Troyes 2-0 Le Mans: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
Ligue 1 Matchday 9 · Saturday 31 October 2026 · Complexe Sportif de l'Aube N° 2 - Terrain du Bas, Troyes · referee A. Souifi · full time
Full time: Troyes 2-0 Le Mans
Troyes 2-0 Le Mans: Troyes took the points in Ligue 1 Matchday 9 on Saturday 31 October 2026 at Complexe Sportif de l'Aube N° 2 - Terrain du Bas. The goals: Mouhamed Diop 33', Ismaël Boura 71'. Moneyball's pre-match estimate had the result right.
How Troyes won it
The opening goal came in the 33rd minute: Mouhamed Diop for Troyes, set up by Timothé Nkada. Ismaël Boura made it 2-0 to Troyes in the 71st minute, set up by Adrien Monfray.
It was 1-0 at half-time.
The referee, A. Souifi, showed 7 yellow cards: 3 to Troyes and 4 to Le Mans.
Troyes: S. Dumont, 4-3-3 · Le Mans: P. Videira, 3-1-4-2.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
Moneyball's Match Board pick, Troyes -0.25, was right: 2-0 bears it out.
The estimate's most likely result was a Troyes win at 44%, and that is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (12%).
On goals the estimate was close: about 2.8 expected, 2 scored.
Over 2.5 goals had been put at 53%; with 2 goals the under came in, against the way the estimate leaned.
Both teams to score was 57%; they did not both score, against the estimate.
Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-31, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.
Why it went this way
On the day the expected goals were 0.26 for Troyes and 1.59 for Le Mans.
Troyes scored about 1.7 more than their chances were worth: clinical finishing, or a goalkeeper having a bad day.
Le Mans left about 1.6 goals' worth of chances on the pitch.
Le Mans created the better chances, 1.59 xG to 0.26, and still lost. On chances alone, the result could easily have gone the other way.
The run of play itself went against the pre-match reading: Moneyball expected Troyes to create more, and Le Mans did.
Troyes had 8 shots on target, Le Mans 1.
Le Mans's goalkeeper made 5 saves.
Le Mans had 61% of the ball, but Troyes took the points.
Where the two sides stood before this match
Troyes came into it with 10 Ligue 1 matches played, scoring 0.7 and conceding 1.7 a match, with 1.23 expected goals for and 1.46 against, and had won 20% of their matches.
Le Mans came into it with 10 Ligue 1 matches played, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.9 a match, with 1.43 expected goals for and 1.79 against, and had won 10% of their matches.
Troyes vs Le Mans: the match in numbers
| Troyes | Match statistics | Le Mans |
|---|---|---|
| 39% | Ball possession | 61% |
| 0.26 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.59 |
| 14 | Total shots | 3 |
| 8 | Shots on target | 1 |
| 4 | Big chances | 0 |
| 363 | Total passes | 581 |
| 79% | Pass accuracy | 87% |
| 4 | Corners | 2 |
| 15 | Fouls | 16 |
| 2 | Offsides | 1 |
| 25 | Tackles | 16 |
| 1 | Saves | 5 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Mouhamed Diop (Troyes), rated 8.3 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal.
Troyes
- Mouhamed Diop 8.3 1 goal
- Adrien Monfray 8.3 1 assist
- Karim Dermane 7.6
- Merwan Ifnaoui 7.3
- Ismaël Boura 7.2 1 goal
Le Mans
- Samuel Yohou 7.5
- Nicolas Kocik 7.2
- Lucas Buadés 7.1
- Lucas Bretelle 7.1
- Raúl Torrente 6.8
The lowest-rated starter was Paolo Gozzi at 6.1. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- Troyes: Troyes vs Le Havre Friday 20 November 2026 · Ligue 1
- Le Mans: Olympique Marseille vs Le Mans Sunday 22 November 2026 · Ligue 1
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about Troyes vs Le Mans
What was the score in Troyes vs Le Mans?
Troyes 2-0 Le Mans (half-time 1-0), Ligue 1, Saturday 31 October 2026.
Who scored in Troyes vs Le Mans?
Mouhamed Diop 33', Ismaël Boura 71'.
Did Moneyball predict Troyes vs Le Mans correctly?
Moneyball's Match Board pick, Troyes -0.25, was right: 2-0 bears it out.
Who was man of the match in Troyes vs Le Mans?
Mouhamed Diop, rated 8.3 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed Troyes vs Le Mans?
A. Souifi.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.