Leeds United 1-0 Tottenham Hotspur: Match Report, Goals, Stats and Ratings

How Leeds United won it

The opening goal came in the 79th minute: Noah Okafor for Leeds United.

It was 0-0 at half-time, and the second half changed the result.

The referee, J. Brooks, showed 6 yellow cards: 2 to Leeds United and 4 to Tottenham Hotspur.

Leeds United: D. Farke, 3-4-2-1 · Tottenham Hotspur: R. De Zerbi, 4-3-3.

Moneyball's prediction against the result

The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Tottenham Hotspur 0.00, and on 1-0 it was wrong.

The estimate's most likely result was a Leeds United win at 39%, and that is what happened. Its single most likely score was 1-1 (13%).

The goals dried up: the estimate expected about 2.6 and the match produced one.

Over 2.5 goals had been put at 49%; with 1 goal the under came in, as the estimate leaned.

Both teams to score was 54%; they did not both score, against the estimate.

The pre-match consensus had a Leeds United win at 38%, the same lean as Moneyball.

Computed before kick-off from both sides' season goals and expected goals as of 2026-11-07, through a Dixon-Coles score model, and left as it was.

Why it went this way

On the day the expected goals were 0.56 for Leeds United and 2.12 for Tottenham Hotspur.

Tottenham Hotspur left about 2.1 goals' worth of chances on the pitch.

Tottenham Hotspur created the better chances, 2.12 xG to 0.56, and still lost. On chances alone, the result could easily have gone the other way.

The run of play itself went against the pre-match reading: Moneyball expected Leeds United to create more, and Tottenham Hotspur did.

Leeds United had 4 shots on target, Tottenham Hotspur 4.

Tottenham Hotspur had 62% of the ball, but Leeds United took the points.

Where the two sides stood before this match

Leeds United came into it with 10 Premier League matches played, scoring 1.0 and conceding 0.8 a match, with 1.35 expected goals for and 1.26 against, and had won 30% of their matches.

Tottenham Hotspur came into it with 10 Premier League matches played, scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.1 a match, with 1.34 expected goals for and 1.30 against, and had won 30% of their matches.

Leeds United vs Tottenham Hotspur: the match in numbers

Team statistics from Sportmonks.

Player ratings and man of the match

Man of the match: James Trafford (Leeds United), rated 7.6 by Sportmonks.

Leeds United

• James Trafford 7.6
• Dominic Calvert-Lewin 7.4
• Noah Okafor 7.3 1 goal
• Nico Elvedi 7.2
• Tarik Muharemović 7.2

Tottenham Hotspur

• Jan Paul van Hecke 7.3
• Dominic Solanke 7.0
• Archie Gray 7.0
• Antonín Kinský 6.8
• Mateus Fernandes 6.7

The lowest-rated starter was Sandro Tonali at 6.0. Ratings run from 0 to 10; around 7.0 is a solid match.

What comes next

• Leeds United: Chelsea vs Leeds United Saturday 21 November 2026 · Premier League
• Tottenham Hotspur: Tottenham Hotspur vs Ipswich Town Saturday 21 November 2026 · Premier League

Each preview has Moneyball's estimate for the next match, published before kick-off and marked against the result afterwards, as this one is.

Questions about Leeds United vs Tottenham Hotspur

What was the score in Leeds United vs Tottenham Hotspur?

Leeds United 1-0 Tottenham Hotspur (half-time 0-0), Premier League, Saturday 7 November 2026.

Who scored in Leeds United vs Tottenham Hotspur?

Noah Okafor 79'.

Did Moneyball predict Leeds United vs Tottenham Hotspur correctly?

The prediction missed. Moneyball's pick on the Match Board was Tottenham Hotspur 0.00, and on 1-0 it was wrong.

Who was man of the match in Leeds United vs Tottenham Hotspur?

James Trafford, rated 7.6 by Sportmonks.

Who refereed Leeds United vs Tottenham Hotspur?

J. Brooks.