Bristol City vs Wrexham Prediction and Stats | Championship Gameweek 17
Championship · Tuesday 24 November 2026 · 19:45 UTC · Ashton Gate Stadium, Bristol · updated 2026-11-13
Bristol City welcome Wrexham to Ashton Gate Stadium in Bristol in Championship Gameweek 17 action on Tuesday 24 November 2026, kick-off 19:45 UTC.
Bristol City have played 15 matches in the Championship this season, scoring 1.1 and conceding 1.6 goals a game and winning 33% of them. At home they average 0.5 goals scored and 1.6 conceded over 8 matches, with a 40% win rate. Wrexham have played 15 matches in the Championship this season, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.3 goals a game and winning 27% of them. Away from home they average 0.7 goals scored and 1.6 conceded over 7 matches, with a 25% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, there is little to separate them: Bristol City 37%, the draw 29%, Wrexham 35%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Bristol City 1.26, Wrexham 1.22.
- Over 2.5 goals: 45% · both teams to score: 51%.
- Most likely score: 2–0 (7%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (15 and 15 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model.
Bristol City: form and key numbers
In style Bristol City are happy without the ball, cross a lot, are strong in the air.
- Expected goals: 1.37 a match created, 1.58 conceded (goals minus xG: -4.6).
- Shots: 13.2 a match, 4.3 on target.
- Possession: 45.2% on average.
- Clean sheets: 13% of matches (50% at home).
- Both teams scored in 53% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.3 a match.
- Discipline: 1.3 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.70.
Wrexham: form and key numbers
In style Wrexham play long and direct, are strong in the air.
- Expected goals: 1.23 a match created, 1.26 conceded (goals minus xG: -0.5).
- Shots: 11.9 a match, 3.3 on target.
- Possession: 48.1% on average.
- Clean sheets: 20% of matches (67% away).
- Both teams scored in 60% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.7 a match.
- Discipline: 1.3 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.81.
Bristol City vs Wrexham: season averages side by side
| Bristol City | Per match this season | Wrexham |
|---|---|---|
| 15 | Matches | 15 |
| 1.1 | Goals scored | 1.2 |
| 1.6 | Goals conceded | 1.3 |
| 1.37 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.23 |
| 1.58 | xG conceded | 1.26 |
| 13.2 | Shots | 11.9 |
| 4.3 | On target | 3.3 |
| 45.2 | Possession % | 48.1 |
| 13% | Clean sheets % | 20% |
| 53% | Both teams scored % | 60% |
| 5.3 | Corners | 4.7 |
| 1.3 | Yellow cards | 1.3 |
| 6.70 | Average rating | 6.81 |
Players to watch
Bristol City
- Rob Atkinson CB · Stopper · Moneyball Score 43 · Dominant in the air, Duel winner (top 3% of his position)
- Rob Dickie CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 36 · Dominant in the air, Duel winner (top 10% of his position)
Wrexham
- Max Cleworth CB · Stopper · Moneyball Score 32 · Long passer, Reads the game (top 40% of his position)
- George Dobson DMF · Anchor · Moneyball Score 32 · Reads the game, Blocks shots (top 41% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Rio Cardines
Rio Cardines, 20 · Bristol City · LWB · Attacking wing-back · Moneyball Score 44
Rio Cardines, 20, plays as a wing-back for Bristol City in the Championship. Strongest for his role in accurate crosses and key passes. Weakest in successful dribbles. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every wing-back in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average wing-back, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- LWB · Wing-back Natural, 44
- LB · Full-back Natural, 43
- RM · Wide midfielder Accomplished, 41
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Accurate crosses | 2.82 / 90 | 96% |
| Key passes | 3.45 / 90 | 95% |
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.36 / 90 | 83% |
| Dribbled past | 0.63 / 90 | 31% |
| Tackles | 1.96 / 90 | 26% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★★ Wide playmaker Wide midfielder
- ★★★★½ Attacking wing-back Wing-back
- ★★★★ Attacking full-back Full-back
Scout's notes: Crosser, Chance creator, Creator.
- What Rio Cardines is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Rio Cardines's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Bristol City vs Wrexham prediction
Wrexham should have more of the ball; both sides are a threat in the air and from set pieces. Moneyball's model expects about 2.5 goals - 1.26 for Bristol City and 1.22 for Wrexham - with over 2.5 goals at 45% and both teams scoring at 51%. Little separates the sides on the numbers, and a draw is the single likeliest result.
Prediction: Bristol City 1-1 Wrexham
Bristol City vs Wrexham: what the numbers say
- 1. A draw or either side by one goal is the likeliest shape no side above 37%
- 2. 2 goals or fewer 55% by the model, 2.49 goals expected
- 3. 4 cards or fewer the two sides average 3.6 cards a match between them
- 4. 9 or more corners 10.1 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.
The full analysis
Moneyball reads every match in full: win, draw and loss, the most likely scores, goals and both teams to score, with the players who decide it.
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Bristol City vs Wrexham: questions and answers
When is Bristol City vs Wrexham?
Bristol City vs Wrexham is on Tuesday 24 November 2026, kick-off 19:45 UTC, in Championship Gameweek 17.
Where is Bristol City vs Wrexham played?
At Ashton Gate Stadium, Bristol, Bristol City's home ground.
Who will win Bristol City vs Wrexham?
It is close: Bristol City 37%, draw 29%, Wrexham 35%. Our prediction is Bristol City 1-1 Wrexham.
Who is the player to watch in Bristol City vs Wrexham?
Rio Cardines of Bristol City: a attacking wing-back with a Moneyball Score of 44 against every wing-back in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Bristol City vs Wrexham?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.5 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 45%.
Tags
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.