Kosovo vs Israel Prediction and Stats
UEFA Nations League B · Saturday 14 November 2026 · updated 2026-11-13
Kosovo welcome Israel in UEFA Nations League B action on Saturday 14 November 2026.
Kosovo have little league football behind them yet this season, so their numbers lean on the league average. Israel have little league football behind them yet this season, so their numbers lean on the league average.
On the pre-match consensus, Kosovo are narrow favourites at 46%, with the draw at 28% and Israel at 26%.
Win probabilities
The pre-match consensus: the chance of a home win, a draw and an away win. More than 2.5 goals: 50%.
Kosovo vs Israel: season averages side by side
| Kosovo | Per match | Israel |
|---|---|---|
| 1.37 | Expected goals (xG) | 2.11 |
| 1.41 | xG conceded | 1.94 |
| 2.00 | Goals | 2.11 |
| 13.8 | Shots | 14.1 |
| 13.0 | Tackles | 13.5 |
| 12.8 | Fouls | 9.3 |
| 2.2 | Yellow cards | 1.0 |
Season averages per match from Sportmonks, over 12 and 20 measured matches.
Kosovo vs Israel prediction
Moneyball's model expects about 2.7 goals - 1.49 for Kosovo and 1.23 for Israel - with over 2.5 goals at 51% and both teams scoring at 55%. Kosovo have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Kosovo 2-1 Israel
Kosovo vs Israel: what the numbers say
- 1. Kosovo unbeaten (win or draw) 74% between them
- 2. 2 or more goals 2.71 goals expected; 2.5 is close to a coin toss (51%)
- 3. Both teams to score: yes 55% by the model
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.
Moneyball's reading
The Dixon-Coles and xG model reads every match: the win, draw and loss probabilities, the most likely scores and the goals probabilities. The full analysis of this match is part of Moneyball Premium.
More UEFA Nations League B previews
- Scotland vs North Macedonia Saturday 14 November 2026
- Slovenia vs Switzerland Saturday 14 November 2026
- Georgia vs Hungary Sunday 15 November 2026
- Romania vs Poland Sunday 15 November 2026
- Sweden vs Bosnia and Herzegovina Sunday 15 November 2026
- Austria vs Republic of Ireland Sunday 15 November 2026
Kosovo vs Israel: questions and answers
When is Kosovo vs Israel?
Kosovo vs Israel is on Saturday 14 November 2026, in UEFA Nations League B.
Who will win Kosovo vs Israel?
Kosovo are the favourites: Kosovo 46%, draw 28%, Israel 26%. Our prediction is Kosovo 2-1 Israel.
How many goals will there be in Kosovo vs Israel?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.7 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 51%.
Tags
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.