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Tottenham Hotspur 2-0 Crystal Palace: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

Full time: Tottenham Hotspur 2-0 Crystal Palace

Tottenham Hotspur beat Crystal Palace 2-0 in Premier League Matchday 9 on Saturday 31 October 2026 at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium. The goals: Archie Gray 25', Jan Paul van Hecke 73'. Moneyball's pre-match estimate had the result right.

How Tottenham Hotspur won it

Tottenham Hotspur struck first through Archie Gray in the 25th minute, set up by Mohammed Kudus. Jan Paul van Hecke made it 2-0 to Tottenham Hotspur in the 73rd minute.

It was 1-0 at half-time.

Jean-Philippe Mateta of Crystal Palace was sent off in the 13th minute. The referee, M. Oliver, showed 2 yellow cards: 1 to Tottenham Hotspur and 1 to Crystal Palace.

Tottenham Hotspur: R. De Zerbi, 4-2-3-1 · Crystal Palace: P. Sage, 3-4-2-1.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

A correct call: the Match Board's pick was Tottenham Hotspur Win, and 2-0 bears it out.

The estimate's most likely result was a Tottenham Hotspur win at 56%, and that is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (11%).

On goals the estimate was close: about 3.0 expected, 2 scored.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 56%; with 2 goals the under came in, against the way the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 56%; they did not both score, against the estimate.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-31, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 0.21 for Tottenham Hotspur and 4.08 for Crystal Palace.

Tottenham Hotspur scored about 1.8 more than their chances were worth: clinical finishing, or a goalkeeper having a bad day.

Crystal Palace left about 4.1 goals' worth of chances on the pitch.

Crystal Palace created the better chances, 4.08 xG to 0.21, and still lost. On chances alone, the result could easily have gone the other way.

The run of play itself went against the pre-match reading: Moneyball expected Tottenham Hotspur to create more, and Crystal Palace did.

Tottenham Hotspur had 9 shots on target, Crystal Palace 1.

Crystal Palace's goalkeeper made 7 saves.

Tottenham Hotspur had 79% of the ball and turned it into the win.

A red card changed the shape of the match, and no pre-match model can see one coming.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Tottenham Hotspur came into it with 10 Premier League matches played, scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.1 a match, with 1.34 expected goals for and 1.30 against, and had won 30% of their matches.

Crystal Palace came into it with 10 Premier League matches played, scoring 1.0 and conceding 2.4 a match, with 1.28 expected goals for and 2.42 against, and had won 20% of their matches.

Tottenham Hotspur vs Crystal Palace: the match in numbers

Tottenham HotspurMatch statisticsCrystal Palace
79%Ball possession21%
0.21Expected goals (xG)4.08
34Total shots2
9Shots on target1
6Big chances0
815Total passes223
93%Pass accuracy68%
19Corners0
8Fouls10
2Offsides1
16Tackles31
1Saves7
1Yellow cards1
0Red cards1

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Jan Paul van Hecke (Tottenham Hotspur), rated 9.1 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal.

Tottenham Hotspur

Crystal Palace

The lowest-rated starter was Jean-Philippe Mateta at 5.6. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Tottenham Hotspur vs Crystal Palace

What was the score in Tottenham Hotspur vs Crystal Palace?

Tottenham Hotspur 2-0 Crystal Palace (half-time 1-0), Premier League, Saturday 31 October 2026.

Who scored in Tottenham Hotspur vs Crystal Palace?

Archie Gray 25', Jan Paul van Hecke 73'.

Did Moneyball predict Tottenham Hotspur vs Crystal Palace correctly?

A correct call: the Match Board's pick was Tottenham Hotspur Win, and 2-0 bears it out.

Who was man of the match in Tottenham Hotspur vs Crystal Palace?

Jan Paul van Hecke, rated 9.1 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Tottenham Hotspur vs Crystal Palace?

M. Oliver.

Every match, before and after

Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.

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Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.