Orlando City 1-0 New England: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
MLS · Saturday 7 November 2026 · Spectrum Stadium, Orlando · referee G. Gonzalez · full time
Full time: Orlando City 1-0 New England
Orlando City 1-0 New England: Orlando City took the points in MLS on Saturday 7 November 2026 at Spectrum Stadium. The goals: Braian Ojeda 45'. It went against Moneyball's pre-match estimate.
How Orlando City won it
Orlando City struck first through Braian Ojeda in the 45th minute.
It was 1-0 at half-time, and nothing changed after the break.
The referee, G. Gonzalez, showed 1 yellow card: 1 to Orlando City and 0 to New England.
Orlando City: M. Perelman, 4-4-2 · New England: M. Mitrovic, 4-2-3-1.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
A miss for the model: 43% for a New England win, 34% for an Orlando City win, and football chose the second.
The goals dried up: the estimate expected about 3.7 and the match produced one.
Over 2.5 goals had been put at 71%; with 1 goal the under came in, against the way the estimate leaned.
Both teams to score was 71%; they did not both score, against the estimate.
Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-11-07, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.
Why it went this way
On the day the expected goals were 0.91 for Orlando City and 1.27 for New England.
New England left about 1.3 goals' worth of chances on the pitch.
Orlando City had 4 shots on target, New England 3.
New England had 65% of the ball, but Orlando City took the points.
Where the two sides stood before this match
Orlando City came into it with 34 MLS matches played, scoring 1.9 and conceding 2.3 a match, with 1.54 expected goals for and 1.96 against, and had won 38% of their matches.
New England came into it with 34 MLS matches played, scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.4 a match, with 1.52 expected goals for and 1.57 against, and had won 53% of their matches.
Orlando City vs New England: the match in numbers
| Orlando City | Match statistics | New England |
|---|---|---|
| 35% | Ball possession | 65% |
| 0.91 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.27 |
| 15 | Total shots | 9 |
| 4 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 1 | Big chances | 1 |
| 373 | Total passes | 683 |
| 83% | Pass accuracy | 94% |
| 5 | Corners | 8 |
| 8 | Fouls | 10 |
| 2 | Offsides | 3 |
| 14 | Tackles | 13 |
| 4 | Saves | 3 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 0 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Braian Ojeda (Orlando City), rated 7.7 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal.
Orlando City
- Braian Ojeda 7.7 1 goal
- Maxime Crépeau 7.5
- Marco Pašalić 7.2
- Martín Ojeda 7.2
- Antoine Griezmann 7.1
New England
- Mamadou Fofana 7.4
- Matt Polster 7.4
- Ilay Feingold 7.1
- Ethan Kohler 7.0
- Dániel Gazdag 7.0
The lowest-rated starter was Dor Turgeman at 6.6. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- Orlando City: Orlando City vs Cincinnati Friday 20 November 2026 · MLS
- New England: New England vs Philadelphia Union Saturday 21 November 2026 · MLS
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about Orlando City vs New England
What was the score in Orlando City vs New England?
Orlando City 1-0 New England (half-time 1-0), MLS, Saturday 7 November 2026.
Who scored in Orlando City vs New England?
Braian Ojeda 45'.
Did Moneyball predict Orlando City vs New England correctly?
A miss for the model: 43% for a New England win, 34% for an Orlando City win, and football chose the second.
Who was man of the match in Orlando City vs New England?
Braian Ojeda, rated 7.7 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed Orlando City vs New England?
G. Gonzalez.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.