Olympique Marseille 4-3 Le Havre: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

How Olympique Marseille won it

CJ Egan-Riley put Olympique Marseille ahead in the 5th minute, set up by Emerson. Timothy Weah made it 2-0 to Olympique Marseille in the 33rd minute, set up by Igor Paixão. Igor Paixão made it 3-0 to Olympique Marseille in the 50th minute, set up by Amine Gouiri. Himad Abdelli made it 4-0 to Olympique Marseille in the 55th minute. Josh Maja from the penalty spot made it 4-1 to Le Havre in the 77th minute. Mouhamed Lamine Ndiaye made it 4-2 to Le Havre in the 86th minute. Josh Maja made it 4-3 to Le Havre in the 89th minute, set up by Kaito Mizuta.

It was 2-0 at half-time.

Josh Maja scored twice.

The referee, C. Turpin, showed 4 yellow cards: 1 to Olympique Marseille and 3 to Le Havre.

Olympique Marseille: B. Génésio, 4-2-3-1 · Le Havre: D. Digard, 5-3-2.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

Moneyball's Match Board pick, Marseille Win, was right: 4-3 bears it out.

The estimate's most likely result was an Olympique Marseille win at 58%, and that is what happened. Its single most likely score was 2-1 (9%).

The match had far more goals than expected: the estimate was about 3.5 goals and there were 7.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 67%; with 7 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 65%; both did, in line with the estimate.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-25, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 2.98 for Olympique Marseille and 1.24 for Le Havre.

Olympique Marseille scored about 1.0 more than their chances were worth: clinical finishing, or a goalkeeper having a bad day.

Le Havre made more of their chances than the xG suggests, by about 1.8 goals.

Olympique Marseille had 5 shots on target, Le Havre 7.

Olympique Marseille had 53% of the ball and turned it into the win.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Olympique Marseille came into it with 10 Ligue 1 matches played, scoring 2.2 and conceding 1.4 a match, with 1.66 expected goals for and 1.97 against, and had won 60% of their matches.

Le Havre came into it with 10 Ligue 1 matches played, scoring 0.9 and conceding 2.2 a match, with 1.71 expected goals for and 1.56 against, and had won 0% of their matches.

Olympique Marseille vs Le Havre: the match in numbers

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Josh Maja (Le Havre), rated 8.1 by Sportmonks, with 2 goals.

Olympique Marseille

• Igor Paixão 7.8 1 goal, 1 assist
• Emerson 7.7 1 assist
• Himad Abdelli 7.7 1 goal
• Nayef Aguerd 7.2
• Pierre-Emile Højbjerg 7.1

Le Havre

• Josh Maja 8.1 2 goals
• Mouhamed Lamine Ndiaye 7.5 1 goal
• Sota Nakamura 7.2
• Rayan Fofana 7.2
• Kaito Mizuta 7.0 1 assist

The lowest-rated starter was Amir Richardson at 5.9. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

• Olympique Marseille: Olympique Marseille vs Le Mans Sunday 22 November 2026 · Ligue 1
• Le Havre: Troyes vs Le Havre Friday 20 November 2026 · Ligue 1

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Olympique Marseille vs Le Havre

What was the score in Olympique Marseille vs Le Havre?

Olympique Marseille 4-3 Le Havre (half-time 2-0), Ligue 1, Sunday 25 October 2026.

Who scored in Olympique Marseille vs Le Havre?

CJ Egan-Riley 5', Timothy Weah 33', Igor Paixão 50', Himad Abdelli 55', Josh Maja 77', Mouhamed Lamine Ndiaye 86', Josh Maja 89'.

Did Moneyball predict Olympique Marseille vs Le Havre correctly?

Moneyball's Match Board pick, Marseille Win, was right: 4-3 bears it out.

Who was man of the match in Olympique Marseille vs Le Havre?

Josh Maja, rated 8.1 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Olympique Marseille vs Le Havre?

C. Turpin.