Sassuolo 2-4 Fiorentina: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
Serie A Matchday 10 · Monday 2 November 2026 · MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore, Reggio Emilia · referee M. Marcenaro · full time
Full time: Sassuolo 2-4 Fiorentina
Fiorentina beat Sassuolo 4-2 in Serie A Matchday 10 on Monday 2 November 2026 at MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore. The goals: Armand Laurienté 25', Mateo Pellegrino 45+2', Alieu Njie 50', Armand Laurienté 65', Franco Mastantuono 79', Víctor Valdepeñas 90+3'. It went against Moneyball's pre-match estimate.
How Fiorentina won it
Sassuolo struck first through Armand Laurienté in the 25th minute, set up by Sebastiano Esposito. Fiorentina levelled at 1-1 in the 45th minute (+2) through Mateo Pellegrino, set up by Alieu Njie. Fiorentina turned it round: Alieu Njie made it 1-2 in the 50th minute, set up by Marco Brescianini. Sassuolo levelled at 2-2 in the 65th minute through Armand Laurienté, set up by Nemanja Matić. Franco Mastantuono made it 2-3 to Fiorentina in the 79th minute, set up by Pedro Gonçalves. Víctor Valdepeñas made it 2-4 to Fiorentina in the 90th minute (+3), set up by Cher Ndour.
It was 1-1 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.
Armand Laurienté scored twice.
The lead changed hands once.
The referee, M. Marcenaro, showed 5 yellow cards: 2 to Sassuolo and 3 to Fiorentina.
Sassuolo: A. Aquilani, 4-3-3 · Fiorentina: P. Vanoli, 4-3-3.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Under 3.00, and on 2-4 it was wrong.
The estimate's most likely result was a Fiorentina win at 40%, and that is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (11%).
The match had far more goals than expected: the estimate was about 3.2 goals and there were 6.
Over 2.5 goals had been put at 61%; with 6 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.
Both teams to score was 64%; both did, in line with the estimate.
The pre-match consensus had a Fiorentina win at 38%, the same lean as Moneyball.
Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-11-02, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.
Why it went this way
On the day the expected goals were 2.08 for Sassuolo and 0.65 for Fiorentina.
Fiorentina made more of their chances than the xG suggests, by about 3.3 goals.
Sassuolo created the better chances, 2.08 xG to 0.65, and still lost. On chances alone, the result could easily have gone the other way.
The run of play itself went against the pre-match reading: Moneyball expected Fiorentina to create more, and Sassuolo did.
Sassuolo had 2 shots on target, Fiorentina 6.
Sassuolo had 58% of the ball, but Fiorentina took the points.
Where the two sides stood before this match
Sassuolo came into it with 11 Serie A matches played, scoring 1.4 and conceding 2.6 a match, with 1.27 expected goals for and 1.94 against, and had won 18% of their matches.
Fiorentina came into it with 11 Serie A matches played, scoring 1.6 and conceding 2.3 a match, with 1.72 expected goals for and 1.63 against, and had won 18% of their matches.
Sassuolo vs Fiorentina: the match in numbers
| Sassuolo | Match statistics | Fiorentina |
|---|---|---|
| 58% | Ball possession | 42% |
| 2.08 | Expected goals (xG) | 0.65 |
| 7 | Total shots | 15 |
| 2 | Shots on target | 6 |
| 2 | Big chances | 2 |
| 561 | Total passes | 404 |
| 88% | Pass accuracy | 83% |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 12 | Fouls | 15 |
| 4 | Offsides | 0 |
| 18 | Tackles | 20 |
| 2 | Saves | 0 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Armand Laurienté (Sassuolo), rated 8.9 by Sportmonks, with 2 goals.
Sassuolo
- Armand Laurienté 8.9 2 goals
- Nemanja Matić 7.5 1 assist
- Sebastiano Esposito 7.3 1 assist
- Domenico Berardi 7.2
- Darryl Bakola 6.6
Fiorentina
- Alieu Njie 7.8 1 goal, 1 assist
- Franco Mastantuono 7.5 1 goal
- Mateo Pellegrino 7.5 1 goal
- Víctor Valdepeñas 7.2 1 goal
- Pedro Gonçalves 7.0 1 assist
The lowest-rated starter was Stefano Turati at 5.7. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- Sassuolo: Sassuolo vs Genoa Sunday 22 November 2026 · Serie A
- Fiorentina: Monza vs Fiorentina Monday 23 November 2026 · Serie A
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about Sassuolo vs Fiorentina
What was the score in Sassuolo vs Fiorentina?
Sassuolo 2-4 Fiorentina (half-time 1-1), Serie A, Monday 2 November 2026.
Who scored in Sassuolo vs Fiorentina?
Armand Laurienté 25', Mateo Pellegrino 45+2', Alieu Njie 50', Armand Laurienté 65', Franco Mastantuono 79', Víctor Valdepeñas 90+3'.
Did Moneyball predict Sassuolo vs Fiorentina correctly?
The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Under 3.00, and on 2-4 it was wrong.
Who was man of the match in Sassuolo vs Fiorentina?
Armand Laurienté, rated 8.9 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed Sassuolo vs Fiorentina?
M. Marcenaro.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.