TSG Hoffenheim 2-1 Schalke 04: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
Bundesliga Matchday 9 · Sunday 8 November 2026 · SNP Arena, Sinsheim · referee M. Petersen · full time
Full time: TSG Hoffenheim 2-1 Schalke 04
TSG Hoffenheim 2-1 Schalke 04: TSG Hoffenheim took the points in Bundesliga Matchday 9 on Sunday 8 November 2026 at SNP Arena. The goals: Fisnik Asllani 10', Tim Lemperle 26', Junior Adamu 81'. Moneyball's pre-match estimate had the result right.
How TSG Hoffenheim won it
The opening goal came in the 10th minute: Fisnik Asllani for TSG Hoffenheim. Tim Lemperle made it 2-0 to TSG Hoffenheim in the 26th minute, set up by Fisnik Asllani. Junior Adamu made it 2-1 to Schalke 04 in the 81st minute.
It was 2-0 at half-time.
The referee, M. Petersen, showed 2 yellow cards: 0 to TSG Hoffenheim and 2 to Schalke 04.
TSG Hoffenheim: C. Ilzer, 4-2-3-1 · Schalke 04: M. Muslić, 4-2-3-1.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Over 2.75. On 2-1 it was half right.
The estimate's most likely result was a TSG Hoffenheim win at 55%, and that is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (10%).
On goals the estimate was close: about 3.2 expected, 3 scored.
Over 2.5 goals had been put at 62%; with 3 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.
Both teams to score was 62%; both did, in line with the estimate.
Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-11-08, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.
Why it went this way
On the day the expected goals were 2.42 for TSG Hoffenheim and 1.63 for Schalke 04.
TSG Hoffenheim had 7 shots on target, Schalke 04 6.
Schalke 04's goalkeeper made 5 saves.
Schalke 04 had 51% of the ball, but TSG Hoffenheim took the points.
Where the two sides stood before this match
TSG Hoffenheim came into it with 9 Bundesliga matches played, scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.9 a match, with 1.93 expected goals for and 1.52 against, and had won 44% of their matches.
Schalke 04 came into it with 9 Bundesliga matches played, scoring 0.6 and conceding 1.2 a match, with 1.12 expected goals for and 1.91 against, and had won 11% of their matches.
TSG Hoffenheim vs Schalke 04: the match in numbers
| TSG Hoffenheim | Match statistics | Schalke 04 |
|---|---|---|
| 49% | Ball possession | 51% |
| 2.42 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.63 |
| 15 | Total shots | 23 |
| 7 | Shots on target | 6 |
| 5 | Big chances | 4 |
| 459 | Total passes | 465 |
| 80% | Pass accuracy | 74% |
| 6 | Corners | 4 |
| 10 | Fouls | 9 |
| 6 | Offsides | 2 |
| 15 | Tackles | 14 |
| 4 | Saves | 5 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Fisnik Asllani (TSG Hoffenheim), rated 8.2 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal, 1 assist.
TSG Hoffenheim
- Fisnik Asllani 8.2 1 goal, 1 assist
- Vladimír Coufal 8.0
- Koki Machida 7.6
- Tim Lemperle 7.4 1 goal
- Mats Rots 7.4
Schalke 04
- Adil Aouchiche 7.8
- Junior Adamu 7.5 1 goal
- Junior Dina Ebimbe 7.1
- Vitalie Becker 7.1
- Hasan Kuruçay 6.9
The lowest-rated starter was Loris Karius at 5.9. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- TSG Hoffenheim: Eintracht Frankfurt vs TSG Hoffenheim Saturday 21 November 2026 · Bundesliga
- Schalke 04: Schalke 04 vs VfB Stuttgart Saturday 21 November 2026 · Bundesliga
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about TSG Hoffenheim vs Schalke 04
What was the score in TSG Hoffenheim vs Schalke 04?
TSG Hoffenheim 2-1 Schalke 04 (half-time 2-0), Bundesliga, Sunday 8 November 2026.
Who scored in TSG Hoffenheim vs Schalke 04?
Fisnik Asllani 10', Tim Lemperle 26', Junior Adamu 81'.
Did Moneyball predict TSG Hoffenheim vs Schalke 04 correctly?
Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Over 2.75. On 2-1 it was half right.
Who was man of the match in TSG Hoffenheim vs Schalke 04?
Fisnik Asllani, rated 8.2 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed TSG Hoffenheim vs Schalke 04?
M. Petersen.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.