PSM vs Persija Prediction and Stats | Liga 1 Indonesia Gameweek 10
Liga 1 Indonesia · Saturday 21 November 2026 · 12:00 UTC · Stadion Andi Mattalatta, Makassar · updated 2026-11-13
PSM welcome Persija to Stadion Andi Mattalatta in Makassar in Liga 1 Indonesia Gameweek 10 action on Saturday 21 November 2026, kick-off 12:00 UTC.
PSM have played 9 matches in Liga 1 Indonesia this season, scoring 1.1 and conceding 1.6 goals a game and winning 22% of them. At home they average 1.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded over 4 matches, with a 50% win rate. Persija have played 9 matches in Liga 1 Indonesia this season, scoring 2.1 and conceding 0.9 goals a game and winning 78% of them. Away from home they average 2.0 goals scored and 1.3 conceded over 4 matches, with a 29% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Persija are narrow favourites at 57%, with the draw at 24% and PSM at 19%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: PSM 0.98, Persija 1.83.
- Over 2.5 goals: 53% · both teams to score: 53%.
- Most likely score: 1–2 (10%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (9 and 9 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model.
PSM: form and key numbers
In style PSM are happy without the ball, play long and direct, create plenty of chances.
- Shots: 9.4 a match, 3.2 on target.
- Possession: 45.3% on average.
- Clean sheets: 22% of matches (50% at home).
- Both teams scored in 56% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.3 a match.
- Discipline: 1.9 yellow cards a match, 5.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.42.
Persija: form and key numbers
In style Persija keep the ball, press high, cross a lot.
- Shots: 10.0 a match, 4.4 on target.
- Possession: 56.7% on average.
- Clean sheets: 44% of matches (50% away).
- Both teams scored in 56% of their matches.
- Corners: 6.0 a match.
- Discipline: 2.4 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.61.
PSM vs Persija: season averages side by side
| PSM | Per match this season | Persija |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Matches | 9 |
| 1.1 | Goals scored | 2.1 |
| 1.6 | Goals conceded | 0.9 |
| 9.4 | Shots | 10.0 |
| 3.2 | On target | 4.4 |
| 45.3 | Possession % | 56.7 |
| 22% | Clean sheets % | 44% |
| 56% | Both teams scored % | 56% |
| 5.3 | Corners | 6.0 |
| 1.9 | Yellow cards | 2.4 |
| 6.42 | Average rating | 6.61 |
Players to watch
PSM
- Hilman Syah GK · Ball-playing keeper · Moneyball Score 9 · Secure passer, Shot-stopper (top 9% of his position)
- Muhammad Ardiansyah GK · Ball-playing keeper · Moneyball Score 8 · Secure passer, Shot-stopper (top 27% of his position)
Persija
- Nadeo Argawinata GK · Ball-playing keeper · Moneyball Score 9 · Secure passer, Shot-stopper (top 2% of his position)
- Alexander Jeremejeff CF · Poacher · Moneyball Score 4 · Accurate shooter, Takes high-quality shots (top 26% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Victor Luiz
Victor Luiz, 28 · PSM · LB · Attacking full-back · Moneyball Score 4
Victor Luiz, 28, plays as a full-back for PSM in Liga 1 Indonesia. Strongest for his role in dribbled past and successful dribbles. Weakest in passes. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every full-back in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average full-back, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- LB · Full-back Natural, 4
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Dribbled past | 0.00 / 90 | 68% |
| Successful dribbles | 1.22 / 90 | 29% |
| Accurate crosses | 0.78 / 90 | 27% |
| Pass accuracy | 74% | 4% |
| Tackles | 0.44 / 90 | 0% |
Roles he suits
- ★ Attacking full-back Full-back
- ½ Inverted full-back Full-back
- ½ Defensive full-back Full-back
- What Victor Luiz is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Victor Luiz's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
PSM vs Persija prediction
Persija should have more of the ball, with PSM likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; PSM go long and direct; Persija work the ball wide and cross. Moneyball's model expects about 2.8 goals - 0.98 for PSM and 1.83 for Persija - with over 2.5 goals at 53% and both teams scoring at 53%. Persija have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to take something from the trip.
Prediction: PSM 1-2 Persija
PSM vs Persija: what the numbers say
- 1. Persija win, the likeliest result 57% on Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers
- 2. 2 or more goals 2.82 goals expected; 2.5 is close to a coin toss (53%)
- 3. 4 or more cards the two sides average 10.3 cards a match between them
- 4. 10 or more corners 11.3 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.
The full analysis
Moneyball reads every match in full: win, draw and loss, the most likely scores, goals and both teams to score, with the players who decide it.
More Liga 1 Indonesia previews
- PSS Sleman vs Arema Friday 20 November 2026
- Garudayaksa FC vs Madura United Friday 20 November 2026
- Dewa United vs Persita Friday 20 November 2026
- Persebaya Surabaya vs Java United F.C Saturday 21 November 2026
- Persik Kediri vs PSIM Yogyakarta Saturday 21 November 2026
- Bhayangkara vs Persijap Saturday 21 November 2026
- Isenmulang Kalteng F.C. vs Borneo Sunday 22 November 2026
- Persib vs Bali United Sunday 22 November 2026
PSM vs Persija: questions and answers
When is PSM vs Persija?
PSM vs Persija is on Saturday 21 November 2026, kick-off 12:00 UTC, in Liga 1 Indonesia Gameweek 10.
Where is PSM vs Persija played?
At Stadion Andi Mattalatta, Makassar, PSM's home ground.
Who will win PSM vs Persija?
Persija are the favourites: PSM 19%, draw 24%, Persija 57%. Our prediction is PSM 1-2 Persija.
Who is the player to watch in PSM vs Persija?
Victor Luiz of PSM: a attacking full-back with a Moneyball Score of 4 against every full-back in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in PSM vs Persija?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.8 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 53%.
Tags
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.