MoneyballDixon-Coles · xG fusion
Back to Moneyball

Sunderland 1-0 Chelsea: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

Full time: Sunderland 1-0 Chelsea

Sunderland 1-0 Chelsea: Sunderland took the points in Premier League Matchday 10 on Sunday 8 November 2026 at Stadium of Light. The goals: Enzo Le Fée 36'. It went against Moneyball's pre-match estimate.

How Sunderland won it

Sunderland struck first through Enzo Le Fée from the penalty spot in the 36th minute.

It was 1-0 at half-time, and nothing changed after the break.

The referee, J. Gillett, showed 10 yellow cards: 6 to Sunderland and 4 to Chelsea.

Sunderland: R. Le Bris, 4-2-3-1 · Chelsea: X. Alonso Olano, 4-3-2-1.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Chelsea -0.25, and on 1-0 it was wrong.

The estimate's most likely result was a Chelsea win at 45%; a Sunderland win, at 28%, is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (13%).

The goals dried up: the estimate expected about 2.7 and the match produced one.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 51%; with 1 goal the under came in, against the way the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 55%; they did not both score, against the estimate.

The pre-match consensus had a Chelsea win at 50%, the same lean as Moneyball.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-11-08, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 0.69 for Sunderland and 2.32 for Chelsea.

Chelsea left about 2.3 goals' worth of chances on the pitch.

Chelsea created the better chances, 2.32 xG to 0.69, and still lost. On chances alone, the result could easily have gone the other way.

Sunderland had 2 shots on target, Chelsea 4.

Chelsea had 69% of the ball, but Sunderland took the points.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Sunderland came into it with 10 Premier League matches played, scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.7 a match, with 1.58 expected goals for and 1.48 against, and had won 20% of their matches.

Chelsea came into it with 10 Premier League matches played, scoring 1.9 and conceding 1.6 a match, with 1.39 expected goals for and 1.44 against, and had won 50% of their matches.

Sunderland vs Chelsea: the match in numbers

SunderlandMatch statisticsChelsea
31%Ball possession69%
0.69Expected goals (xG)2.32
9Total shots10
2Shots on target4
4Big chances1
295Total passes659
69%Pass accuracy89%
2Corners2
17Fouls8
2Offsides0
24Tackles12
4Saves1
5Yellow cards4

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Enzo Le Fée (Sunderland), rated 7.5 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal.

Sunderland

Chelsea

The lowest-rated starter was Morgan Rogers at 6.3. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Sunderland vs Chelsea

What was the score in Sunderland vs Chelsea?

Sunderland 1-0 Chelsea (half-time 1-0), Premier League, Sunday 8 November 2026.

Who scored in Sunderland vs Chelsea?

Enzo Le Fée 36'.

Did Moneyball predict Sunderland vs Chelsea correctly?

The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Chelsea -0.25, and on 1-0 it was wrong.

Who was man of the match in Sunderland vs Chelsea?

Enzo Le Fée, rated 7.5 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Sunderland vs Chelsea?

J. Gillett.

Every match, before and after

Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.

Open Moneyball Match Live All match reports

Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.