Norwich City 3-2 Watford: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
Championship Matchday 13 · Saturday 31 October 2026 · Carrow Road, Norwich · referee B. Speedie · full time
Full time: Norwich City 3-2 Watford
Norwich City 3-2 Watford: Norwich City took the points in Championship Matchday 13 on Saturday 31 October 2026 at Carrow Road. The goals: Myron Boadu 10', Myron Boadu 27', Ben Chrisene 53', Anthony Musaba 62', Paris Maghoma 71'. Moneyball's pre-match estimate had the result right.
How Norwich City won it
Myron Boadu put Watford ahead in the 10th minute, set up by Iker Bravo. Myron Boadu made it 0-2 to Watford in the 27th minute, set up by Mattie Pollock. Ben Chrisene made it 1-2 to Norwich City in the 53rd minute. Norwich City levelled at 2-2 in the 62nd minute through Anthony Musaba, set up by Mathias Kvistgaarden. Norwich City turned it round: Paris Maghoma made it 3-2 in the 71st minute, set up by Mathias Kvistgaarden.
Watford led by two and lost: Norwich City came back to win it.
It was 0-2 at half-time, and the second half turned the match the other way.
Myron Boadu scored twice.
The lead changed hands once.
The referee, B. Speedie, showed 2 yellow cards: 1 to Norwich City and 1 to Watford.
Norwich City: P. Clement, 4-2-3-1 · Watford: A. Dionisi, 5-3-2.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
A Norwich City win was the estimate's call at 56%, and it came in. The exact score was another matter: 2-1 was the likeliest, 3-2 the real one.
The match had far more goals than expected: the estimate was about 3.1 goals and there were 5.
Over 2.5 goals had been put at 60%; with 5 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.
Both teams to score was 59%; both did, in line with the estimate.
Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-31, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.
Why it went this way
On the day the expected goals were 1.20 for Norwich City and 1.56 for Watford.
Norwich City scored about 1.8 more than their chances were worth: clinical finishing, or a goalkeeper having a bad day.
Norwich City had 5 shots on target, Watford 5.
Norwich City had 59% of the ball and turned it into the win.
Where the two sides stood before this match
Norwich City came into it with 15 Championship matches played, scoring 2.1 and conceding 1.6 a match, with 1.57 expected goals for and 1.54 against, and had won 47% of their matches.
Watford came into it with 15 Championship matches played, scoring 0.9 and conceding 1.5 a match, with 1.04 expected goals for and 1.81 against, and had won 27% of their matches.
Norwich City vs Watford: the match in numbers
| Norwich City | Match statistics | Watford |
|---|---|---|
| 59% | Ball possession | 41% |
| 1.20 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.56 |
| 15 | Total shots | 8 |
| 5 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 1 | Big chances | 3 |
| 505 | Total passes | 354 |
| 81% | Pass accuracy | 78% |
| 9 | Corners | 2 |
| 12 | Fouls | 9 |
| 1 | Offsides | 1 |
| 27 | Tackles | 13 |
| 3 | Saves | 3 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Myron Boadu (Watford), rated 7.8 by Sportmonks, with 2 goals.
Norwich City
- Jacob Wright 7.8
- Paris Maghoma 7.7 1 goal
- Ben Chrisene 7.6 1 goal
- Mathias Kvistgaarden 7.5 2 assists
- Ruairi McConville 7.2
Watford
- Myron Boadu 7.8 2 goals
- Mattie Pollock 7.3 1 assist
- Iker Bravo 6.8 1 assist
- Mamadou Doumbia 6.8
- Rocco Vata 6.8
The lowest-rated starter was Hector Kyprianou at 5.9. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- Norwich City: Norwich City vs Cardiff City Saturday 21 November 2026 · Championship
- Watford: Sheffield United vs Watford Saturday 21 November 2026 · Championship
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about Norwich City vs Watford
What was the score in Norwich City vs Watford?
Norwich City 3-2 Watford (half-time 0-2), Championship, Saturday 31 October 2026.
Who scored in Norwich City vs Watford?
Myron Boadu 10', Myron Boadu 27', Ben Chrisene 53', Anthony Musaba 62', Paris Maghoma 71'.
Did Moneyball predict Norwich City vs Watford correctly?
A Norwich City win was the estimate's call at 56%, and it came in. The exact score was another matter: 2-1 was the likeliest, 3-2 the real one.
Who was man of the match in Norwich City vs Watford?
Myron Boadu, rated 7.8 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed Norwich City vs Watford?
B. Speedie.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.