 2.0 goals scored and 0.6 conceded over 7 matches, with a 60% win rate. Krasnodar have played 14 matches in Russian Premier League this season, scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.3 goals a game and winning 50% of them. Away from home they average 1.7 goals scored and 1.3 conceded over 7 matches, with a 43% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Dinamo Moskva are narrow favourites at 52%, with the draw at 25% and Krasnodar at 23%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Dinamo Moskva 1.76, Krasnodar 1.09.
- Over 2.5 goals: 54% · both teams to score: 56%.
- Most likely score: 2–1 (10%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (14 and 14 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model.
Dinamo Moskva: form and key numbers
In style Dinamo Moskva keep the ball, press high, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 1.90 a match created, 0.98 conceded (goals minus xG: -3.5).
- Shots: 15.9 a match, 5.6 on target.
- Possession: 61.0% on average.
- Clean sheets: 43% of matches (50% at home).
- Both teams scored in 50% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.9 a match.
- Discipline: 1.5 yellow cards a match, 3.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.93.
Krasnodar: form and key numbers
In style Krasnodar keep the ball, play long and direct, are strong in the air.
- Expected goals: 1.42 a match created, 1.25 conceded (goals minus xG: +5.1).
- Shots: 15.0 a match, 5.6 on target.
- Possession: 57.2% on average.
- Clean sheets: 29% of matches (50% away).
- Both teams scored in 71% of their matches.
- Corners: 3.7 a match.
- Discipline: 2.6 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.87.
Dinamo Moskva vs Krasnodar: season averages side by side
| Dinamo Moskva | Per match this season | Krasnodar |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | Matches | 14 |
| 1.6 | Goals scored | 1.8 |
| 0.9 | Goals conceded | 1.3 |
| 1.90 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.42 |
| 0.98 | xG conceded | 1.25 |
| 15.9 | Shots | 15.0 |
| 5.6 | On target | 5.6 |
| 61.0 | Possession % | 57.2 |
| 43% | Clean sheets % | 29% |
| 50% | Both teams scored % | 71% |
| 4.9 | Corners | 3.7 |
| 1.5 | Yellow cards | 2.6 |
| 6.93 | Average rating | 6.87 |
Players to watch
Dinamo Moskva
- Maksim Osipenko CB · Ball-playing centre-back · Moneyball Score 26 · Long passer, Disciplined (top 7% of his position)
- K. Tyukavin CF · Poacher · Moneyball Score 25 · Rarely wastes a big chance, Takes high-quality shots (top 14% of his position)
Krasnodar
- Juan Manuel Boselli SS · Dribbling forward · Moneyball Score 25 · Dribbler, Creator (top 50% of his position)
- Douglas Augusto CMF · Ball-winning midfielder · Moneyball Score 25 · Long passer, Press-resistant (top 33% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Rubens
Rubens, 25 · Dinamo Moskva · LB · Defensive full-back · Moneyball Score 28
Rubens, 25, plays as a full-back for Dinamo Moskva in the Russian Premier League. Strongest for his role in accurate crosses and tackles. Weakest in dribbled past. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every full-back in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average full-back, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- LB · Full-back Natural, 28
- DM · Defensive midfielder Accomplished, 23
- LM · Wide midfielder Accomplished, 23
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Accurate crosses | 1.02 / 90 | 82% |
| Tackles | 3.86 / 90 | 68% |
| Passes | 63.15 / 90 | 49% |
| Interceptions | 1.63 / 90 | 43% |
| Successful dribbles | 0.61 / 90 | 40% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★½ Two-way wide midfielder Wide midfielder
- ★★½ Defensive full-back Full-back
- ★★ Attacking full-back Full-back
Scout's notes: Crosser.
- What Rubens is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Dinamo Moskva vs Krasnodar prediction
Dinamo Moskva should have more of the ball; both sides are a threat in the air and from set pieces. Moneyball's model expects about 2.8 goals - 1.76 for Dinamo Moskva and 1.09 for Krasnodar - with over 2.5 goals at 54% and both teams scoring at 56%. Dinamo Moskva have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Dinamo Moskva 2-1 Krasnodar
Dinamo Moskva vs Krasnodar: what the numbers say
- 1. Dinamo Moskva unbeaten (win or draw) 77% between them
- 2. 2 or more goals 2.85 goals expected; 2.5 is close to a coin toss (54%)
- 3. Both teams to score: yes 56% by the model
- 4. 4 or more cards the two sides average 8.1 cards a match between them
- 5. 9 or more corners 8.6 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.
The full analysis
Moneyball reads every match in full: win, draw and loss, the most likely scores, goals and both teams to score, with the players who decide it.
More Russian Premier League previews
- Rostov vs Krylya Sovetov Friday 20 November 2026
- Orenburg vs Baltika Kaliningrad Saturday 21 November 2026
- Akron vs Fakel Saturday 21 November 2026
- Rubin Kazan vs Zenit Saturday 21 November 2026
- CSKA Moskva vs Akhmat Grozny Saturday 21 November 2026
- Dynamo Makhachkala vs Spartak Moskva Sunday 22 November 2026
- Rodina Moskva vs Lokomotiv Moskva Sunday 22 November 2026
Dinamo Moskva vs Krasnodar: questions and answers
When is Dinamo Moskva vs Krasnodar?
Dinamo Moskva vs Krasnodar is on Sunday 22 November 2026, kick-off 11:00 UTC, in Russian Premier League Gameweek 15.
Where is Dinamo Moskva vs Krasnodar played?
At VTB Arena (Moskva), Moskva, Dinamo Moskva's home ground.
Who will win Dinamo Moskva vs Krasnodar?
Dinamo Moskva are the favourites: Dinamo Moskva 52%, draw 25%, Krasnodar 23%. Our prediction is Dinamo Moskva 2-1 Krasnodar.
Who is the player to watch in Dinamo Moskva vs Krasnodar?
Rubens of Dinamo Moskva: a defensive full-back with a Moneyball Score of 28 against every full-back in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Dinamo Moskva vs Krasnodar?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.8 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 54%.
Tags
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.