Slovan Bratislava vs Real Betis Prediction and Stats | Champions League Gameweek 5
Champions League · Tuesday 24 November 2026 · 20:00 UTC · Štadión Tehelné pole, Bratislava · updated 2026-11-13
Slovan Bratislava welcome Real Betis to Štadión Tehelné pole in Bratislava in Champions League Gameweek 5 action on Tuesday 24 November 2026, kick-off 20:00 UTC.
Slovan Bratislava have played 4 matches in the Champions League this season, scoring 0.3 and conceding 4.3 goals a game and winning 0% of them. At home they average 0.0 goals scored and 3.0 conceded over 1 match, with a 25% win rate. Real Betis have played 4 matches in the Champions League this season, scoring 2.0 and conceding 1.5 goals a game and winning 75% of them. Away from home they average 2.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded over 2 matches, with a 33% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Real Betis are clear favourites at 68%, with the draw at 18% and Slovan Bratislava at 14%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Slovan Bratislava 1.07, Real Betis 2.50.
- Over 2.5 goals: 69% · both teams to score: 61%.
- Most likely score: 1–3 (8%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (4 and 12 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model.
Slovan Bratislava: form and key numbers
- Expected goals: 0.57 a match created (goals minus xG: +5.3).
- Shots: 10.4 a match, 3.7 on target.
- Possession: 40.3% on average.
- Clean sheets: 20% of matches (50% at home).
- Both teams scored in 50% of their matches.
- Corners: 2.6 a match.
- Discipline: 1.9 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.55.
Real Betis: form and key numbers
In style Real Betis keep the ball, press high, take players on.
- Expected goals: 1.71 a match created (goals minus xG: +1.1).
- Shots: 17.8 a match, 6.5 on target.
- Possession: 51.3% on average.
- Clean sheets: 25% of matches (0% away).
- Both teams scored in 75% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.8 a match.
- Discipline: 3.0 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.91.
Slovan Bratislava vs Real Betis: season averages side by side
| Slovan Bratislava | Per match this season | Real Betis |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Matches | 4 |
| 0.3 | Goals scored | 2.0 |
| 4.3 | Goals conceded | 1.5 |
| 0.57 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.71 |
| 10.4 | Shots | 17.8 |
| 3.7 | On target | 6.5 |
| 40.3 | Possession % | 51.3 |
| 20% | Clean sheets % | 25% |
| 50% | Both teams scored % | 75% |
| 2.6 | Corners | 4.8 |
| 1.9 | Yellow cards | 3.0 |
| 6.55 | Average rating | 6.91 |
Players to watch
Real Betis
- Álvaro Valles GK · Shot-stopper · Moneyball Score 76 · Dominant in the air, Long passer (top 10% of his position)
- Pablo Fornals CMF · Playmaker · Moneyball Score 70 · Chance creator, Creator (top 3% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Isco
Isco, 34 · Real Betis · AMF · Shadow striker · Moneyball Score 83
Isco, 34, plays as an attacking midfielder for Real Betis in La Liga. Strongest for his role in expected goals and key passes. Weakest in through balls. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every attacking midfielder in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average attacking midfielder, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- CAM · Attacking midfielder Natural, 83
- CM · Central midfielder Accomplished, 74
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Expected goals | 0.50 / 90 | 100% |
| Key passes | 3.96 / 90 | 99% |
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.32 / 90 | 98% |
| Pass accuracy | 91% | 94% |
| Shots | 3.08 / 90 | 87% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★½ Shadow striker Attacking midfielder
- ★★★★½ Playmaker Central midfielder
- ★★★★ Dribbling playmaker Attacking midfielder
Scout's notes: Gets into scoring positions, Chance creator, Creator.
- What Isco is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Slovan Bratislava vs Real Betis prediction
Moneyball's model expects about 3.6 goals - 1.07 for Slovan Bratislava and 2.50 for Real Betis - with over 2.5 goals at 69% and both teams scoring at 61%. Real Betis have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to take something from the trip.
Prediction: Slovan Bratislava 1-3 Real Betis
Slovan Bratislava vs Real Betis: what the numbers say
- 1. Real Betis win, the likeliest result 68% on Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers
- 2. 3 or more goals 69% by the model, 3.57 goals expected
- 3. Both teams to score: yes 61% by the model
- 4. 4 or more cards the two sides average 4.9 cards a match between them
- 5. 10 corners or fewer 7.3 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.
The full analysis
Moneyball reads every match in full: win, draw and loss, the most likely scores, goals and both teams to score, with the players who decide it.
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Slovan Bratislava vs Real Betis: questions and answers
When is Slovan Bratislava vs Real Betis?
Slovan Bratislava vs Real Betis is on Tuesday 24 November 2026, kick-off 20:00 UTC, in Champions League Gameweek 5.
Where is Slovan Bratislava vs Real Betis played?
At Štadión Tehelné pole, Bratislava, Slovan Bratislava's home ground.
Who will win Slovan Bratislava vs Real Betis?
Real Betis are the favourites: Slovan Bratislava 14%, draw 18%, Real Betis 68%. Our prediction is Slovan Bratislava 1-3 Real Betis.
Who is the player to watch in Slovan Bratislava vs Real Betis?
Isco of Real Betis: a shadow striker with a Moneyball Score of 83 against every attacking midfielder in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Slovan Bratislava vs Real Betis?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.6 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 69%.
Tags
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.