Czechia vs Spain Prediction and Stats
UEFA Nations League A · Friday 13 November 2026 · updated 2026-11-13
Czechia welcome Spain in UEFA Nations League A action on Friday 13 November 2026.
Czechia have little league football behind them yet this season, so their numbers lean on the league average. Spain have little league football behind them yet this season, so their numbers lean on the league average.
On the pre-match consensus, Spain are clear favourites at 77%, with the draw at 14% and Czechia at 8%.
Win probabilities
The pre-match consensus: the chance of a home win, a draw and an away win. More than 3 goals: 50%.
Czechia vs Spain: season averages side by side
| Czechia | Per match | Spain |
|---|---|---|
| 2.33 | Expected goals (xG) | 2.82 |
| 1.57 | xG conceded | 0.44 |
| 1.84 | Goals | 2.34 |
| 14.5 | Shots | 14.1 |
| 15.4 | Tackles | 14.6 |
| 16.4 | Fouls | 11.4 |
| 0.4 | Yellow cards | 0.7 |
Season averages per match from Sportmonks, over 14 and 36 measured matches.
Czechia vs Spain prediction
Moneyball's model expects about 2.7 goals - 1.49 for Czechia and 1.23 for Spain - with over 2.5 goals at 51% and both teams scoring at 55%. Spain have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to take something from the trip.
Prediction: Czechia 1-2 Spain
Czechia vs Spain: what the numbers say
- 1. Spain win, the likeliest result 77% on the pre-match consensus
- 2. 2 or more goals 2.71 goals expected; 2.5 is close to a coin toss (51%)
- 3. Both teams to score: yes 55% by the model
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.
Moneyball's reading
The Dixon-Coles and xG model reads every match: the win, draw and loss probabilities, the most likely scores and the goals probabilities. The full analysis of this match is part of Moneyball Premium.
More UEFA Nations League A previews
- Turkey vs Belgium Friday 13 November 2026
- Italy vs France Friday 13 November 2026
- England vs Croatia Friday 13 November 2026
- Netherlands vs Greece Saturday 14 November 2026
- Serbia vs Germany Saturday 14 November 2026
- Norway vs Wales Sunday 15 November 2026
Czechia vs Spain: questions and answers
When is Czechia vs Spain?
Czechia vs Spain is on Friday 13 November 2026, in UEFA Nations League A.
Who will win Czechia vs Spain?
Spain are the favourites: Czechia 8%, draw 14%, Spain 77%. Our prediction is Czechia 1-2 Spain.
How many goals will there be in Czechia vs Spain?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.7 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 51%.
Tags
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.