Feyenoord vs Excelsior Prediction and Stats | Eredivisie Gameweek 13
Eredivisie · Saturday 21 November 2026 · 17:45 UTC · Stadion Feijenoord, Rotterdam · updated 2026-11-13
Feyenoord welcome Excelsior to Stadion Feijenoord in Rotterdam in Eredivisie Gameweek 13 action on Saturday 21 November 2026, kick-off 17:45 UTC.
Feyenoord have played 12 matches in Eredivisie this season, scoring 3.0 and conceding 1.4 goals a game and winning 58% of them. At home they average 2.4 goals scored and 1.0 conceded over 5 matches, with a 29% win rate. Excelsior have played 12 matches in Eredivisie this season, scoring 1.3 and conceding 2.4 goals a game and winning 25% of them. Away from home they average 1.8 goals scored and 1.5 conceded over 6 matches, with a 67% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Feyenoord are clear favourites at 78%, with the draw at 13% and Excelsior at 8%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Feyenoord 3.07, Excelsior 0.98.
- Over 2.5 goals: 77% · both teams to score: 60%.
- Most likely score: 3–1 (8%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (12 and 12 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model.
Feyenoord: form and key numbers
In style Feyenoord keep the ball, press high, take players on.
- Expected goals: 2.54 a match created, 1.17 conceded (goals minus xG: +5.5).
- Shots: 19.2 a match, 7.8 on target.
- Possession: 54.3% on average.
- Clean sheets: 33% of matches (50% at home).
- Both teams scored in 67% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.8 a match.
- Discipline: 1.2 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 7.05.
Excelsior: form and key numbers
In style Excelsior are happy without the ball, play long and direct, are strong in the air.
- Expected goals: 1.21 a match created, 1.92 conceded (goals minus xG: +1.4).
- Shots: 10.1 a match, 3.3 on target.
- Possession: 42.4% on average.
- Clean sheets: 17% of matches (100% away).
- Both teams scored in 50% of their matches.
- Corners: 3.8 a match.
- Discipline: 1.3 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.69.
Feyenoord vs Excelsior: season averages side by side
| Feyenoord | Per match this season | Excelsior |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Matches | 12 |
| 3.0 | Goals scored | 1.3 |
| 1.4 | Goals conceded | 2.4 |
| 2.54 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.21 |
| 1.17 | xG conceded | 1.92 |
| 19.2 | Shots | 10.1 |
| 7.8 | On target | 3.3 |
| 54.3 | Possession % | 42.4 |
| 33% | Clean sheets % | 17% |
| 67% | Both teams scored % | 50% |
| 5.8 | Corners | 3.8 |
| 1.2 | Yellow cards | 1.3 |
| 7.05 | Average rating | 6.69 |
Players to watch
Feyenoord
- Ayase Ueda CF · Poacher · Moneyball Score 67 · Takes high-quality shots, Scores and makes the chances to keep scoring (top 8% of his position)
- Anis Hadj Moussa RWF · Classic winger · Moneyball Score 59 · Dribbler, High shot volume (top 15% of his position)
Excelsior
- Casper Widell CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 31 · Dominant in the air, Blocks shots (top 18% of his position)
- Irakli Yegoian AMF · Dribbling playmaker · Moneyball Score 24 · Big-chance creator, Dribbler (top 35% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Oussama Targhalline
Oussama Targhalline, 24 · Feyenoord · CMF · Ball-winning midfielder · Moneyball Score 65
Oussama Targhalline, 24, plays as a central midfielder for Feyenoord in the Eredivisie. Strongest for his role in interceptions and successful dribbles. Weakest in expected goals. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every central midfielder in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average central midfielder, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- DM · Defensive midfielder Natural, 65
- CM · Central midfielder Natural, 65
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Interceptions | 1.78 / 90 | 95% |
| Successful dribbles | 0.76 / 90 | 93% |
| Tackles | 2.29 / 90 | 84% |
| Pass accuracy | 90% | 82% |
| Passes | 60.93 / 90 | 75% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★½ Ball-winning midfielder Central midfielder
- ★★★★ Ball-winner Defensive midfielder
- ★★★ Box-to-box midfielder Central midfielder
Scout's notes: Reads the game, Dribbler, Ball-winner.
- What Oussama Targhalline is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Oussama Targhalline's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Feyenoord vs Excelsior prediction
Feyenoord should have more of the ball, with Excelsior likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; Feyenoord like to take players on; Excelsior are a threat in the air and from set pieces. Moneyball's model expects about 4.0 goals - 3.07 for Feyenoord and 0.98 for Excelsior - with over 2.5 goals at 77% and both teams scoring at 60%. Feyenoord have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Feyenoord 3-1 Excelsior
Feyenoord vs Excelsior: what the numbers say
- 1. Feyenoord win, the likeliest result 78% on Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers
- 2. 4 or more goals 58% by the model, 4.05 goals expected
- 3. Both teams to score: yes 60% by the model
- 4. 4 cards or fewer the two sides average 3.5 cards a match between them
- 5. 9 or more corners 9.6 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.
The full analysis
Moneyball reads every match in full: win, draw and loss, the most likely scores, goals and both teams to score, with the players who decide it.
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Feyenoord vs Excelsior: questions and answers
When is Feyenoord vs Excelsior?
Feyenoord vs Excelsior is on Saturday 21 November 2026, kick-off 17:45 UTC, in Eredivisie Gameweek 13.
Where is Feyenoord vs Excelsior played?
At Stadion Feijenoord, Rotterdam, Feyenoord's home ground.
Who will win Feyenoord vs Excelsior?
Feyenoord are the favourites: Feyenoord 78%, draw 13%, Excelsior 8%. Our prediction is Feyenoord 3-1 Excelsior.
Who is the player to watch in Feyenoord vs Excelsior?
Oussama Targhalline of Feyenoord: a ball-winning midfielder with a Moneyball Score of 65 against every central midfielder in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Feyenoord vs Excelsior?
Moneyball's model expects about 4.0 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 77%.
Tags
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.