MoneyballDixon-Coles · xG fusion
Back to Moneyball

Bhayangkara vs Persijap Prediction and Stats | Liga 1 Indonesia Gameweek 10

Bhayangkara welcome Persijap to Stadion Patriot in Bekasi in Liga 1 Indonesia Gameweek 10 action on Saturday 21 November 2026, kick-off 12:00 UTC.

Bhayangkara have played 9 matches in Liga 1 Indonesia this season, scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.2 goals a game and winning 22% of them. At home they average 1.0 goals scored and 0.3 conceded over 4 matches, with a 100% win rate. Persijap have played 9 matches in Liga 1 Indonesia this season, scoring 0.6 and conceding 2.0 goals a game and winning 0% of them. Away from home they average 0.5 goals scored and 2.8 conceded over 4 matches, with a 0% win rate.

On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Bhayangkara are clear favourites at 66%, with the draw at 22% and Persijap at 12%.

Moneyball's estimate

Bhayangkara66%home win
Draw22%draw
Persijap12%away win

From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (9 and 9 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model.

Bhayangkara: form and key numbers

In style Bhayangkara keep the ball, play long and direct, create plenty of chances.

Persijap: form and key numbers

In style Persijap are happy without the ball, play long and direct, create plenty of chances.

Bhayangkara vs Persijap: season averages side by side

BhayangkaraPer match this seasonPersijap
9Matches9
1.3Goals scored0.6
1.2Goals conceded2.0
12.6Shots9.6
4.7On target3.1
54.8Possession %41.3
33%Clean sheets %0%
56%Both teams scored %56%
4.9Corners3.6
2.3Yellow cards2.1
6.43Average rating6.30

Players to watch

Bhayangkara

Persijap

Scouting spotlight: Mauricio Vera

Mauricio Vera, 28 · Bhayangkara · DMF · Deep-lying playmaker · Moneyball Score 5

Mauricio Vera, 28, plays as a defensive midfielder for Bhayangkara in Liga 1 Indonesia. Strongest for his role in pass accuracy and dribbled past. Weakest in fouls committed. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every defensive midfielder in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.

Tackles 0Interceptions 0Duels won 0Blocked shots 0Passes 0Pass accuracy 85Long balls 0Dribbled past 58Fouls committed 0Dispossessed 23

Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average defensive midfielder, 90 the top tenth.

Positions he can play

  • DM · Defensive midfielder Natural, 5

Where he is strongest

FigureHis numberBetter than
Pass accuracy91%85%
Dribbled past0.00 / 9058%
Dispossessed0.12 / 9023%
Tackles0.00 / 900%
Interceptions0.83 / 900%

Roles he suits

  • ★½ Deep-lying playmaker Defensive midfielder
  • ½ Ball-winner Defensive midfielder
  • ½ Anchor Defensive midfielder

Scout's notes: Secure passer.

In Moneyball Scout
  • What Mauricio Vera is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
  • How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
  • The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
  • His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age

Open Mauricio Vera's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month

Bhayangkara vs Persijap prediction

Bhayangkara should have more of the ball, with Persijap likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; both go long and direct. Moneyball's model expects about 2.6 goals - 1.91 for Bhayangkara and 0.68 for Persijap - with over 2.5 goals at 48% and both teams scoring at 42%. Bhayangkara have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.

Prediction: Bhayangkara 2-1 Persijap

Bhayangkara vs Persijap: what the numbers say

  1. 1. Bhayangkara win, the likeliest result 66% on Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers
  2. 2. 2 goals or fewer 52% by the model, 2.58 goals expected
  3. 3. 4 or more cards the two sides average 6.4 cards a match between them
  4. 4. 10 corners or fewer 8.4 corners a match between them

Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.

The full analysis

Moneyball reads every match in full: win, draw and loss, the most likely scores, goals and both teams to score, with the players who decide it.

Open Moneyball Follow it live

More Liga 1 Indonesia previews

Bhayangkara vs Persijap: questions and answers

When is Bhayangkara vs Persijap?

Bhayangkara vs Persijap is on Saturday 21 November 2026, kick-off 12:00 UTC, in Liga 1 Indonesia Gameweek 10.

Where is Bhayangkara vs Persijap played?

At Stadion Patriot, Bekasi, Bhayangkara's home ground.

Who will win Bhayangkara vs Persijap?

Bhayangkara are the favourites: Bhayangkara 66%, draw 22%, Persijap 12%. Our prediction is Bhayangkara 2-1 Persijap.

Who is the player to watch in Bhayangkara vs Persijap?

Mauricio Vera of Bhayangkara: a deep-lying playmaker with a Moneyball Score of 5 against every defensive midfielder in Europe's top five leagues.

How many goals will there be in Bhayangkara vs Persijap?

Moneyball's model expects about 2.6 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 48%.

Tags

Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.