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Sassuolo 1-1 AC Milan: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

Full time: Sassuolo 1-1 AC Milan

Sassuolo and AC Milan drew 1-1 in Serie A Matchday 6 on Sunday 11 October 2026 at MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore. The goals: Adrien Rabiot 63', Cas Odenthal 68'. Moneyball's pre-match estimate had this exact score as the most likely.

How the match unfolded

The opening goal came in the 63rd minute: Adrien Rabiot for AC Milan, set up by Luka Modrić. Sassuolo levelled at 1-1 in the 68th minute through Cas Odenthal.

It was 0-0 at half-time.

The referee, F. Fourneau, showed 6 yellow cards: 2 to Sassuolo and 4 to AC Milan.

Sassuolo: A. Aquilani, 4-3-3 · AC Milan: R. Amorim, 4-4-2.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

The pre-match estimate had 1-1 as the single most likely score (12%). That is the score it ended.

On goals the estimate was close: about 3.1 expected, 2 scored.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 59%; with 2 goals the under came in, against the way the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 62%; both did, in line with the estimate.

The pre-match consensus had an AC Milan win at 48%, the same lean as Moneyball.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-09, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 1.27 for Sassuolo and 1.14 for AC Milan.

Sassuolo had 4 shots on target, AC Milan 6.

Sassuolo's goalkeeper made 5 saves.

AC Milan had 59% of the ball.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Sassuolo came into it with 11 Serie A matches played, scoring 1.4 and conceding 2.6 a match, with 1.27 expected goals for and 1.94 against, and had won 18% of their matches.

AC Milan came into it with 11 Serie A matches played, scoring 2.1 and conceding 1.2 a match, with 1.55 expected goals for and 1.12 against, and had won 64% of their matches.

Sassuolo vs AC Milan: the match in numbers

SassuoloMatch statisticsAC Milan
41%Ball possession59%
1.27Expected goals (xG)1.14
10Total shots11
4Shots on target6
1Big chances3
438Total passes627
87%Pass accuracy90%
3Corners5
13Fouls11
1Offsides0
22Tackles17
5Saves3
2Yellow cards4

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Adrien Rabiot (AC Milan), rated 7.6 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal.

Sassuolo

AC Milan

The lowest-rated starter was Yunus Musah at 6.3. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Sassuolo vs AC Milan

What was the score in Sassuolo vs AC Milan?

Sassuolo 1-1 AC Milan (half-time 0-0), Serie A, Sunday 11 October 2026.

Who scored in Sassuolo vs AC Milan?

Adrien Rabiot 63', Cas Odenthal 68'.

Did Moneyball predict Sassuolo vs AC Milan correctly?

The pre-match estimate had 1-1 as the single most likely score (12%). That is the score it ended.

Who was man of the match in Sassuolo vs AC Milan?

Adrien Rabiot, rated 7.6 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Sassuolo vs AC Milan?

F. Fourneau.

Every match, before and after

Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.

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Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.