VfB Stuttgart 1-1 Atlético de Madrid: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

How the match unfolded

Jamie Leweling put VfB Stuttgart ahead in the 36th minute. Atlético de Madrid levelled at 1-1 in the 47th minute through Julián Alvarez, set up by Ademola Lookman.

It was 1-0 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.

Morten Hjulmand of Atlético de Madrid was sent off in the 64th minute. The referee, S. Gözübüyük, showed 2 yellow cards: 1 to VfB Stuttgart and 1 to Atlético de Madrid.

VfB Stuttgart: S. Hoeneß, 4-2-3-1 · Atlético de Madrid: D. Simeone, 4-4-2.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Atletico Madrid -0.25. On 1-1 it was half wrong.

The estimate's most likely result was an Atlético de Madrid win at 44%; a draw, at 24%, is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (11%), exactly the final score.

The goals dried up: the estimate expected about 3.3 and the match produced two.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 63%; with 2 goals the under came in, against the way the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 65%; both did, in line with the estimate.

The pre-match consensus had an Atlético de Madrid win at 43%, the same lean as Moneyball.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-20, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

VfB Stuttgart had 5 shots on target, Atlético de Madrid 3.

VfB Stuttgart had 54% of the ball.

A red card changed the shape of the match, and no pre-match model can see one coming.

Where the two sides stood before this match

VfB Stuttgart came into it with 4 Champions League matches played, scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.0 a match, with 1.98 expected goals for and – against, and had won 50% of their matches.

Atlético de Madrid came into it with 4 Champions League matches played, scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.3 a match, with 0.88 expected goals for and – against, and had won 25% of their matches.

VfB Stuttgart vs Atlético de Madrid: the match in numbers

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Maximilian Mittelstädt (VfB Stuttgart), rated 7.9 by Sportmonks.

VfB Stuttgart

• Maximilian Mittelstädt 7.9
• Jamie Leweling 7.5 1 goal
• Angelo Stiller 7.4
• Bilal El Khannouss 7.0
• Jeff Chabot 6.9

Atlético de Madrid

• Julián Alvarez 7.7 1 goal
• Alejandro Grimaldo 7.3
• Jan Oblak 7.2
• Marc Pubill 7.1
• Dávid Hancko 7.1

The lowest-rated starter was Álex Baena at 6.3. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

• VfB Stuttgart: Schalke 04 vs VfB Stuttgart Saturday 21 November 2026 · Bundesliga
• Atlético de Madrid: Getafe vs Atlético de Madrid Sunday 22 November 2026 · La Liga

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about VfB Stuttgart vs Atlético de Madrid

What was the score in VfB Stuttgart vs Atlético de Madrid?

VfB Stuttgart 1-1 Atlético de Madrid (half-time 1-0), Champions League, Tuesday 20 October 2026.

Who scored in VfB Stuttgart vs Atlético de Madrid?

Jamie Leweling 36', Julián Alvarez 47'.

Did Moneyball predict VfB Stuttgart vs Atlético de Madrid correctly?

Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Atletico Madrid -0.25. On 1-1 it was half wrong.

Who was man of the match in VfB Stuttgart vs Atlético de Madrid?

Maximilian Mittelstädt, rated 7.9 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed VfB Stuttgart vs Atlético de Madrid?

S. Gözübüyük.