Manchester City 0-1 Brighton & Hove Albion: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

How Brighton & Hove Albion won it

Yasin Ayari put Brighton & Hove Albion ahead in the 11th minute, set up by Maxim De Cuyper.

It was 0-1 at half-time, and nothing changed after the break.

The referee, C. Pawson, showed 3 yellow cards: 0 to Manchester City and 3 to Brighton & Hove Albion.

Manchester City: E. Maresca, 4-3-3 · Brighton & Hove Albion: F. Hürzeler, 4-2-3-1.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Manchester City Win, and on 0-1 it was wrong.

The estimate's most likely result was a Manchester City win at 52%; a Brighton & Hove Albion win, at 26%, is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (9%).

The goals dried up: the estimate expected about 3.5 and the match produced one.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 68%; with 1 goal the under came in, against the way the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 68%; they did not both score, against the estimate.

The pre-match consensus had a Manchester City win at 57%, the same lean as Moneyball.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-31, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 0.97 for Manchester City and 2.06 for Brighton & Hove Albion.

Brighton & Hove Albion left about 1.1 goals' worth of chances on the pitch.

The run of play itself went against the pre-match reading: Moneyball expected Manchester City to create more, and Brighton & Hove Albion did.

Manchester City had 6 shots on target, Brighton & Hove Albion 3.

Brighton & Hove Albion's goalkeeper made 7 saves.

Manchester City had 62% of the ball, but Brighton & Hove Albion took the points.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Manchester City came into it with 10 Premier League matches played, scoring 2.1 and conceding 1.3 a match, with 1.97 expected goals for and 1.09 against, and had won 70% of their matches.

Brighton & Hove Albion came into it with 10 Premier League matches played, scoring 2.6 and conceding 0.7 a match, with 1.97 expected goals for and 1.42 against, and had won 70% of their matches.

Manchester City vs Brighton & Hove Albion: the match in numbers

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Bart Verbruggen (Brighton & Hove Albion), rated 8.7 by Sportmonks.

Manchester City

• Jérémy Doku 8.2
• Elliot Anderson 7.5
• Abdukodir Khusanov 7.4
• Nico O'Reilly 7.2
• Enzo Fernández 7.0

Brighton & Hove Albion

• Bart Verbruggen 8.7
• Yasin Ayari 7.9 1 goal
• Maxim De Cuyper 7.3 1 assist
• Luka Vuskovic 7.2
• Lewis Dunk 7.0

The lowest-rated starter was Diego Gómez at 6.2. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

• Manchester City: Manchester City vs Fulham Saturday 21 November 2026 · Premier League
• Brighton & Hove Albion: Hull City vs Brighton & Hove Albion Sunday 22 November 2026 · Premier League

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Manchester City vs Brighton & Hove Albion

What was the score in Manchester City vs Brighton & Hove Albion?

Manchester City 0-1 Brighton & Hove Albion (half-time 0-1), Premier League, Saturday 31 October 2026.

Who scored in Manchester City vs Brighton & Hove Albion?

Yasin Ayari 11'.

Did Moneyball predict Manchester City vs Brighton & Hove Albion correctly?

The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Manchester City Win, and on 0-1 it was wrong.

Who was man of the match in Manchester City vs Brighton & Hove Albion?

Bart Verbruggen, rated 8.7 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Manchester City vs Brighton & Hove Albion?

C. Pawson.