Telstar vs PEC Zwolle Prediction and Stats | Eredivisie Gameweek 13
Eredivisie · Saturday 21 November 2026 · 20:00 UTC · BUKO Stadion, Velsen · updated 2026-11-13
Telstar welcome PEC Zwolle to BUKO Stadion in Velsen in Eredivisie Gameweek 13 action on Saturday 21 November 2026, kick-off 20:00 UTC.
Telstar have played 12 matches in Eredivisie this season, scoring 1.5 and conceding 2.1 goals a game and winning 17% of them. At home they average 2.0 goals scored and 2.8 conceded over 6 matches, with a 50% win rate. PEC Zwolle have played 12 matches in Eredivisie this season, scoring 1.1 and conceding 2.0 goals a game and winning 25% of them. Away from home they average 1.2 goals scored and 1.7 conceded over 6 matches, with a 33% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Telstar are narrow favourites at 48%, with the draw at 25% and PEC Zwolle at 27%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Telstar 1.75, PEC Zwolle 1.28.
- Over 2.5 goals: 59% · both teams to score: 60%.
- Most likely score: 2–1 (9%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (12 and 12 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model.
Telstar: form and key numbers
In style Telstar are happy without the ball, play long and direct.
- Expected goals: 1.38 a match created, 2.07 conceded (goals minus xG: +1.5).
- Shots: 12.4 a match, 3.8 on target.
- Possession: 45.8% on average.
- Clean sheets: 8% of matches (0% at home).
- Both teams scored in 67% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.3 a match.
- Discipline: 1.4 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.77.
PEC Zwolle: form and key numbers
In style PEC Zwolle are happy without the ball, play long and direct, are strong in the air.
- Expected goals: 1.21 a match created, 1.98 conceded (goals minus xG: -1.5).
- Shots: 12.9 a match, 4.3 on target.
- Possession: 41.7% on average.
- Clean sheets: 17% of matches (50% away).
- Both teams scored in 50% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.7 a match.
- Discipline: 1.4 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.73.
Telstar vs PEC Zwolle: season averages side by side
| Telstar | Per match this season | PEC Zwolle |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Matches | 12 |
| 1.5 | Goals scored | 1.1 |
| 2.1 | Goals conceded | 2.0 |
| 1.38 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.21 |
| 2.07 | xG conceded | 1.98 |
| 12.4 | Shots | 12.9 |
| 3.8 | On target | 4.3 |
| 45.8 | Possession % | 41.7 |
| 8% | Clean sheets % | 17% |
| 67% | Both teams scored % | 50% |
| 4.3 | Corners | 4.7 |
| 1.4 | Yellow cards | 1.4 |
| 6.77 | Average rating | 6.73 |
Players to watch
Telstar
- Abdelnour Soualhia CB · Stopper · Moneyball Score 33 · Duel winner, Dominant in the air (top 29% of his position)
- Ronald Koeman Jr. GK · Ball-playing keeper · Moneyball Score 32 · Long passer, Shot-stopper (top 5% of his position)
PEC Zwolle
- Jasper Schendelaar GK · Shot-stopper · Moneyball Score 27 · Dominant in the air, Shot-stopper (top 62% of his position)
- Simon Graves CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 26 · Blocks shots, Dominant in the air (top 17% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Ryan Thomas
Ryan Thomas, 31 · PEC Zwolle · DMF · Anchor · Moneyball Score 36
Ryan Thomas, 31, plays as a defensive midfielder for PEC Zwolle in the Eredivisie. Strongest for his role in blocked shots and interceptions. Weakest in pass accuracy. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every defensive midfielder in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average defensive midfielder, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- DM · Defensive midfielder Natural, 36
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Blocked shots | 1.04 / 90 | 90% |
| Interceptions | 2.59 / 90 | 78% |
| Duels won | 7.66 / 90 | 78% |
| Tackles | 3.11 / 90 | 61% |
| Dispossessed | 0.41 / 90 | 48% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★ Anchor Defensive midfielder
- ★★★½ Ball-winner Defensive midfielder
- ★★★ Ball-winning midfielder Central midfielder
Scout's notes: Blocks shots.
- What Ryan Thomas is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Ryan Thomas's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Telstar vs PEC Zwolle prediction
Telstar should have more of the ball; Telstar go long and direct; PEC Zwolle are a threat in the air and from set pieces. Moneyball's model expects about 3.0 goals - 1.75 for Telstar and 1.28 for PEC Zwolle - with over 2.5 goals at 59% and both teams scoring at 60%. Telstar have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Telstar 2-1 PEC Zwolle
Telstar vs PEC Zwolle: what the numbers say
- 1. Telstar unbeaten (win or draw) 73% between them
- 2. 3 or more goals 59% by the model, 3.04 goals expected
- 3. Both teams to score: yes 60% by the model
- 4. 4 or more cards the two sides average 4.8 cards a match between them
- 5. 9 or more corners 9.0 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.
The full analysis
Moneyball reads every match in full: win, draw and loss, the most likely scores, goals and both teams to score, with the players who decide it.
More Eredivisie previews
- NEC Nijmegen vs PSV Saturday 21 November 2026
- Feyenoord vs Excelsior Saturday 21 November 2026
- FC Utrecht vs SC Cambuur Saturday 21 November 2026
- FC Groningen vs SC Heerenveen Saturday 21 November 2026
- FC Twente vs Willem II Sunday 22 November 2026
- Sparta Rotterdam vs AZ Alkmaar Sunday 22 November 2026
- Ajax vs ADO Den Haag Sunday 22 November 2026
- Go Ahead Eagles vs Fortuna Sittard Sunday 22 November 2026
Telstar vs PEC Zwolle: questions and answers
When is Telstar vs PEC Zwolle?
Telstar vs PEC Zwolle is on Saturday 21 November 2026, kick-off 20:00 UTC, in Eredivisie Gameweek 13.
Where is Telstar vs PEC Zwolle played?
At BUKO Stadion, Velsen, Telstar's home ground.
Who will win Telstar vs PEC Zwolle?
Telstar are the favourites: Telstar 48%, draw 25%, PEC Zwolle 27%. Our prediction is Telstar 2-1 PEC Zwolle.
Who is the player to watch in Telstar vs PEC Zwolle?
Ryan Thomas of PEC Zwolle: a anchor with a Moneyball Score of 36 against every defensive midfielder in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Telstar vs PEC Zwolle?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.0 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 59%.
Tags
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.