Slovenia vs Switzerland Prediction and Stats
UEFA Nations League B · Saturday 14 November 2026 · updated 2026-11-13
Slovenia welcome Switzerland in UEFA Nations League B action on Saturday 14 November 2026.
Slovenia have little league football behind them yet this season, so their numbers lean on the league average. Switzerland have little league football behind them yet this season, so their numbers lean on the league average.
On the pre-match consensus, Switzerland are narrow favourites at 56%, with the draw at 26% and Slovenia at 18%.
Win probabilities
The pre-match consensus: the chance of a home win, a draw and an away win. More than 2.5 goals: 46%.
Slovenia vs Switzerland: season averages side by side
| Slovenia | Per match | Switzerland |
|---|---|---|
| 0.83 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.62 |
| 1.21 | xG conceded | 0.90 |
| 0.69 | Goals | 2.10 |
| 10.5 | Shots | 10.6 |
| 13.0 | Tackles | 14.2 |
| 13.6 | Fouls | 12.1 |
| 1.5 | Yellow cards | 0.9 |
Season averages per match from Sportmonks, over 24 and 30 measured matches.
Slovenia vs Switzerland prediction
Moneyball's model expects about 2.7 goals - 1.49 for Slovenia and 1.23 for Switzerland - with over 2.5 goals at 51% and both teams scoring at 55%. Switzerland have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to take something from the trip.
Prediction: Slovenia 1-2 Switzerland
Slovenia vs Switzerland: what the numbers say
- 1. Switzerland win, the likeliest result 56% on the pre-match consensus
- 2. 2 or more goals 2.71 goals expected; 2.5 is close to a coin toss (51%)
- 3. Both teams to score: yes 55% by the model
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.
Moneyball's reading
The Dixon-Coles and xG model reads every match: the win, draw and loss probabilities, the most likely scores and the goals probabilities. The full analysis of this match is part of Moneyball Premium.
More UEFA Nations League B previews
- Scotland vs North Macedonia Saturday 14 November 2026
- Kosovo vs Israel Saturday 14 November 2026
- Georgia vs Hungary Sunday 15 November 2026
- Romania vs Poland Sunday 15 November 2026
- Sweden vs Bosnia and Herzegovina Sunday 15 November 2026
- Austria vs Republic of Ireland Sunday 15 November 2026
Slovenia vs Switzerland: questions and answers
When is Slovenia vs Switzerland?
Slovenia vs Switzerland is on Saturday 14 November 2026, in UEFA Nations League B.
Who will win Slovenia vs Switzerland?
Switzerland are the favourites: Slovenia 18%, draw 26%, Switzerland 56%. Our prediction is Slovenia 1-2 Switzerland.
How many goals will there be in Slovenia vs Switzerland?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.7 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 51%.
Tags
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.