Sporting Charleroi vs Sint-Truiden Prediction and Stats | Belgian Pro League Gameweek 12
Belgian Pro League · Saturday 21 November 2026 · 15:00 UTC · Stade du Pays de Charleroi, Charleroi · updated 2026-11-13
Sporting Charleroi welcome Sint-Truiden to Stade du Pays de Charleroi in Charleroi in Belgian Pro League Gameweek 12 action on Saturday 21 November 2026, kick-off 15:00 UTC.
Sporting Charleroi have played 11 matches in Belgian Pro League this season, scoring 2.4 and conceding 1.2 goals a game and winning 82% of them. At home they average 3.0 goals scored and 1.6 conceded over 5 matches, with a 44% win rate. Sint-Truiden have played 11 matches in Belgian Pro League this season, scoring 2.0 and conceding 2.0 goals a game and winning 27% of them. Away from home they average 2.4 goals scored and 2.6 conceded over 5 matches, with a 33% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Sporting Charleroi are clear favourites at 62%, with the draw at 19% and Sint-Truiden at 19%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Sporting Charleroi 2.55, Sint-Truiden 1.39.
- Over 2.5 goals: 75% · both teams to score: 70%.
- Most likely score: 3–1 (7%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (11 and 11 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model.
Sporting Charleroi: form and key numbers
In style Sporting Charleroi keep the ball, press high, play long and direct.
- Expected goals: 2.21 a match created, 1.05 conceded (goals minus xG: +1.7).
- Shots: 16.9 a match, 6.2 on target.
- Possession: 55.9% on average.
- Clean sheets: 36% of matches (25% at home).
- Both teams scored in 55% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.4 a match.
- Discipline: 1.6 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 7.00.
Sint-Truiden: form and key numbers
In style Sint-Truiden keep the ball, press high, play long and direct.
- Expected goals: 2.21 a match created, 1.64 conceded (goals minus xG: -2.4).
- Shots: 16.2 a match, 5.0 on target.
- Possession: 57.3% on average.
- Clean sheets: 9% of matches (0% away).
- Both teams scored in 64% of their matches.
- Corners: 6.1 a match.
- Discipline: 1.8 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.87.
Sporting Charleroi vs Sint-Truiden: season averages side by side
| Sporting Charleroi | Per match this season | Sint-Truiden |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Matches | 11 |
| 2.4 | Goals scored | 2.0 |
| 1.2 | Goals conceded | 2.0 |
| 2.21 | Expected goals (xG) | 2.21 |
| 1.05 | xG conceded | 1.64 |
| 16.9 | Shots | 16.2 |
| 6.2 | On target | 5.0 |
| 55.9 | Possession % | 57.3 |
| 36% | Clean sheets % | 9% |
| 55% | Both teams scored % | 64% |
| 5.4 | Corners | 6.1 |
| 1.6 | Yellow cards | 1.8 |
| 7.00 | Average rating | 6.87 |
Players to watch
Sporting Charleroi
- Patrick Pflücke RWF · Creative winger · Moneyball Score 64 · Crosser, Chance creator (top 2% of his position)
- Freddy Mbemba LWF · Inside forward · Moneyball Score 60 · Draws fouls, Chance creator (top 22% of his position)
Sint-Truiden
- Visar Musliu CB · Ball-playing centre-back · Moneyball Score 67 · Long passer, Dominant in the air (top 10% of his position)
- Ilias Sebaoui LWF · Inside forward · Moneyball Score 61 · Gets into scoring positions, High shot volume (top 2% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Aurélien Scheidler
Aurélien Scheidler, 28 · Sporting Charleroi · CF · Target man · Moneyball Score 82
Aurélien Scheidler, 28, plays as a centre-forward for Sporting Charleroi in the Belgian Pro League. Strongest for his role in aerial duels won and shot quality (xG per shot). Weakest in big chances missed. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every centre-forward in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average centre-forward, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- ST · Centre-forward Natural, 82
- SS · Second striker Accomplished, 71
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Aerial duels won | 6.38 / 90 | 99% |
| Shot quality (xG per shot) | 0.22 xG/shot | 96% |
| Duels won | 8.89 / 90 | 94% |
| Expected goals | 0.82 / 90 | 89% |
| Goals, luck taken out | 0.79 / 90 | 86% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★★ Target man Centre-forward
- ★★★★½ Shadow striker Second striker
- ★★★★½ Poacher Centre-forward
Scout's notes: Dominant in the air, Takes high-quality shots, Duel winner.
- What Aurélien Scheidler is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Aurélien Scheidler's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Sporting Charleroi vs Sint-Truiden prediction
Sint-Truiden should have more of the ball; Sporting Charleroi are a threat in the air and from set pieces; Sint-Truiden work the ball wide and cross. Moneyball's model expects about 3.9 goals - 2.55 for Sporting Charleroi and 1.39 for Sint-Truiden - with over 2.5 goals at 75% and both teams scoring at 70%. Sporting Charleroi have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Sporting Charleroi 3-1 Sint-Truiden
Sporting Charleroi vs Sint-Truiden: what the numbers say
- 1. Sporting Charleroi win, the likeliest result 62% on Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers
- 2. 4 or more goals 56% by the model, 3.95 goals expected
- 3. Both teams to score: yes 70% by the model
- 4. 4 or more cards the two sides average 5.4 cards a match between them
- 5. 10 or more corners 11.4 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.
The full analysis
Moneyball reads every match in full: win, draw and loss, the most likely scores, goals and both teams to score, with the players who decide it.
More Belgian Pro League previews
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- SK Beveren vs Gent Sunday 22 November 2026
- KV Kortrijk vs Union Saint-Gilloise Sunday 22 November 2026
- Anderlecht vs OH Leuven Sunday 22 November 2026
- Lommel SK vs Standard Liège Sunday 22 November 2026
Sporting Charleroi vs Sint-Truiden: questions and answers
When is Sporting Charleroi vs Sint-Truiden?
Sporting Charleroi vs Sint-Truiden is on Saturday 21 November 2026, kick-off 15:00 UTC, in Belgian Pro League Gameweek 12.
Where is Sporting Charleroi vs Sint-Truiden played?
At Stade du Pays de Charleroi, Charleroi, Sporting Charleroi's home ground.
Who will win Sporting Charleroi vs Sint-Truiden?
Sporting Charleroi are the favourites: Sporting Charleroi 62%, draw 19%, Sint-Truiden 19%. Our prediction is Sporting Charleroi 3-1 Sint-Truiden.
Who is the player to watch in Sporting Charleroi vs Sint-Truiden?
Aurélien Scheidler of Sporting Charleroi: a target man with a Moneyball Score of 82 against every centre-forward in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Sporting Charleroi vs Sint-Truiden?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.9 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 75%.
Tags
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.