Manchester United 4-4 Aston Villa: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
Premier League Matchday 10 · Sunday 8 November 2026 · Old Trafford, Manchester · referee C. Kavanagh · full time
Full time: Manchester United 4-4 Aston Villa
Manchester United and Aston Villa drew 4-4 in Premier League Matchday 10 on Sunday 8 November 2026 at Old Trafford. The goals: Alysson 1', Nicolas Jackson 4', Bruno Fernandes 16', Youri Tielemans 44', John McGinn 48', Leon Goretzka 53', Joshua Zirkzee 90+2', Patrick Dorgu 90+6'. Moneyball's pre-match estimate had the result right.
How the match unfolded
The opening goal came in the 1st minute: Alysson for Aston Villa, set up by John McGinn. Nicolas Jackson made it 0-2 to Aston Villa in the 4th minute. Bruno Fernandes from the penalty spot made it 1-2 to Manchester United in the 16th minute. Manchester United levelled at 2-2 in the 44th minute through Youri Tielemans, set up by Noussair Mazraoui. John McGinn from the penalty spot made it 2-3 to Aston Villa in the 48th minute. Leon Goretzka made it 2-4 to Aston Villa in the 53rd minute, set up by Nicolas Jackson. Joshua Zirkzee made it 3-4 to Manchester United in the 90th minute (+2), set up by Patrick Dorgu. Manchester United levelled at 4-4 in the 90th minute (+6) through Patrick Dorgu, set up by Bruno Fernandes. It came with the clock nearly run down, and it rescued a point.
Aston Villa led by two and were pegged back: Manchester United came back for a draw.
It was 2-2 at half-time.
The referee, C. Kavanagh, showed 2 yellow cards: 1 to Manchester United and 1 to Aston Villa.
Manchester United: M. Carrick, 4-2-3-1 · Aston Villa: U. Emery Etxegoien, 4-2-3-1.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
The prediction was right. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Aston Villa +0.75, and on 4-4 it was right.
The estimate's most likely result was a Manchester United win at 45%; a draw, at 24%, is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (10%).
The match had far more goals than expected: the estimate was about 3.3 goals and there were 8.
Over 2.5 goals had been put at 64%; with 8 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.
Both teams to score was 66%; both did, in line with the estimate.
Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-11-08, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.
Why it went this way
On the day the expected goals were 2.94 for Manchester United and 3.21 for Aston Villa.
Manchester United scored about 1.1 more than their chances were worth: clinical finishing, or a goalkeeper having a bad day.
Manchester United had 9 shots on target, Aston Villa 6.
Aston Villa's goalkeeper made 5 saves.
Manchester United had 56% of the ball.
Where the two sides stood before this match
Manchester United came into it with 10 Premier League matches played, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.9 a match, with 1.76 expected goals for and 1.49 against, and had won 10% of their matches.
Aston Villa came into it with 10 Premier League matches played, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.7 a match, with 1.37 expected goals for and 1.95 against, and had won 30% of their matches.
Manchester United vs Aston Villa: the match in numbers
| Manchester United | Match statistics | Aston Villa |
|---|---|---|
| 56% | Ball possession | 44% |
| 2.94 | Expected goals (xG) | 3.21 |
| 26 | Total shots | 12 |
| 9 | Shots on target | 6 |
| 6 | Big chances | 5 |
| 502 | Total passes | 410 |
| 87% | Pass accuracy | 85% |
| 8 | Corners | 1 |
| 18 | Fouls | 9 |
| 2 | Offsides | 0 |
| 26 | Tackles | 11 |
| 3 | Saves | 5 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Patrick Dorgu (Manchester United), rated 8.5 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal, 1 assist.
Manchester United
- Patrick Dorgu 8.5 1 goal, 1 assist
- Bruno Fernandes 8.4 1 goal, 1 assist
- Matheus Cunha 8.1
- Youri Tielemans 7.8 1 goal
- Kobbie Mainoo 7.3
Aston Villa
- Nicolas Jackson 7.8 1 goal, 1 assist
- John McGinn 7.7 1 goal, 1 assist
- Alysson 7.5 1 goal
- Johan Manzambi 7.0
- Leon Goretzka 6.9 1 goal
The lowest-rated starter was Boubacar Kamara at 5.8. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- Manchester United: Liverpool vs Manchester United Sunday 22 November 2026 · Premier League
- Aston Villa: Aston Villa vs Sunderland Saturday 21 November 2026 · Premier League
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about Manchester United vs Aston Villa
What was the score in Manchester United vs Aston Villa?
Manchester United 4-4 Aston Villa (half-time 2-2), Premier League, Sunday 8 November 2026.
Who scored in Manchester United vs Aston Villa?
Alysson 1', Nicolas Jackson 4', Bruno Fernandes 16', Youri Tielemans 44', John McGinn 48', Leon Goretzka 53', Joshua Zirkzee 90+2', Patrick Dorgu 90+6'.
Did Moneyball predict Manchester United vs Aston Villa correctly?
The prediction was right. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Aston Villa +0.75, and on 4-4 it was right.
Who was man of the match in Manchester United vs Aston Villa?
Patrick Dorgu, rated 8.5 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed Manchester United vs Aston Villa?
C. Kavanagh.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.