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Riga 1-1 Jablonec: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

Full time: Riga 1-1 Jablonec

Riga and Jablonec drew 1-1 in Europa Conference League Matchday 3 on Thursday 5 November 2026 at Stadions Skonto. The goals: Reginaldo Ramires 34', Sebastian Nebyla 49'. It went against Moneyball's pre-match estimate.

How the match unfolded

Reginaldo Ramires put Riga ahead in the 34th minute from the penalty spot. Jablonec levelled at 1-1 in the 49th minute through Sebastian Nebyla, set up by Dominik Hollý.

It was 1-0 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.

The referee, V. Kopievskiy, showed 3 yellow cards: 1 to Riga and 2 to Jablonec.

Riga: A. Guľa, 4-2-3-1 · Jablonec: L. Kozel, 4-3-3.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Riga FC -0.25. On 1-1 it was half wrong.

The estimate's most likely result was a Riga win at 43%; a draw, at 26%, is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (13%), exactly the final score.

On goals the estimate was close: about 2.8 expected, 2 scored.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 52%; with 2 goals the under came in, against the way the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 56%; both did, in line with the estimate.

The pre-match consensus had a Riga win at 40%, the same lean as Moneyball.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-11-05, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

Riga had 2 shots on target, Jablonec 3.

Riga had 60% of the ball.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Riga came into it with 3 Europa Conference League matches played, scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.0 a match, with 1.10 expected goals for and – against, and had won 0% of their matches.

Jablonec came into it with 3 Europa Conference League matches played, scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.3 a match, with 0.98 expected goals for and – against, and had won 0% of their matches.

Riga vs Jablonec: the match in numbers

RigaMatch statisticsJablonec
60%Ball possession40%
13Total shots11
2Shots on target3
1Big chances3
513Total passes339
84%Pass accuracy74%
5Corners5
17Fouls7
1Offsides0
19Tackles17
2Saves1
1Yellow cards2

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Sebastian Nebyla (Jablonec), rated 8.3 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal.

Riga

Jablonec

The lowest-rated starter was Klemen Mihelak at 6.3. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Riga vs Jablonec

What was the score in Riga vs Jablonec?

Riga 1-1 Jablonec (half-time 1-0), Europa Conference League, Thursday 5 November 2026.

Who scored in Riga vs Jablonec?

Reginaldo Ramires 34', Sebastian Nebyla 49'.

Did Moneyball predict Riga vs Jablonec correctly?

Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Riga FC -0.25. On 1-1 it was half wrong.

Who was man of the match in Riga vs Jablonec?

Sebastian Nebyla, rated 8.3 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Riga vs Jablonec?

V. Kopievskiy.

Every match, before and after

Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.

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Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.