Nordsjælland 2-2 CSKA Sofia: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

How the match unfolded

The opening goal came in the 8th minute: Leandro Godoy for CSKA Sofia, set up by Stefano Sensi. Nordsjælland levelled at 1-1 in the 55th minute through Ibrahim Adel, set up by Noah Markmann. Nordsjælland turned it round: Ibrahim Adel made it 2-1 in the 67th minute, set up by Alexander Lind. CSKA Sofia levelled at 2-2 in the 88th minute through Leandro Godoy. Late, and enough for a draw.

It was 0-1 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.

Leandro Godoy scored twice.

Ibrahim Adel scored twice.

The lead changed hands once.

Justin Janssen of Nordsjælland was sent off in the 76th minute for a second yellow card. The referee, R. Jones, showed 9 yellow cards: 5 to Nordsjælland and 4 to CSKA Sofia.

Nordsjælland: J. Olsen, 3-4-3 · CSKA Sofia: M. Gisdol, 4-3-3.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

This one went against the numbers. The estimate made a Nordsjælland win the likeliest outcome (77%), and a draw, at 16%, is what happened. At 16%, it was a result the numbers saw about one time in 6.

On goals the estimate was close: about 2.8 expected, 4 scored.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 53%; with 4 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 37%; both did, against the estimate.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-22, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

Nordsjælland had 6 shots on target, CSKA Sofia 7.

Nordsjælland's goalkeeper made 5 saves.

Nordsjælland had 54% of the ball.

A red card changed the shape of the match, and no pre-match model can see one coming.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Nordsjælland came into it with 3 Europa Conference League matches played, scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.7 a match, with 1.86 expected goals for and – against, and had won 0% of their matches.

CSKA Sofia came into it with 3 Europa Conference League matches played, scoring 1.3 and conceding 2.0 a match, with 1.28 expected goals for and – against, and had won 0% of their matches.

Nordsjælland vs CSKA Sofia: the match in numbers

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Ibrahim Adel (Nordsjælland), rated 8.8 by Sportmonks, with 2 goals.

Nordsjælland

• Ibrahim Adel 8.8 2 goals
• Juho Lähteenmäki 7.0
• Malte Heyde 6.9
• Andreas Hansen 6.9
• Noah Markmann 6.9 1 assist

CSKA Sofia

• Leandro Godoy 8.3 2 goals
• Stefano Sensi 7.8 1 assist
• Facundo Rodríguez 7.0
• Bruno Jordão 7.0
• Fedor Lapoukhov 6.8

The lowest-rated starter was Victor Nelsson at 5.5. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

• Nordsjælland: Nordsjælland vs Panathinaikos Thursday 26 November 2026 · Europa Conference League
• CSKA Sofia: CSKA Sofia vs Trabzonspor Thursday 26 November 2026 · Europa Conference League

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Nordsjælland vs CSKA Sofia

What was the score in Nordsjælland vs CSKA Sofia?

Nordsjælland 2-2 CSKA Sofia (half-time 0-1), Europa Conference League, Thursday 22 October 2026.

Who scored in Nordsjælland vs CSKA Sofia?

Leandro Godoy 8', Ibrahim Adel 55', Ibrahim Adel 67', Leandro Godoy 88'.

Did Moneyball predict Nordsjælland vs CSKA Sofia correctly?

This one went against the numbers. The estimate made a Nordsjælland win the likeliest outcome (77%), and a draw, at 16%, is what happened. At 16%, it was a result the numbers saw about one time in 6.

Who was man of the match in Nordsjælland vs CSKA Sofia?

Ibrahim Adel, rated 8.8 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Nordsjælland vs CSKA Sofia?

R. Jones.