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Roma 3-0 Sassuolo: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

Full time: Roma 3-0 Sassuolo

Roma 3-0 Sassuolo: Roma took the points in Serie A Matchday 11 on Saturday 7 November 2026 at Stadio Olimpico. The goals: Mario Hermoso 27', Rodrigo Mora 58'. Moneyball's pre-match estimate had the result right.

How Roma won it

Mario Hermoso put Roma ahead in the 27th minute. An own goal by Sebastian Walukiewicz made it 2-0 to Roma in the 30th minute. Rodrigo Mora made it 3-0 to Roma in the 58th minute, set up by Donyell Malen.

It was 2-0 at half-time.

Roma: G. Gasperini, 3-4-2-1 · Sassuolo: A. Aquilani, 3-5-2.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

The prediction was right. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was AS Roma Win, and on 3-0 it was right.

The estimate's most likely result was a Roma win at 71%, and that is what happened. Its single most likely score was 2-1 (9%).

On goals the estimate was close: about 3.7 expected, 3 scored.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 70%; with 3 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 61%; they did not both score, against the estimate.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-11-07, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 0.44 for Roma and 3.36 for Sassuolo.

Roma scored about 2.6 more than their chances were worth: clinical finishing, or a goalkeeper having a bad day.

Sassuolo left about 3.4 goals' worth of chances on the pitch.

Sassuolo created the better chances, 3.36 xG to 0.44, and still lost. On chances alone, the result could easily have gone the other way.

The run of play itself went against the pre-match reading: Moneyball expected Roma to create more, and Sassuolo did.

Roma had 9 shots on target, Sassuolo 1.

Sassuolo's goalkeeper made 5 saves.

Roma had 65% of the ball and turned it into the win.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Roma came into it with 11 Serie A matches played, scoring 2.8 and conceding 0.9 a match, with 2.32 expected goals for and 1.23 against, and had won 73% of their matches.

Sassuolo came into it with 11 Serie A matches played, scoring 1.4 and conceding 2.6 a match, with 1.27 expected goals for and 1.94 against, and had won 18% of their matches.

Roma vs Sassuolo: the match in numbers

RomaMatch statisticsSassuolo
65%Ball possession35%
0.44Expected goals (xG)3.36
28Total shots6
9Shots on target1
5Big chances0
714Total passes387
90%Pass accuracy83%
12Corners1
8Fouls13
1Offsides1
18Tackles23
1Saves5

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Mario Hermoso (Roma), rated 8.4 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal.

Roma

Sassuolo

The lowest-rated starter was Donyell Malen at 6.1. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Roma vs Sassuolo

What was the score in Roma vs Sassuolo?

Roma 3-0 Sassuolo (half-time 2-0), Serie A, Saturday 7 November 2026.

Who scored in Roma vs Sassuolo?

Mario Hermoso 27', Rodrigo Mora 58'.

Did Moneyball predict Roma vs Sassuolo correctly?

The prediction was right. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was AS Roma Win, and on 3-0 it was right.

Who was man of the match in Roma vs Sassuolo?

Mario Hermoso, rated 8.4 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Roma vs Sassuolo?

M. Di Bello.

Every match, before and after

Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.

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Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.