Persib vs Bali United Prediction and Stats | Liga 1 Indonesia Gameweek 10
Liga 1 Indonesia · Sunday 22 November 2026 · 12:00 UTC · Stadion Gelora Bandung Lautan Api, Bandung · updated 2026-11-13
Persib welcome Bali United to Stadion Gelora Bandung Lautan Api in Bandung in Liga 1 Indonesia Gameweek 10 action on Sunday 22 November 2026, kick-off 12:00 UTC.
Persib have played 9 matches in Liga 1 Indonesia this season, scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.1 goals a game and winning 56% of them. At home they average 2.5 goals scored and 0.8 conceded over 4 matches, with a 60% win rate. Bali United have played 9 matches in Liga 1 Indonesia this season, scoring 2.9 and conceding 1.0 goals a game and winning 67% of them. Away from home they average 1.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded over 4 matches, with a 17% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Bali United are narrow favourites at 47%, with the draw at 24% and Persib at 29%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Persib 1.46, Bali United 1.87.
- Over 2.5 goals: 65% · both teams to score: 65%.
- Most likely score: 1–2 (9%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (9 and 9 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model.
Persib: form and key numbers
In style Persib keep the ball, press high, take players on.
- Shots: 12.7 a match, 5.3 on target.
- Possession: 55.6% on average.
- Clean sheets: 22% of matches (100% at home).
- Both teams scored in 67% of their matches.
- Corners: 6.3 a match.
- Discipline: 1.2 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.63.
Bali United: form and key numbers
In style Bali United keep the ball, take players on, create plenty of chances.
- Shots: 11.4 a match, 4.6 on target.
- Possession: 56.8% on average.
- Clean sheets: 22% of matches (0% away).
- Both teams scored in 67% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.9 a match.
- Discipline: 1.7 yellow cards a match, 4.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.58.
Persib vs Bali United: season averages side by side
| Persib | Per match this season | Bali United |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Matches | 9 |
| 1.8 | Goals scored | 2.9 |
| 1.1 | Goals conceded | 1.0 |
| 12.7 | Shots | 11.4 |
| 5.3 | On target | 4.6 |
| 55.6 | Possession % | 56.8 |
| 22% | Clean sheets % | 22% |
| 67% | Both teams scored % | 67% |
| 6.3 | Corners | 4.9 |
| 1.2 | Yellow cards | 1.7 |
| 6.63 | Average rating | 6.58 |
Players to watch
Persib
- Teja Paku Alam GK · Ball-playing keeper · Moneyball Score 9 · Secure passer, Shot-stopper (top 3% of his position)
- Fitrah Maulana Muhammad Ridwan GK · Ball-playing keeper · Moneyball Score 8 · Secure passer, Shot-stopper (top 10% of his position)
Bali United
- Mike Hauptmeijer GK · Ball-playing keeper · Moneyball Score 9 · Secure passer, Shot-stopper (top 5% of his position)
- Tim Geypens LB · Inverted full-back · Moneyball Score 4 · Secure passer, Hard to dribble past (top 1% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Ricky Fajrin Saputra
Ricky Fajrin Saputra, 31 · Bali United · LB · Inverted full-back · Moneyball Score 4
Ricky Fajrin Saputra, 31, plays as a full-back for Bali United in Liga 1 Indonesia. Strongest for his role in pass accuracy and dribbled past. Weakest in passes. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every full-back in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average full-back, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- LB · Full-back Natural, 4
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Pass accuracy | 89% | 85% |
| Dribbled past | 0.00 / 90 | 67% |
| Successful dribbles | 0.45 / 90 | 3% |
| Accurate crosses | 0.23 / 90 | 1% |
| Tackles | 0.34 / 90 | 0% |
Roles he suits
- ★★ Inverted full-back Full-back
- ½ Ball-playing centre-back Centre-back
- ½ Attacking full-back Full-back
Scout's notes: Secure passer.
- What Ricky Fajrin Saputra is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Ricky Fajrin Saputra's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Persib vs Bali United prediction
Bali United should have more of the ball; both like to take players on. Moneyball's model expects about 3.3 goals - 1.46 for Persib and 1.87 for Bali United - with over 2.5 goals at 65% and both teams scoring at 65%. Bali United have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to take something from the trip.
Prediction: Persib 1-2 Bali United
Persib vs Bali United: what the numbers say
- 1. Bali United unbeaten (win or draw) 71% between them
- 2. 3 or more goals 65% by the model, 3.33 goals expected
- 3. Both teams to score: yes 65% by the model
- 4. 4 or more cards the two sides average 6.9 cards a match between them
- 5. 10 or more corners 11.2 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.
The full analysis
Moneyball reads every match in full: win, draw and loss, the most likely scores, goals and both teams to score, with the players who decide it.
More Liga 1 Indonesia previews
- PSS Sleman vs Arema Friday 20 November 2026
- Garudayaksa FC vs Madura United Friday 20 November 2026
- Dewa United vs Persita Friday 20 November 2026
- Persebaya Surabaya vs Java United F.C Saturday 21 November 2026
- Persik Kediri vs PSIM Yogyakarta Saturday 21 November 2026
- Bhayangkara vs Persijap Saturday 21 November 2026
- PSM vs Persija Saturday 21 November 2026
- Isenmulang Kalteng F.C. vs Borneo Sunday 22 November 2026
Persib vs Bali United: questions and answers
When is Persib vs Bali United?
Persib vs Bali United is on Sunday 22 November 2026, kick-off 12:00 UTC, in Liga 1 Indonesia Gameweek 10.
Where is Persib vs Bali United played?
At Stadion Gelora Bandung Lautan Api, Bandung, Persib's home ground.
Who will win Persib vs Bali United?
Bali United are the favourites: Persib 29%, draw 24%, Bali United 47%. Our prediction is Persib 1-2 Bali United.
Who is the player to watch in Persib vs Bali United?
Ricky Fajrin Saputra of Bali United: a inverted full-back with a Moneyball Score of 4 against every full-back in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Persib vs Bali United?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 65%.
Tags
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.