Bodø / Glimt vs LASK Prediction and Stats | Champions League Gameweek 5
Champions League · Tuesday 24 November 2026 · 17:45 UTC · Aspmyra Stadion, Bodø · updated 2026-11-13
Bodø / Glimt welcome LASK to Aspmyra Stadion in Bodø in Champions League Gameweek 5 action on Tuesday 24 November 2026, kick-off 17:45 UTC.
Bodø / Glimt have played 4 matches in the Champions League this season, scoring 1.0 and conceding 2.3 goals a game and winning 25% of them. At home they average 0.5 goals scored and 0.0 conceded over 2 matches, with a 75% win rate. LASK have played 4 matches in the Champions League this season, scoring 2.5 and conceding 2.3 goals a game and winning 50% of them. Away from home they average 1.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded over 2 matches, with a 33% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, there is little to separate them: Bodø / Glimt 38%, the draw 23%, LASK 38%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Bodø / Glimt 1.75, LASK 1.75.
- Over 2.5 goals: 68% · both teams to score: 69%.
- Most likely score: 2–1 (8%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (4 and 4 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model.
Bodø / Glimt: form and key numbers
- Expected goals: 1.65 a match created (goals minus xG: +2.8).
- Shots: 11.3 a match, 4.8 on target.
- Possession: 52.8% on average.
- Clean sheets: 38% of matches (100% at home).
- Both teams scored in 50% of their matches.
- Corners: 3.9 a match.
- Discipline: 0.8 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.83.
LASK: form and key numbers
- Expected goals: 2.26 a match created (goals minus xG: +1.4).
- Shots: 20.5 a match, 6.7 on target.
- Possession: 44.8% on average.
- Clean sheets: 17% of matches (0% away).
- Both teams scored in 50% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.2 a match.
- Discipline: 2.0 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.89.
Bodø / Glimt vs LASK: season averages side by side
| Bodø / Glimt | Per match this season | LASK |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Matches | 4 |
| 1.0 | Goals scored | 2.5 |
| 2.3 | Goals conceded | 2.3 |
| 1.65 | Expected goals (xG) | 2.26 |
| 11.3 | Shots | 20.5 |
| 4.8 | On target | 6.7 |
| 52.8 | Possession % | 44.8 |
| 38% | Clean sheets % | 17% |
| 50% | Both teams scored % | 50% |
| 3.9 | Corners | 5.2 |
| 0.8 | Yellow cards | 2.0 |
| 6.83 | Average rating | 6.89 |
Bodø / Glimt vs LASK prediction
Moneyball's model expects about 3.5 goals - 1.75 for Bodø / Glimt and 1.75 for LASK - with over 2.5 goals at 68% and both teams scoring at 69%. Little separates the sides on the numbers, and a draw is the single likeliest result.
Prediction: Bodø / Glimt 1-1 LASK
Bodø / Glimt vs LASK: what the numbers say
- 1. A draw or either side by one goal is the likeliest shape no side above 38%
- 2. 3 or more goals 68% by the model, 3.50 goals expected
- 3. Both teams to score: yes 69% by the model
- 4. 4 cards or fewer the two sides average 3.8 cards a match between them
- 5. 9 or more corners 9.1 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.
The full analysis
Moneyball reads every match in full: win, draw and loss, the most likely scores, goals and both teams to score, with the players who decide it.
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Bodø / Glimt vs LASK: questions and answers
When is Bodø / Glimt vs LASK?
Bodø / Glimt vs LASK is on Tuesday 24 November 2026, kick-off 17:45 UTC, in Champions League Gameweek 5.
Where is Bodø / Glimt vs LASK played?
At Aspmyra Stadion, Bodø, Bodø / Glimt's home ground.
Who will win Bodø / Glimt vs LASK?
It is close: Bodø / Glimt 38%, draw 23%, LASK 38%. Our prediction is Bodø / Glimt 1-1 LASK.
How many goals will there be in Bodø / Glimt vs LASK?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.5 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 68%.
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Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.