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Lugano 3-0 Kauno Žalgiris: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

Full time: Lugano 3-0 Kauno Žalgiris

Lugano won 3-0 at home to Kauno Žalgiris in Europa Conference League Matchday 3 on Thursday 5 November 2026. The goals: Yanis Cimignani 11', Ezgjan Alioski 24', Daniel Dos Santos 32'. Moneyball's pre-match estimate had the result right.

How Lugano won it

Lugano struck first through Yanis Cimignani in the 11th minute, set up by Daniel Dos Santos. Ezgjan Alioski made it 2-0 to Lugano in the 24th minute. Daniel Dos Santos made it 3-0 to Lugano in the 32nd minute, set up by Bekhruz Karimov.

It was 3-0 at half-time, and nothing changed after the break.

The referee, I. Frid, showed 3 yellow cards: 1 to Lugano and 2 to Kauno Žalgiris.

Lugano: M. Croci-Torti, 3-5-2 · Kauno Žalgiris: Ž. Sopić, 5-4-1.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

A correct call: the Match Board's pick was Lugano -2.00, and 3-0 bears it out.

The estimate's most likely result was a Lugano win at 76%, and that is what happened. Its single most likely score was 2-0 (10%).

On goals the estimate was close: about 3.6 expected, 3 scored.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 69%; with 3 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 55%; they did not both score, against the estimate.

The pre-match consensus had a Lugano win at 76%, the same lean as Moneyball.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-11-05, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

Lugano had 5 shots on target, Kauno Žalgiris 1.

Lugano had 65% of the ball and turned it into the win.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Lugano came into it with 3 Europa Conference League matches played, scoring 3.7 and conceding 1.3 a match, with 2.24 expected goals for and – against, and had won 100% of their matches.

Kauno Žalgiris came into it with 3 Europa Conference League matches played, scoring 0.3 and conceding 3.7 a match, with 0.87 expected goals for and – against, and had won 0% of their matches.

Lugano vs Kauno Žalgiris: the match in numbers

LuganoMatch statisticsKauno Žalgiris
65%Ball possession35%
13Total shots5
5Shots on target1
2Big chances1
695Total passes363
90%Pass accuracy78%
4Corners2
8Fouls14
3Offsides3
12Tackles19
1Saves2
1Yellow cards2

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: Daniel Dos Santos (Lugano), rated 8.5 by Sportmonks, with 1 goal, 1 assist.

Lugano

Kauno Žalgiris

The lowest-rated starter was Anthony Kalik at 5.8. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Lugano vs Kauno Žalgiris

What was the score in Lugano vs Kauno Žalgiris?

Lugano 3-0 Kauno Žalgiris (half-time 3-0), Europa Conference League, Thursday 5 November 2026.

Who scored in Lugano vs Kauno Žalgiris?

Yanis Cimignani 11', Ezgjan Alioski 24', Daniel Dos Santos 32'.

Did Moneyball predict Lugano vs Kauno Žalgiris correctly?

A correct call: the Match Board's pick was Lugano -2.00, and 3-0 bears it out.

Who was man of the match in Lugano vs Kauno Žalgiris?

Daniel Dos Santos, rated 8.5 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Lugano vs Kauno Žalgiris?

I. Frid.

Every match, before and after

Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.

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Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.