FC Union Berlin 1-1 FC Köln: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
Bundesliga Matchday 8 · Sunday 1 November 2026 · Stadion An der Alten Försterei, Berlin · referee R. Hempel · full time
Full time: FC Union Berlin 1-1 FC Köln
FC Union Berlin and FC Köln drew 1-1 in Bundesliga Matchday 8 on Sunday 1 November 2026 at Stadion An der Alten Försterei. The goals: Janik Haberer 10', Malek El Mala 79'. Moneyball's pre-match estimate had this exact score as the most likely.
How the match unfolded
Janik Haberer put FC Union Berlin ahead in the 10th minute, set up by Tim Skarke. FC Köln levelled at 1-1 in the 79th minute through Malek El Mala, set up by Alessio Castro-Montes.
It was 1-0 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.
The referee, R. Hempel, showed 7 yellow cards: 4 to FC Union Berlin and 3 to FC Köln.
FC Union Berlin: M. Lustrinelli, 3-4-1-2 · FC Köln: R. Wagner, 4-4-2.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
The prediction was right. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Under 2.75, and on 1-1 it was right.
The estimate's most likely result was a FC Union Berlin win at 38%; a draw, at 26%, is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (12%), exactly the final score.
On goals the estimate was close: about 2.9 expected, 2 scored.
Over 2.5 goals had been put at 55%; with 2 goals the under came in, against the way the estimate leaned.
Both teams to score was 59%; both did, in line with the estimate.
The pre-match consensus had a FC Köln win at 36%, a different lean from Moneyball's.
Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-11-01, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.
Why it went this way
On the day the expected goals were 1.12 for FC Union Berlin and 0.74 for FC Köln.
FC Union Berlin had 2 shots on target, FC Köln 2.
FC Köln had 63% of the ball.
Where the two sides stood before this match
FC Union Berlin came into it with 9 Bundesliga matches played, scoring 0.8 and conceding 2.3 a match, with 1.12 expected goals for and 1.93 against, and had won 11% of their matches.
FC Köln came into it with 9 Bundesliga matches played, scoring 1.1 and conceding 1.6 a match, with 1.54 expected goals for and 1.58 against, and had won 22% of their matches.
FC Union Berlin vs FC Köln: the match in numbers
| FC Union Berlin | Match statistics | FC Köln |
|---|---|---|
| 37% | Ball possession | 63% |
| 1.12 | Expected goals (xG) | 0.74 |
| 5 | Total shots | 14 |
| 2 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 1 | Big chances | 2 |
| 383 | Total passes | 636 |
| 76% | Pass accuracy | 89% |
| 2 | Corners | 6 |
| 11 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Offsides | 2 |
| 21 | Tackles | 5 |
| 1 | Saves | 1 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Tom Krauß (FC Köln), rated 7.7 by Sportmonks.
FC Union Berlin
- Janik Haberer 7.7 1 goal
- Marvin Friedrich 7.2
- András Schäfer 7.0
- Rani Khedira 7.0
- Michel Aebischer 7.0
FC Köln
- Tom Krauß 7.7
- Alessio Castro-Montes 7.5 1 assist
- Joël Schmied 7.1
- Borna Sosa 7.0
- Malek El Mala 7.0 1 goal
The lowest-rated starter was Linton Maina at 6.1. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- FC Union Berlin: FC Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig Saturday 21 November 2026 · Bundesliga
- FC Köln: FC Bayern München vs FC Köln Friday 20 November 2026 · Bundesliga
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about FC Union Berlin vs FC Köln
What was the score in FC Union Berlin vs FC Köln?
FC Union Berlin 1-1 FC Köln (half-time 1-0), Bundesliga, Sunday 1 November 2026.
Who scored in FC Union Berlin vs FC Köln?
Janik Haberer 10', Malek El Mala 79'.
Did Moneyball predict FC Union Berlin vs FC Köln correctly?
The prediction was right. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Under 2.75, and on 1-1 it was right.
Who was man of the match in FC Union Berlin vs FC Köln?
Tom Krauß, rated 7.7 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed FC Union Berlin vs FC Köln?
R. Hempel.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.