Liverpool 4-3 Villarreal: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings
Champions League Matchday 3 · Tuesday 20 October 2026 · Anfield, Liverpool · referee S. Marciniak · full time
Full time: Liverpool 4-3 Villarreal
Liverpool beat Villarreal 4-3 in Champions League Matchday 3 on Tuesday 20 October 2026 at Anfield. The goals: Georges Mikautadze 4', Sergi Cardona 29', Alexis Mac Allister 36', Ronald Araujo 45+2', Alexis Mac Allister 65', Florian Wirtz 68', Tani Oluwaseyi 87'. Moneyball's pre-match estimate had the result right.
How Liverpool won it
Villarreal struck first through Georges Mikautadze in the 4th minute. Sergi Cardona made it 0-2 to Villarreal in the 29th minute, set up by Nathan Saliba. Alexis Mac Allister made it 1-2 to Liverpool in the 36th minute, set up by Konstantinos Tsimikas. Liverpool levelled at 2-2 in the 45th minute (+2) through Ronald Araujo, set up by Rio Ngumoha. Liverpool turned it round: Alexis Mac Allister made it 3-2 in the 65th minute, set up by Rio Ngumoha. Florian Wirtz made it 4-2 to Liverpool in the 68th minute, set up by Cody Gakpo. Tani Oluwaseyi made it 4-3 to Villarreal in the 87th minute, set up by Ayoze Pérez.
Villarreal led by two and lost: Liverpool came back to win it.
It was 2-2 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.
Alexis Mac Allister scored twice.
The lead changed hands once.
The referee, S. Marciniak, showed 2 yellow cards: 0 to Liverpool and 2 to Villarreal.
Liverpool: A. Iraola, 4-2-3-1 · Villarreal: I. Pérez Soto, 4-2-3-1.
Moneyball's prediction against the result
A correct call: the Match Board's pick was HT Villarreal +0.50, and the half-time score, 2-2 bears it out.
The estimate's most likely result was a Liverpool win at 61%, and that is what happened. Its single most likely score was 2-1 (10%).
The match had far more goals than expected: the estimate was about 3.4 goals and there were 7.
Over 2.5 goals had been put at 65%; with 7 goals the over came in, as the estimate leaned.
Both teams to score was 62%; both did, in line with the estimate.
The pre-match consensus had a Liverpool win at 63%, the same lean as Moneyball.
Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-10-20, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.
Why it went this way
Liverpool had 7 shots on target, Villarreal 5.
Liverpool had 53% of the ball and turned it into the win.
Where the two sides stood before this match
Liverpool came into it with 4 Champions League matches played, scoring 3.5 and conceding 2.5 a match, with 2.16 expected goals for and – against, and had won 75% of their matches.
Villarreal came into it with 4 Champions League matches played, scoring 2.0 and conceding 3.5 a match, with 1.19 expected goals for and – against, and had won 25% of their matches.
Liverpool vs Villarreal: the match in numbers
| Liverpool | Match statistics | Villarreal |
|---|---|---|
| 53% | Ball possession | 47% |
| 22 | Total shots | 14 |
| 7 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 3 | Big chances | 3 |
| 544 | Total passes | 499 |
| 86% | Pass accuracy | 84% |
| 7 | Corners | 2 |
| 12 | Fouls | 10 |
| 2 | Offsides | 4 |
| 22 | Tackles | 16 |
| 2 | Saves | 4 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
Team statistics from Sportmonks.
Player ratings and man of the match
Man of the match: Alexis Mac Allister (Liverpool), rated 9.1 by Sportmonks, with 2 goals.
Liverpool
- Alexis Mac Allister 9.1 2 goals
- Rio Ngumoha 8.8 2 assists
- Florian Wirtz 8.3 1 goal
- Cody Gakpo 8.0 1 assist
- Konstantinos Tsimikas 7.6 1 assist
Villarreal
- Ayoze Pérez 7.2 1 assist
- Georges Mikautadze 7.2 1 goal
- Pape Gueye 7.1
- Tani Oluwaseyi 6.9 1 goal
- Nathan Saliba 6.9 1 assist
The lowest-rated starter was Alberto Moleiro at 6.1. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.
What comes next
- Liverpool: Liverpool vs Manchester United Sunday 22 November 2026 · Premier League
- Villarreal: FC Barcelona vs Villarreal Sunday 22 November 2026 · La Liga
Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.
Questions about Liverpool vs Villarreal
What was the score in Liverpool vs Villarreal?
Liverpool 4-3 Villarreal (half-time 2-2), Champions League, Tuesday 20 October 2026.
Who scored in Liverpool vs Villarreal?
Georges Mikautadze 4', Sergi Cardona 29', Alexis Mac Allister 36', Ronald Araujo 45+2', Alexis Mac Allister 65', Florian Wirtz 68', Tani Oluwaseyi 87'.
Did Moneyball predict Liverpool vs Villarreal correctly?
A correct call: the Match Board's pick was HT Villarreal +0.50, and the half-time score, 2-2 bears it out.
Who was man of the match in Liverpool vs Villarreal?
Alexis Mac Allister, rated 9.1 by Sportmonks.
Who refereed Liverpool vs Villarreal?
S. Marciniak.
Every match, before and after
Moneyball writes a preview with its estimate before every match of Europe's top five leagues and the European cups, then marks it against the result, hits and misses alike.
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.