Sint-Truiden 1-2 OH Leuven: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

How OH Leuven won it

Sint-Truiden struck first through Nathanaël Mbuku in the 46th minute, set up by Frédéric Soèllé Soèllé. OH Leuven levelled at 1-1 in the 53rd minute through Robin Mirisola, set up by Siebe Schrijvers. OH Leuven turned it round: Davis Opoku made it 1-2 in the 81st minute, set up by Wouter George.

It was 0-0 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.

The lead changed hands once.

The referee, M. Allaerts, showed 5 yellow cards: 1 to Sint-Truiden and 4 to OH Leuven. Ilias Sebaoui missed a penalty for Sint-Truiden in the 24 minute. Nathanaël Mbuku missed a penalty for Sint-Truiden in the 32 minute.

Sint-Truiden: F. De Meyer, 4-2-3-1 · OH Leuven: T. Simons, 3-4-3.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Sint-Truiden Win, and on 1-2 it was wrong.

The estimate's most likely result was a Sint-Truiden win at 55%; an OH Leuven win, at 22%, is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (10%).

On goals the estimate was close: about 3.2 expected, 3 scored.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 62%; with 3 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 62%; both did, in line with the estimate.

The pre-match consensus had a Sint-Truiden win at 56%, the same lean as Moneyball.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-11-01, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 1.51 for Sint-Truiden and 4.22 for OH Leuven.

OH Leuven left about 2.2 goals' worth of chances on the pitch.

The run of play itself went against the pre-match reading: Moneyball expected Sint-Truiden to create more, and OH Leuven did.

Sint-Truiden had 7 shots on target, OH Leuven 5.

OH Leuven's goalkeeper made 6 saves.

Sint-Truiden had 65% of the ball, but OH Leuven took the points.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Sint-Truiden came into it with 11 Belgian Pro League matches played, scoring 2.0 and conceding 2.0 a match, with 2.21 expected goals for and 1.64 against, and had won 27% of their matches.

OH Leuven came into it with 11 Belgian Pro League matches played, scoring 1.1 and conceding 1.6 a match, with 1.49 expected goals for and 2.11 against, and had won 27% of their matches.

Sint-Truiden vs OH Leuven: the match in numbers

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Dani van den Heuvel (OH Leuven), rated 9.0 by Sportmonks.

Sint-Truiden

• Nelson Ishiwatari 7.6
• Joedrick Pupe 7.3
• Nathanaël Mbuku 7.2 1 goal
• Abdoulaye Sissako 7.1
• Frédéric Soèllé Soèllé 7.0 1 assist

OH Leuven

• Dani van den Heuvel 9.0
• Siebe Schrijvers 8.4 1 assist
• Robin Mirisola 8.3 1 goal
• Davis Opoku 8.0 1 goal
• Emmanuel Addai 7.6

The lowest-rated starter was Taiga Hata at 6.0. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

• Sint-Truiden: Sporting Charleroi vs Sint-Truiden Saturday 21 November 2026 · Belgian Pro League
• OH Leuven: Anderlecht vs OH Leuven Sunday 22 November 2026 · Belgian Pro League

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Sint-Truiden vs OH Leuven

What was the score in Sint-Truiden vs OH Leuven?

Sint-Truiden 1-2 OH Leuven (half-time 0-0), Belgian Pro League, Sunday 1 November 2026.

Who scored in Sint-Truiden vs OH Leuven?

Nathanaël Mbuku 46', Robin Mirisola 53', Davis Opoku 81'.

Did Moneyball predict Sint-Truiden vs OH Leuven correctly?

The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Sint-Truiden Win, and on 1-2 it was wrong.

Who was man of the match in Sint-Truiden vs OH Leuven?

Dani van den Heuvel, rated 9.0 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Sint-Truiden vs OH Leuven?

M. Allaerts.