MoneyballDixon-Coles · xG fusion
Back to Moneyball

Tottenham Hotspur 3-1 Coventry City: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

Full time: Tottenham Hotspur 3-1 Coventry City

Tottenham Hotspur 3-1 Coventry City: Tottenham Hotspur took the points in Premier League Matchday 7 on Monday 19 October 2026 at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium. The goals: James Maddison 14', Jack Rudoni 49', Omar Marmoush 58', Ben Davies 90+6'. It went against Moneyball's pre-match estimate.

How Tottenham Hotspur won it

The opening goal came in the 14th minute: James Maddison for Tottenham Hotspur, set up by Mohammed Kudus. Coventry City levelled at 1-1 in the 49th minute through Jack Rudoni, set up by Brandon Thomas-Asante. Omar Marmoush made it 2-1 to Tottenham Hotspur in the 58th minute, set up by Andrew Robertson. Ben Davies made it 3-1 to Tottenham Hotspur in the 90th minute (+6), set up by Dominic Solanke.

It was 1-0 at half-time.

The referee, A. Madley, showed 4 yellow cards: 1 to Tottenham Hotspur and 3 to Coventry City.

Tottenham Hotspur: R. De Zerbi, 3-1-4-2 · Coventry City: F. Lampard, 4-2-3-1.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Coventry City +1.25, and on 3-1 it was wrong.

The estimate's most likely result was a Tottenham Hotspur win at 56%, and that is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (12%).

The match had far more goals than expected: the estimate was about 2.8 goals and there were 4.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 52%; with 4 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 52%; both did, in line with the estimate.

The pre-match consensus had a Tottenham Hotspur win at 63%, the same lean as Moneyball.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-09, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 1.08 for Tottenham Hotspur and 1.10 for Coventry City.

Tottenham Hotspur scored about 1.9 more than their chances were worth: clinical finishing, or a goalkeeper having a bad day.

Tottenham Hotspur had 5 shots on target, Coventry City 1.

Tottenham Hotspur had 65% of the ball and turned it into the win.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Tottenham Hotspur came into it with 10 Premier League matches played, scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.1 a match, with 1.34 expected goals for and 1.30 against, and had won 30% of their matches.

Coventry City came into it with 10 Premier League matches played, scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.9 a match, with 0.97 expected goals for and 1.63 against, and had won 30% of their matches.

Tottenham Hotspur vs Coventry City: the match in numbers

Tottenham HotspurMatch statisticsCoventry City
65%Ball possession35%
1.08Expected goals (xG)1.10
16Total shots12
5Shots on target1
0Big chances1
566Total passes290
89%Pass accuracy78%
4Corners4
15Fouls14
6Offsides1
13Tackles17
0Saves2
1Yellow cards3

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: James Maddison (Tottenham Hotspur), rated 7.7 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal.

Tottenham Hotspur

Coventry City

The lowest-rated starter was Carl Rushworth at 5.5. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Tottenham Hotspur vs Coventry City

What was the score in Tottenham Hotspur vs Coventry City?

Tottenham Hotspur 3-1 Coventry City (half-time 1-0), Premier League, Monday 19 October 2026.

Who scored in Tottenham Hotspur vs Coventry City?

James Maddison 14', Jack Rudoni 49', Omar Marmoush 58', Ben Davies 90+6'.

Did Moneyball predict Tottenham Hotspur vs Coventry City correctly?

The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Coventry City +1.25, and on 3-1 it was wrong.

Who was man of the match in Tottenham Hotspur vs Coventry City?

James Maddison, rated 7.7 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Tottenham Hotspur vs Coventry City?

A. Madley.

Every match, before and after

Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.

Open Moneyball Match Live All match reports

Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.