Tottenham Hotspur 3-1 Coventry City: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
Premier League Matchday 7 · Monday 19 October 2026 · Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London · referee A. Madley · full time
Full time: Tottenham Hotspur 3-1 Coventry City
Tottenham Hotspur 3-1 Coventry City: Tottenham Hotspur took the points in Premier League Matchday 7 on Monday 19 October 2026 at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium. The goals: James Maddison 14', Jack Rudoni 49', Omar Marmoush 58', Ben Davies 90+6'. It went against Moneyball's pre-match estimate.
How Tottenham Hotspur won it
The opening goal came in the 14th minute: James Maddison for Tottenham Hotspur, set up by Mohammed Kudus. Coventry City levelled at 1-1 in the 49th minute through Jack Rudoni, set up by Brandon Thomas-Asante. Omar Marmoush made it 2-1 to Tottenham Hotspur in the 58th minute, set up by Andrew Robertson. Ben Davies made it 3-1 to Tottenham Hotspur in the 90th minute (+6), set up by Dominic Solanke.
It was 1-0 at half-time.
The referee, A. Madley, showed 4 yellow cards: 1 to Tottenham Hotspur and 3 to Coventry City.
Tottenham Hotspur: R. De Zerbi, 3-1-4-2 · Coventry City: F. Lampard, 4-2-3-1.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Coventry City +1.25, and on 3-1 it was wrong.
The estimate's most likely result was a Tottenham Hotspur win at 56%, and that is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (12%).
The match had far more goals than expected: the estimate was about 2.8 goals and there were 4.
Over 2.5 goals had been put at 52%; with 4 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.
Both teams to score was 52%; both did, in line with the estimate.
The pre-match consensus had a Tottenham Hotspur win at 63%, the same lean as Moneyball.
Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-09, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.
Why it went this way
On the day the expected goals were 1.08 for Tottenham Hotspur and 1.10 for Coventry City.
Tottenham Hotspur scored about 1.9 more than their chances were worth: clinical finishing, or a goalkeeper having a bad day.
Tottenham Hotspur had 5 shots on target, Coventry City 1.
Tottenham Hotspur had 65% of the ball and turned it into the win.
Where the two sides stood before this match
Tottenham Hotspur came into it with 10 Premier League matches played, scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.1 a match, with 1.34 expected goals for and 1.30 against, and had won 30% of their matches.
Coventry City came into it with 10 Premier League matches played, scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.9 a match, with 0.97 expected goals for and 1.63 against, and had won 30% of their matches.
Tottenham Hotspur vs Coventry City: the match in numbers
| Tottenham Hotspur | Match statistics | Coventry City |
|---|---|---|
| 65% | Ball possession | 35% |
| 1.08 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.10 |
| 16 | Total shots | 12 |
| 5 | Shots on target | 1 |
| 0 | Big chances | 1 |
| 566 | Total passes | 290 |
| 89% | Pass accuracy | 78% |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 15 | Fouls | 14 |
| 6 | Offsides | 1 |
| 13 | Tackles | 17 |
| 0 | Saves | 2 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: James Maddison (Tottenham Hotspur), rated 7.7 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal.
Tottenham Hotspur
- James Maddison 7.7 1 goal
- Jan Paul van Hecke 7.6
- Sandro Tonali 7.4
- Mohammed Kudus 7.4 1 assist
- Archie Gray 7.2
Coventry City
- Brandon Thomas-Asante 7.0 1 assist
- Ethan Pinnock 6.9
- Frank Onyeka 6.8
- Jack Rudoni 6.8 1 goal
- Matt Grimes 6.7
The lowest-rated starter was Carl Rushworth at 5.5. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- Tottenham Hotspur: Tottenham Hotspur vs Ipswich Town Saturday 21 November 2026 · Premier League
- Coventry City: Coventry City vs Crystal Palace Saturday 21 November 2026 · Premier League
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about Tottenham Hotspur vs Coventry City
What was the score in Tottenham Hotspur vs Coventry City?
Tottenham Hotspur 3-1 Coventry City (half-time 1-0), Premier League, Monday 19 October 2026.
Who scored in Tottenham Hotspur vs Coventry City?
James Maddison 14', Jack Rudoni 49', Omar Marmoush 58', Ben Davies 90+6'.
Did Moneyball predict Tottenham Hotspur vs Coventry City correctly?
The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Coventry City +1.25, and on 3-1 it was wrong.
Who was man of the match in Tottenham Hotspur vs Coventry City?
James Maddison, rated 7.7 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed Tottenham Hotspur vs Coventry City?
A. Madley.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.